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AIG American International Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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AIG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Financial Services Insurance - Diversified
Current Price Live
$72.32
Analyst Target
$86.95
+20.2% Upside
52W High
$88.07
52W Low
$71.25

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
AIG's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating significant operational and balance sheet concerns. Despite this, valuation appears attractive with a Price/Book of 0.96 and a forward P/E of 9.21, below sector averages, while earnings growth and strong analyst sentiment provide counterbalance. The stock trades well below the Graham Number of $97.16 and intrinsic value estimate of $164.02, suggesting potential undervaluation, but weak liquidity ratios and inconsistent revenue growth raise sustainability questions. Mixed technical trends and lack of insider activity further support a cautious stance despite solid recent earnings surprises and a sustainable dividend yield.

Key Strengths

Attractive valuation metrics with P/E of 13.01 and forward P/E of 9.21, below sector average of 22.01
Strong recent earnings performance with 3 out of last 4 quarters beating estimates and average surprise of 21.97%
Low debt burden with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22, well below sector average of 2.05
Sustainable dividend policy with 2.49% yield and low payout ratio of 30.58%
Significant earnings growth momentum: YoY EPS growth of 78.9% and Q/Q of 11.1%

Key Risks

Very weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, signaling poor financial health and operational deterioration
Critically low liquidity with Current Ratio of 0.62 and Quick Ratio of 0.21, indicating potential short-term solvency risk
Negative revenue growth of -4.10% YoY, contrasting with sector average of 41.24%
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents distress risk assessment, but low ROE of 7.69% and weak current ratio suggest caution
Deteriorating price performance: -16.4% over 1 month and -8.7% over 6 months, underperforming peers
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$97.16
+34.3% above current price

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