AERO Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
Sign in to save
Save this symbol to a watchlist or track a position.
AERO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Industrials
Airlines
Current Price
Live
$21.09
Analyst Target
$29.73
+41.0%
Upside
52W High
$23.05
52W Low
$16.0
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$3.08B
P/E
0.48
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
4.9%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite a remarkably low P/E of 0.48 suggesting deep value, this is likely due to negative earnings or accounting distortions, as evidenced by the negative Price/Book ratio of -4.06, which signals shareholder equity deficiency. Revenue and earnings are contracting sharply year-over-year, with earnings down 50%, while operating cash flow and balance sheet metrics are unavailable, raising transparency concerns. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $29.73 target, implying 41% upside, but this contrasts with deteriorating fundamentals and bearish technicals.
Key Strengths
Exceptionally low P/E ratio of 0.48 suggests potential undervaluation if earnings normalize
Strong operating margin of 17.35% outperforms sector average of 6.44%
Gross margin of 38.43% indicates solid pricing power and cost control at operational level
Analyst consensus supports upside with a $29.73 target price, implying significant appreciation potential
ROA of 8.19% exceeds sector average, reflecting efficient asset utilization
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and elevated risk of underperformance
Negative Price/Book ratio (-4.06) implies negative book value, a red flag for solvency
Current and quick ratios of 0.61 and 0.53 signal severe short-term liquidity risk
Earnings and revenue declining YoY by 50% and 4.4% respectively, indicating deteriorating fundamentals
Missing key financial data (debt/equity, cash, EBITDA, Altman Z-Score) limits confidence in analysis
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$25.0
+18.5% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
36
Weak
75
30
35
38
0
AI Verdict
Cautious Avoid
Key drivers: Low Piotroski score, Negative book value, Sharp earnings decline, Missing financial data, Analyst optimism vs. weak fundamentals
Confidence
60%
Value
75/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 0.48 is extremely low
- Price/Sales of 0.57 suggests possible undervaluation
Watchpoints
- Price/Book of -4.06 invalidates traditional value metrics
- Graham Number unavailable due to negative equity
Future
30/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst target implies strong future growth expectations
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth YoY at -50.00%
- Revenue growth declining at -4.40%
- Q/Q earnings down 50.40%
Past
35/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5Y, 3Y, 1Y returns all at +3.6%, showing minimal volatility
Watchpoints
- 1M return of -4.9% shows recent underperformance
- Lack of historical averages (50D/200D) limits trend analysis
Health
38/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- ROA of 8.19% is healthy
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Current ratio of 0.61 signals liquidity crunch
- Altman Z-Score unavailable, increasing uncertainty
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength 0/100
- No dividend yield or payout history
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$21.09
Analyst Target
$29.73
Upside/Downside
+41.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AERO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AERO
Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V
Primary
|
+3.6% | +3.6% | +3.6% | +3.6% | -4.9% | +4.2% |
|
ATS
ATS Corporation
Peer
|
+65.7% | -23.5% | +3.9% | -7.9% | +5.2% | -3.1% |
|
PLUG
Plug Power Inc.
Peer
|
-96.5% | -86.0% | -13.9% | +31.8% | +9.3% | +7.8% |
|
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
Peer
|
+26.5% | +7.0% | -11.8% | -3.7% | +8.3% | +0.2% |
|
ATRO
Astronics Corporation
Peer
|
+444.1% | +413.7% | +344.9% | +121.3% | +38.1% | +2.2% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
0.48
Forward P/E
10.5
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-4.06
P/S Ratio
0.57
EV/Revenue
6.0
EV/EBITDA
27.3
Market Cap
$3.08B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
4.9%
Operating Margin
17.35%
Gross Margin
38.43%
ROE
N/A
ROA
8.19%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-4.4%
Earnings Growth
-50.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-50.4%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.61
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.53
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.69
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing AERO against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(5 bullish, 61 neutral, 56 bearish)
P/E Ratio
0.48
This Stock
vs
74.17
Sector Avg
-99.3%
(Discount)
Profit Margin
4.9%
This Stock
vs
58.43%
Sector Avg
-91.6%
(Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-4.4%
This Stock
vs
24.48%
Sector Avg
-118.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.61
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-77.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AERO
Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V
|
BEARISH | $3.08B | 0.48 | -% | 4.9% | $21.09 | |
|
ATS
ATS Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $2.88B | - | -0.3% | -0.2% | $29.68 | |
|
PLUG
Plug Power Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.28B | - | -93.8% | -% | $2.36 | |
|
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
|
NEUTRAL | $2.78B | 17.86 | 9.1% | 1.9% | $45.37 | |
|
ATRO
Astronics Corporation
|
BEARISH | $2.72B | - | -1.7% | -0.4% | $76.34 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
9 analysts
Citigroup
2025-12-17
Buy
Barclays
2025-12-17
Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-12-17
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-17
Overweight
Goldman Sachs
2025-12-17
Buy
Deutsche Bank
2025-12-17
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AERO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.