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ALC Alcon Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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ALC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Healthcare Medical Instruments & Supplies
Current Price Live
$80.29
Analyst Target
$91.8
+14.3% Upside
52W High
$99.2
52W Low
$71.55

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Alcon Inc. (ALC) exhibits a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite solid revenue growth and strong gross margins, earnings are contracting year-over-year, and the stock trades at a high valuation (P/E 38.60 vs. sector average 212.00) with a weak technical trend. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $91.80 target, implying 14% upside, but this is at odds with deteriorating profitability and low insider sentiment. The Graham Number of $45.87 suggests significant overvaluation, though sector dynamics and growth expectations may justify some premium.

Key Strengths

Solid revenue growth of 6.5% YoY, outpacing some peers
High gross margin of 55.57%, reflecting pricing power and efficient manufacturing
Strong balance sheet with low debt/equity (0.24) and healthy current ratio (2.12)
Conservative dividend policy with low payout ratio (16.22%) ensuring sustainability
Analyst consensus supports 'buy' with 17 analysts and a $91.80 target price

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score (4/9) signals deteriorating fundamentals and poor profitability trends
Earnings under pressure with YoY EPS growth at -2.5% and operating margin decline
High P/E ratio (38.60) vs. Graham fair value of $45.87 implies substantial overvaluation
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), indicating negative price momentum
Missing key financial data (EV, cash, debt, ROIC, shares outstanding) limits confidence in analysis
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$45.87
-42.9% below current price

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