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ACM AECOM - Fundamental Analysis

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ACM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Engineering & Construction
Current Price Live
$97.08
Analyst Target
$130.33
+34.3% Upside
52W High
$135.52
52W Low
$85.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$12.8B
P/E
20.48
ROE
28.1%
Profit margin
3.5%
Debt/Equity
1.25
Dividend yield
1.26%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
ACM's Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable financial health, though the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($44.91) and intrinsic value ($33.18), currently priced at $97.08, suggesting overvaluation. Despite solid ROE of 28.09% and a history of consistent earnings beats (22 of 25 quarters), recent YoY earnings decline (-29.10%) and insider selling raise concerns. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $130.33 target, implying 24% upside, but weak technical trend (0/100) and bearish insider activity temper near-term optimism.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings beat record: 22 out of 25 quarters exceeded estimates, with strong average surprise of 4.25% over last four
High ROE of 28.09% significantly exceeds sector average of 7.49%, indicating efficient use of equity
Low payout ratio of 21.71% provides dividend sustainability and reinvestment flexibility
Forward P/E of 15.84 is below current P/E of 20.48, suggesting earnings recovery expectations
Analyst target price implies 24% upside, supported by 12 analysts maintaining 'buy' consensus

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 5 is borderline stable; absence of Altman Z-Score creates uncertainty in financial distress risk modeling
Recent earnings deterioration: YoY earnings growth at -29.10% and Q/Q at -30.20% indicate sharp profit contraction
Significant insider selling: $9.56M in sales over last 6 months with zero buys, including CEO and officers
Stock trades at 2.16x Graham Number and 2.93x intrinsic value, indicating substantial overvaluation relative to defensive and growth metrics
Technical trend score of 0/100 signals strong bearish momentum, corroborated by -9.5% 1Y return and -15.4% 6M performance
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$44.91
-53.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
49
Moderate
Value
35
Future
45
Past
75
Health
52
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if earnings rebound
Key drivers: High ROE and earnings beat consistency support quality, Overvaluation and insider selling cap near-term upside, Analyst optimism offsets weak technicals
Confidence
70%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 15.84 suggests improvement
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 20.48 above sector average
  • Price/Sales of 0.79 is low but not compensating for margin weakness
  • Stock trades at 2.16x Graham Number and 2.93x intrinsic value
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E implies earnings recovery
  • Analyst target suggests strong upside
Watchpoints
  • YoY earnings growth at -29.10%
  • Q/Q earnings growth at -30.20%
  • Revenue growth only 1.60% YoY
Past
75/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 22 of 25 quarters beat EPS estimates
  • Consistent positive earnings surprises since 2020
  • 5Y return of +88.1% shows long-term strength
Watchpoints
  • 1Y return of -9.5% breaks upward trend
Health
52/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 5 indicates stable health
  • Current ratio (1.14) and quick ratio (1.02) show short-term liquidity
  • ROA of 5.49% is positive
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity of 1.25 is elevated
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress risk analysis
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Payout ratio of 21.71% is sustainable
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 25/100 indicates weak yield and growth
  • Dividend yield of 1.26% is below market average

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$97.08
Analyst Target
$130.33
Upside/Downside
+34.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ACM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ACM
AECOM
Primary
+88.1% +14.2% -9.5% -15.4% -0.1% -1.1%
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
Peer
+14.6% +12.0% -23.3% -8.5% +20.1% +5.0%
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Peer
+191.8% +69.7% -27.2% -10.3% +17.6% -3.5%
AEIS
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.
Peer
+188.7% +231.1% +155.2% +107.8% +32.1% +15.0%
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Peer
+128.2% +153.3% +37.6% +27.2% +14.1% -1.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
20.48
Forward P/E
15.84
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.13
P/S Ratio
0.79
EV/Revenue
0.92
EV/EBITDA
11.97
Market Cap
$12.8B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.48%
Operating Margin 7.02%
Gross Margin 7.54%
ROE 28.09%
ROA 5.49%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.6%
Earnings Growth -29.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -30.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.25
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.14
Good
Quick Ratio
1.02
Good
Cash/Share
$12.1

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-09
$N/A
2025-11-18
$1.36
+1.7% surprise
2025-08-04
$1.34
+6.2% surprise
2025-05-05
$1.25
+4.8% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing ACM against 122 companies in the Industrials sector (5 bullish, 62 neutral, 55 bearish)
P/E Ratio
20.48
This Stock
vs
74.1
Sector Avg
-72.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
28.09%
This Stock
vs
7.57%
Sector Avg
+270.9% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
3.48%
This Stock
vs
58.43%
Sector Avg
-94.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.25
This Stock
vs
5.2
Sector Avg
-76.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.6%
This Stock
vs
24.48%
Sector Avg
-93.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.14
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-57.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ACM
AECOM
NEUTRAL $12.8B 20.48 28.1% 3.5% $97.08
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton...
NEUTRAL $12.6B 14.6 75.2% 7.1% $102.23
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
NEUTRAL $13.53B 23.76 13.6% 3.8% $122.36
AEIS
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.
BEARISH $11.86B 80.58 11.6% 8.2% $314.27
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
NEUTRAL $13.74B 25.07 26.2% 10.8% $488.33

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-12-23 RUDD TROY WILLIAM Chief Executive Officer Gift 600 -
2025-12-17 POLONI LARA MARIA LUCIA President Sale 17,533 $1,701,135
2025-12-17 GAN DAVID YUNG-MING Officer Sale 15,502 $1,514,889
2025-12-15 KAPOOR GAURAV Chief Financial Officer Stock Award 37,599 -
2025-12-15 POLONI LARA MARIA LUCIA President Stock Award 39,949 -
2025-12-15 RUDD TROY WILLIAM Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 135,581 -
2025-12-15 GAN DAVID YUNG-MING Officer Stock Award 20,590 -
2025-12-15 POLONI LARA MARIA LUCIA President Stock Award 10,040 -
2025-12-15 GAN DAVID YUNG-MING Officer Stock Award 5,976 -
2025-12-15 RUDD TROY WILLIAM Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 36,812 -
2025-12-15 KAPOOR GAURAV Chief Financial Officer Stock Award 9,562 -
2025-09-05 TISHMAN DANIEL R Director Gift 27,935 -
2025-08-15 RUDD TROY WILLIAM Chief Executive Officer Sale 53,097 $6,348,194
2025-08-15 RUDD TROY WILLIAM Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 53,097 $2,055,916
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
12 analysts
UBS
2026-01-21
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-12-22
down
Overweight Equal-Weight
Truist Securities
2025-12-18
Maintains
Buy Buy
Truist Securities
2025-11-21
Maintains
Buy Buy
Baird
2025-11-21
down
Outperform Neutral
Barclays
2025-11-20
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
RBC Capital
2025-11-20
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Argus Research
2025-11-20
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-11-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-11-19
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ACM from our newsroom.

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