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AERO

BEARISH
$21.09 Live
Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V · NYSE
Target $29.73 (+41.0%)
$16.0 52W Range $23.05

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$3.08B
P/E
0.48
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
4.9%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite a remarkably low P/E of 0.48 suggesting deep value, this is likely due to negative earnings or accounting distortions, as evidenced by the negative Price/Book ratio of -4.06, which signals shareholder equity deficiency. Revenue and earnings are contracting sharply year-over-year, with earnings down 50%, while operating cash flow and balance sheet metrics are unavailable, raising transparency concerns. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $29.73 target, implying 41% upside, but this contrasts with deteriorating fundamentals and bearish technicals.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally low P/E ratio of 0.48 suggests potential undervaluation if earnings normalize
Strong operating margin of 17.35% outperforms sector average of 6.44%
Gross margin of 38.43% indicates solid pricing power and cost control at operational level
Analyst consensus supports upside with a $29.73 target price, implying significant appreciation potential
ROA of 8.19% exceeds sector average, reflecting efficient asset utilization

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and elevated risk of underperformance
Negative Price/Book ratio (-4.06) implies negative book value, a red flag for solvency
Current and quick ratios of 0.61 and 0.53 signal severe short-term liquidity risk
Earnings and revenue declining YoY by 50% and 4.4% respectively, indicating deteriorating fundamentals
Missing key financial data (debt/equity, cash, EBITDA, Altman Z-Score) limits confidence in analysis
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$25.0
+18.5% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
36
Weak
Value
75
Future
30
Past
35
Health
38
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Cautious Avoid
Key drivers: Low Piotroski score, Negative book value, Sharp earnings decline, Missing financial data, Analyst optimism vs. weak fundamentals
Confidence
60%
Value
75/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 0.48 is extremely low
  • Price/Sales of 0.57 suggests possible undervaluation
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of -4.06 invalidates traditional value metrics
  • Graham Number unavailable due to negative equity
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target implies strong future growth expectations
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth YoY at -50.00%
  • Revenue growth declining at -4.40%
  • Q/Q earnings down 50.40%
Past
35/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5Y, 3Y, 1Y returns all at +3.6%, showing minimal volatility
Watchpoints
  • 1M return of -4.9% shows recent underperformance
  • Lack of historical averages (50D/200D) limits trend analysis
Health
38/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • ROA of 8.19% is healthy
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Current ratio of 0.61 signals liquidity crunch
  • Altman Z-Score unavailable, increasing uncertainty
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength 0/100
  • No dividend yield or payout history

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$21.09
Analyst Target
$29.73
Upside/Downside
+41.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AERO and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AER
Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V
Primary
5Y
+3.6%
3Y
+3.6%
1Y
+3.6%
6M
+3.6%
1M
-4.9%
1W
+4.2%
PLU
Plug Power Inc.
Peer
5Y
-93.6%
3Y
-80.7%
1Y
+67.4%
6M
-3.0%
1M
+24.9%
1W
-1.3%
ATS
ATS Corporation
Peer
5Y
+65.7%
3Y
-23.5%
1Y
+3.9%
6M
-7.9%
1M
+5.2%
1W
-3.1%
EXP
Exponent, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-29.9%
3Y
-29.6%
1Y
-10.4%
6M
+1.1%
1M
-7.1%
1W
+2.6%
MGR
McGrath RentCorp
Peer
5Y
+54.5%
3Y
+32.2%
1Y
+8.9%
6M
-0.1%
1M
+10.4%
1W
+5.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
0.48
Forward P/E
10.5
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-4.06
P/S Ratio
0.57
EV/Revenue
6.0
EV/EBITDA
27.3
Market Cap
$3.08B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.9%
Operating Margin 17.35%
Gross Margin 38.43%
ROE N/A
ROA 8.19%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -4.4%
Earnings Growth -50.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -50.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.61
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.53
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.69

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing AERO against 277 companies in the Industrials sector (19 bullish, 97 neutral, 161 bearish)
P/E Ratio
0.48
This Stock
vs
81.56
Sector Avg
-99.4% (Discount)
Profit Margin
4.9%
This Stock
vs
12.29%
Sector Avg
-60.2% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-4.4%
This Stock
vs
111.87%
Sector Avg
-103.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.61
This Stock
vs
3.12
Sector Avg
-80.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
9 analysts
Citigroup
2025-12-17
init
Buy
Barclays
2025-12-17
init
Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-12-17
init
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-17
init
Overweight
Goldman Sachs
2025-12-17
init
Buy
Deutsche Bank
2025-12-17
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AERO from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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