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AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Limited - Fundamental Analysis

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AEM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Basic Materials Gold
Current Price Live
$214.54
Analyst Target
$209.54
-2.3% Downside
52W High
$215.95
52W Low
$87.45

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$107.71B
P/E
31.23
ROE
15.7%
Profit margin
32.6%
Debt/Equity
0.01
Dividend yield
0.75%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
AEM's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial stability, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. Despite strong profitability metrics—ROE of 15.67%, gross margin of 70.24%, and robust earnings growth of 85.8% YoY—the stock trades at a premium valuation (P/E 31.23 vs sector avg 25.89) above both the Graham Number ($85.07) and intrinsic value estimate ($202.66). Strong recent price performance (+145% 1Y) and analyst buy recommendation are counterbalanced by weak technical trend (10/100) and limited insider sentiment (40/100). The balance between operational strength and valuation concerns leads to a neutral stance.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with gross margin of 70.24% and operating margin of 53.10%, well above sector averages
Strong earnings growth: 85.8% YoY and 86% Q/Q, supported by consistent earnings beat streak (3 of last 4 quarters)
Very low leverage: Debt/Equity ratio of just 0.01, indicating conservative capital structure
High return on equity (15.67%) in a capital-intensive sector, signaling efficient use of equity
Analyst consensus supports upside with a 'buy' rating and target price of $209.55 near current levels

Key Risks

Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak financial health, particularly in earnings quality and leverage trends
Valuation premium: Current price ($214.54) exceeds both Graham Number ($85.07) and intrinsic value ($202.66)
Weak technical trend score of 10/100 indicates deteriorating price momentum near 52-week high
Missing key financial data (EV, shares outstanding, cash/debt figures) limits full health assessment
Dividend strength is weak at 25/100 despite low payout ratio, suggesting limited income appeal
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$202.66
-5.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
63
Strong
Value
52
Future
85
Past
78
Health
58
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Moderately positive with caution due to valuation and health metrics
Key drivers: High profitability and earnings growth, Low debt and strong balance sheet, Premium valuation and weak technical trend, Marginal Piotroski score, Analyst buy recommendation
Confidence
75%
Value
52/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 18.40 suggests improvement in earnings expectations
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $202.66 provides support
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 31.23 is high relative to sector average (25.89)
  • Price/Sales of 10.19 is elevated
  • Stock trades above Graham Number ($85.07) by over 150%
Future
85/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 41.90% YoY
  • Earnings growth of 85.80% YoY
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 86.00%
  • Consistent earnings surprises averaging over 8% in last 4 quarters
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Past
78/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year price return of +242%
  • 1-year return of +145%
  • Long history of beating earnings estimates (22 of 25 quarters positive surprises)
Watchpoints
  • Two recent earnings misses (2026-02-12 N/A, 2022-02-23 -16.9%)
Health
58/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 2.12 indicates solid short-term liquidity
  • Quick ratio of 1.20 shows ability to meet obligations without inventory
  • Debt/Equity of 0.01 reflects minimal leverage
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Missing Altman Z-Score prevents full distress risk evaluation
  • Incomplete financial data (ROIC, cash, debt) limits depth
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Payout ratio of 23.39% is sustainable
  • No dividend cuts in recent history
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield of 0.75% is low for a gold miner
  • Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates weak income profile
  • No 5-year average yield data available

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$214.54
Analyst Target
$209.54
Upside/Downside
-2.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AEM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited
Primary
+242.0% +301.0% +145.0% +70.0% +18.3% +8.6%
NEM
Newmont Corporation
Peer
+116.1% +135.9% +178.6% +97.3% +14.8% +4.7%
SHW
The Sherwin-Williams Company
Peer
+54.7% +48.4% +1.9% +5.7% +9.1% +1.3%
B
Barrick Mining Corporation
Peer
+148.8% +178.8% +226.4% +135.0% +12.4% +4.8%
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
Peer
+98.3% +38.6% +48.7% +31.9% +23.1% +4.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
31.23
Forward P/E
18.4
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.58
P/S Ratio
10.19
EV/Revenue
10.0
EV/EBITDA
15.33
Market Cap
$107.71B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 32.62%
Operating Margin 53.11%
Gross Margin 70.24%
ROE 15.67%
ROA 10.63%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +41.9%
Earnings Growth +85.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +86.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.01
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.12
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.2
Good
Cash/Share
$4.72

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-12
$N/A
2025-10-29
$2.1
+4.8% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.94
+9.9% surprise
2025-04-24
$1.53
+10.7% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing AEM against 41 companies in the Basic Materials sector (1 bullish, 20 neutral, 20 bearish)
P/E Ratio
31.23
This Stock
vs
30.44
Sector Avg
+2.6% (Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
15.67%
This Stock
vs
-0.24%
Sector Avg
-6614.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
32.62%
This Stock
vs
-2.71%
Sector Avg
-1305.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.01
This Stock
vs
0.61
Sector Avg
-97.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
41.9%
This Stock
vs
14.52%
Sector Avg
+188.5% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
2.12
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
-7.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited
NEUTRAL $107.71B 31.23 15.7% 32.6% $214.54
NEM
Newmont Corporation
NEUTRAL $125.36B 17.75 22.9% 33.4% $114.12
SHW
The Sherwin-Williams Company
NEUTRAL $89.22B 34.88 59.9% 11.0% $357.83
B
Barrick Mining Corporation
NEUTRAL $87.34B 23.65 15.3% 24.5% $51.08
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
NEUTRAL $84.3B 41.06 14.5% 8.0% $58.71

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
11 analysts
Citigroup
2026-01-15
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2025-12-10
down
Outperform Sector Perform
UBS
2025-12-01
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Scotiabank
2025-10-23
Maintains
Sector Outperform Sector Outperform
UBS
2025-10-16
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
B of A Securities
2025-10-16
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-10-15
Maintains
Buy Buy
Raymond James
2025-10-10
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
CIBC
2025-10-10
Maintains
Outperformer Outperformer
UBS
2025-09-19
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AEM from our newsroom.

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