AHL Aspen Insurance Holdings Limite - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AHL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Financial Services
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Current Price
Live
$37.26
Analyst Target
$38.25
+2.7%
Upside
52W High
$37.38
52W Low
$27.05
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 3/9, indicating significant operational and balance sheet concerns. Despite a low P/E of 5.48 and a Graham Number of $67.98—suggesting substantial undervaluation—the company's deteriorating liquidity (Current Ratio: 0.78, Quick Ratio: 0.35) and poor technical trend (10/100) raise red flags. Earnings growth is volatile, with recent Q/Q EPS contraction of -11.5% despite strong YoY gains, while insider sentiment is tepid at 40/100. The absence of a dividend and lack of Altman Z-Score further undermine confidence in stability.
Key Strengths
Low P/E ratio of 5.48 well below sector average of 22.56, indicating potential undervaluation
High profitability margins: 14.22% net margin and 17.55% operating margin
Strong ROE of 13.97%, outperforming sector average of -15.97%
Very low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10, signaling conservative capital structure
Recent earnings surprises have been positive, averaging +3.54% over last 3 quarters
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health and high risk of value trap
Critically low liquidity: Current Ratio of 0.78 and Quick Ratio of 0.35 suggest potential solvency concerns
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents distress risk assessment but low liquidity implies possible danger
Negative Q/Q EPS growth of -11.5% shows recent earnings deterioration despite strong YoY numbers
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum near 52-week high
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$67.98
+82.4% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare AHL against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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Past News Coverage
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