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AGL

BEARISH
$0.99 Live
agilon health, inc. · NYSE
Target $0.99 (-0.5%)
$0.51 52W Range $6.08

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$410.85M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-73.3%
Profit margin
-5.2%
Debt/Equity
0.12
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
92%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a missing Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Profitability metrics are deeply negative, including a -5.24% profit margin, -8.86% operating margin, and a disastrous -73.31% ROE, signaling severe capital inefficiency. Despite a low Price/Sales ratio of 0.07 and a current price of $0.99, the company is unprofitable with declining revenue and negative earnings momentum, while the market has priced in extreme pessimism, as seen in a 5Y return of -96.8%. Analysts unanimously recommend a 'hold' with a target price equal to the current price, suggesting no near-term upside expectation.

Key Strengths

Low Price/Sales ratio of 0.07 suggests potential undervaluation relative to revenue
Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12 indicates minimal leverage and low financial risk from debt
Current Ratio of 1.08 and Quick Ratio of 1.04 show just sufficient short-term liquidity
Recent 1-month price surge of +41.4% may indicate speculative interest or short-term catalyst
Peer comparison shows lower debt than sector average (0.12 vs 2.42)

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and poor earnings stability
Gross Margin of -1.83% means core operations are unprofitable before overhead
ROE of -73.31% and ROA of -12.52% reflect severe inefficiency in equity and asset utilization
Revenue growth is negative YoY (-1.10%), indicating shrinking top line
Forward P/E of -2.55 and negative earnings trend signal persistent unprofitability

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
22
Weak
Value
45
Future
20
Past
15
Health
30
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Highly risky with poor fundamentals and no clear catalyst for recovery
Key drivers: Negative profitability across all margins, Low Piotroski score and missing Altman Z-Score, Shrinking revenue and negative earnings growth, Extremely poor long-term price performance
Confidence
94%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low Price/Sales ratio (0.07) suggests potential value
  • Price/Book of 1.34 is below many growth-oriented healthcare peers
Watchpoints
  • P/E and Forward P/E are negative, invalidating traditional valuation
  • No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value available due to unprofitability
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Slight YoY EPS growth of +3.6% despite deep losses
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is negative (-1.10% YoY)
  • Forward P/E of -2.55 implies no near-term profitability
  • Q/Q EPS growth of -8.0% shows deteriorating earnings
Past
15/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • One quarter beat in the last four (25% beat rate)
  • Some quarters showed positive earnings surprises (e.g., +436.7%)
Watchpoints
  • 14 out of 20 quarters missed estimates
  • Frequent large negative surprises (e.g., -225.7%, -137.0%)
  • 5Y price return of -96.8% reflects sustained value destruction
Health
30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is above distress threshold
  • Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12 reduces bankruptcy risk
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski score indicates weak financial health
  • Altman Z-Score is unavailable, creating uncertainty
  • ROE of -73.31% and negative margins signal operational distress
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid (Dividend Yield: N/A)
  • Dividend Strength score is 0/100
  • Payout Ratio is 0.00% due to lack of dividends

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$0.99
Analyst Target
$0.99
Upside/Downside
-0.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AGL
agilon health, inc.
Primary
5Y
-96.8%
3Y
-95.0%
1Y
-73.1%
6M
-51.9%
1M
+41.4%
1W
-2.8%
OVI
Ovid Therapeutics Inc.
Peer
5Y
-27.0%
3Y
-11.8%
1Y
+865.0%
6M
+67.3%
1M
+41.5%
1W
+6.2%
KID
OrthoPediatrics Corp.
Peer
5Y
-67.6%
3Y
-67.3%
1Y
-25.3%
6M
-2.0%
1M
-10.3%
1W
-0.6%
AUN
Auna SA
Peer
5Y
-41.0%
3Y
-41.0%
1Y
-30.8%
6M
-9.7%
1M
+21.7%
1W
+22.2%
ENT
Enanta Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-71.8%
3Y
-64.9%
1Y
+208.7%
6M
+21.9%
1M
-0.9%
1W
+6.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-2.55
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.34
P/S Ratio
0.07
EV/Revenue
0.02
EV/EBITDA
-0.4
Market Cap
$410.85M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -5.24%
Operating Margin -8.86%
Gross Margin -1.83%
ROE -73.31%
ROA -12.52%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -1.1%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.12
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.08
Good
Quick Ratio
1.04
Good
Cash/Share
$0.75

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-25
$N/A
2025-11-04
$-0.27
-64.1% surprise
2025-08-04
$-0.25
-137.0% surprise
2025-05-06
$0.03
+436.7% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing AGL against 393 companies in the Healthcare sector (24 bullish, 129 neutral, 240 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-73.31%
This Stock
vs
-101.52%
Sector Avg
-27.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-5.24%
This Stock
vs
-12.47%
Sector Avg
-58.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.12
This Stock
vs
3.4
Sector Avg
-96.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-1.1%
This Stock
vs
124.21%
Sector Avg
-100.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.08
This Stock
vs
4.56
Sector Avg
-76.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

SCHWANEKE JEFFREY A
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-09
600,000 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
12 analysts
Barclays
2025-11-06
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Wells Fargo
2025-11-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-10-07
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Bernstein
2025-08-20
down
Outperform Market Perform
Jefferies
2025-08-15
Maintains
Hold Hold
Baird
2025-08-14
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Benchmark
2025-08-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-08-06
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Citigroup
2025-08-06
down
Buy Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AGL from our newsroom.

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