AEE Ameren Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
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AEE Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Utilities
Utilities - Regulated Electric
Current Price
Live
$102.32
Analyst Target
$111.23
+8.7%
Upside
52W High
$106.73
52W Low
$91.77
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$27.68B
P/E
19.79
ROE
11.4%
Profit margin
16.3%
Debt/Equity
1.56
Dividend yield
2.76%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Ameren Corporation (AEE) shows a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, limiting distress risk assessment. Despite solid profitability metrics and strong recent earnings growth, the company faces concerns around liquidity, high leverage, and bearish insider activity. Valuation is near peer average, supported by analyst buy consensus and a reasonable dividend, but technical trend and insider selling suggest caution. The stock trades above the Graham Number of $74.13 but below the growth-based intrinsic value of $152.51, reflecting moderate premium expectations.
Key Strengths
Strong operating and gross margins (34.00% and 47.10%, respectively), above sector average
Robust year-over-year earnings growth of 38.20% and Q/Q EPS surge of +114.9%
Dividend yield of 2.76% is attractive within the regulated utilities space
Analyst recommendation is 'buy' with a target price of $111.23, implying 8.7% upside
Revenue growth of 24.80% significantly exceeds peer average of 8.66%
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly concerning liquidity and leverage
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.56 is high, though in line with sector average of 1.75
Current Ratio (0.93) and Quick Ratio (0.46) suggest near-term liquidity pressure
Bearish insider sentiment with 5 sell transactions totaling $0.64M and no buys in last 6 months
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates deteriorating price momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$115.0
+12.4% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
63
Strong
60
75
65
45
70
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if execution improves
Key drivers: Strong earnings growth and revenue momentum, Valuation in line with peers, Weak financial health and liquidity metrics, Bearish insider activity, Solid dividend profile
Confidence
75%
Value
60/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 19.79 is below sector average of 20.85
- Price/Book of 2.17 is reasonable for a regulated utility
Watchpoints
- Current price ($102.32) is 38% above Graham Number ($74.13)
- No PEG ratio available limits growth-adjusted valuation
Future
75/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY earnings growth of 38.20% and Q/Q EPS growth of 40.40%
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth at +114.9%, indicating strong acceleration
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 19.09 suggests limited multiple expansion
Past
65/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 13 out of last 25 quarters beat EPS estimates
- 5-year price return of +57.8% outperforms broader market
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprises have been inconsistent, including misses of -8.0% and -16.6%
- 1-month price change is -1.6%, indicating near-term weakness
Health
45/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- ROE of 11.39% is healthy for a utility
- Operating margin of 34.00% reflects pricing power
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Current and Quick Ratios below 1.0 signal liquidity risk
- No Altman Z-Score available limits distress modeling
Dividend
70/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 2.76% is above average for sector
- Payout ratio of 53.85% is sustainable for a utility
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength score is only 50/100, suggesting room for improvement
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$102.32
Analyst Target
$111.23
Upside/Downside
+8.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AEE and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AEE
Ameren Corporation
Primary
|
+57.8% | +30.0% | +12.9% | +3.7% | +2.5% | -1.6% |
|
ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation
Peer
|
+107.3% | +55.1% | +21.1% | +6.6% | -1.8% | -3.0% |
|
AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc.
Peer
|
-11.2% | -10.3% | +9.1% | -6.4% | -1.2% | -2.7% |
|
AXIA
AXIA Energia SA
Peer
|
+160.2% | +45.8% | +90.8% | +60.8% | +13.7% | +8.9% |
|
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc.
Peer
|
+36.9% | +17.9% | +17.9% | +9.1% | +4.2% | +1.8% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
19.79
Forward P/E
19.09
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.17
P/S Ratio
3.21
EV/Revenue
5.55
EV/EBITDA
13.51
Market Cap
$27.68B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
16.34%
Operating Margin
34.0%
Gross Margin
47.1%
ROE
11.39%
ROA
2.93%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+24.8%
Earnings Growth
+38.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+40.4%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.56
High debt
Current Ratio
0.93
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.46
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.03
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-11
$N/A
2025-11-05
$2.17
+3.0% surprise
2025-07-31
$1.01
+2.3% surprise
2025-05-01
$1.07
+0.5% surprise
Utilities Sector Comparison
Comparing AEE against 21 companies in the Utilities sector
(0 bullish, 18 neutral, 3 bearish)
P/E Ratio
19.79
This Stock
vs
24.29
Sector Avg
-18.5%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.39%
This Stock
vs
-7.2%
Sector Avg
-258.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
16.34%
This Stock
vs
10.62%
Sector Avg
+53.9%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.56
This Stock
vs
1.76
Sector Avg
-11.6%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
24.8%
This Stock
vs
6.94%
Sector Avg
+257.3%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.93
This Stock
vs
0.88
Sector Avg
+6.0%
(Better)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AEE
Ameren Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $27.68B | 19.79 | 11.4% | 16.3% | $102.32 | |
|
ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $26.74B | 22.16 | 9.3% | 25.5% | $165.34 | |
|
AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $25.32B | 23.08 | 10.5% | 21.9% | $129.71 | |
|
AXIA
AXIA Energia SA
|
BEARISH | $23.18B | - | -5.2% | -14.1% | $10.31 | |
|
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $44.73B | 23.05 | 9.4% | 13.5% | $75.61 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | BRINKLEY CYNTHIA J | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | HARSHMAN RICHARD J | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | FITZSIMMONS ELLEN M | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | BRUNE CATHERINE S | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | VONDRAN STEVEN OWEN | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | ENGSTROM JAMIE L. | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | FLORES RAFAEL | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | IVEY CRAIG S | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | LIPSTEIN STEVEN H | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | MACKAY LEO S. JR. | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2026-01-05 | DICKSON WARD H | Director | Stock Award | 1,686 | - |
| 2025-12-12 | SCHUKAR SHAWN E | Officer of Subsidiary Company | Gift | 511 | - |
| 2025-11-26 | LIPSTEIN STEVEN H | Director | Gift | 2,300 | - |
| 2025-11-17 | FLORES RAFAEL | Director | Sale | 225 | $23,672 |
| 2025-11-17 | FLORES RAFAEL | Director | Sale | 626 | $65,930 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
13 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-01-20
Overweight
Overweight
JP Morgan
2026-01-15
Neutral
Neutral
Barclays
2026-01-15
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
UBS
2025-12-17
Buy
Buy
Keybanc
2025-12-12
Overweight
Sector Weight
Wells Fargo
2025-10-28
Overweight
RBC Capital
2025-10-28
Sector Perform
Mizuho
2025-10-27
Outperform
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-10-22
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Barclays
2025-10-21
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AEE from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.