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ACRE

BEARISH
$4.85 Live
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation · NYSE
Target $4.75 (-2.1%)
$3.35 52W Range $6.1

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
85%
ACRE exhibits severe financial distress with a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating weak fundamental health. Despite a low Price/Book of 0.51 and a high dividend yield of 12.35%, the company reports negative profit margins (-8.77%) and ROE (-1.42%), with an unsustainable payout ratio of 2,266.67%. Revenue growth is strong at 77.30% YoY, but earnings volatility is extreme, including massive negative surprises, while insider selling and a bearish technical trend reinforce caution. Analysts concur with a 'hold' rating and a target price below current levels, suggesting limited upside.

Key Strengths

High year-over-year revenue growth (77.30%) indicating strong top-line expansion
Attractive dividend yield of 12.35% offering high income potential
Low Price/Book ratio of 0.51 suggesting possible undervaluation relative to book value
Exceptionally high current and quick ratios (22.97 and 22.25) indicating strong short-term liquidity
Recent positive Q/Q and YoY EPS growth (+119.6% and +42.9%) showing recent earnings improvement

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signaling severe financial weakness
Extremely high payout ratio (2,266.67%) indicating dividend is not sustainable from earnings
Negative net income and profit margin (-8.77%) despite revenue growth
Unstable earnings with massive negative surprises (e.g., -22466.4% in Q3 2025)
Insider selling by top executives (CEO, CFO, GC) signaling lack of confidence

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