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ADC

NEUTRAL
$72.55 Live
Agree Realty Corporation · NYSE
Target $81.76 (+12.7%)
$68.98 52W Range $79.65

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
72%
Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) shows a stable financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating moderate strength, though the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number of $43.99, currently at $72.55, supported by strong revenue growth and sector-relative profitability. However, the extremely high payout ratio of 178.6% raises sustainability concerns for the dividend, despite a solid 4.36% yield. Analysts are constructive with a 'buy' recommendation and a target price of $81.76, but weak technical trend (0/100) and inconsistent earnings beats temper near-term upside conviction.

Key Strengths

Stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 suggests resilient financial health
Strong revenue growth of 18.7% YoY, outpacing sector average of 45.17% in context of REIT-retail dynamics
High gross and operating margins (87.73% and 48.68%) reflect pricing power and cost efficiency
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.58, well below sector average of 4.03, indicating conservative capital structure
Attractive dividend yield of 4.36% with analyst buy consensus supporting income appeal

Key Risks

Payout ratio of 178.6% exceeds earnings, signaling dividend is not sustainably covered by net income
Elevated valuation with P/E of 42.18 and Forward P/E of 37.35, above sector average of 39.50, increasing downside risk
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish momentum despite fundamental strength
Inconsistent earnings surprises: only 2 of last 4 quarters beat estimates, with volatility in prior quarters
Missing key financial data (EV, cash, debt, shares outstanding) limits comprehensive leverage and liquidity analysis
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$48.5
-33.1% below current price

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