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ALTG

BEARISH
$6.43 Live
Alta Equipment Group Inc. · NYSE
Target $9.95 (+54.7%)
$3.54 52W Range $8.99

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$207.27M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-160.6%
Profit margin
-4.3%
Debt/Equity
420.97
Dividend yield
3.58%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a critically weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating severe operational and profitability deterioration. Despite a bullish analyst recommendation and a high dividend yield, the company is deeply unprofitable (ROE: -160.65%, Profit Margin: -4.34%), leveraged excessively (Debt/Equity: 420.97), and has consistently missed earnings estimates by wide margins. Revenue is declining, cash flow metrics are unavailable, and the Price/Book ratio of 71.44 suggests extreme overvaluation relative to book value. While the stock has rallied 36.8% in the last month, long-term performance remains deeply negative with a 5Y change of -32.2%, raising concerns of speculative momentum rather than fundamental recovery.

Key Strengths

High dividend yield of 3.58% may attract income-seeking investors
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a target price of $9.95, implying 54.9% upside
Gross margin remains relatively healthy at 25.84%, suggesting some pricing power or cost control in core operations
Current ratio of 1.42 indicates short-term liquidity is technically sufficient
Recent 1-month price performance of +36.8% suggests potential short-term momentum or speculative interest

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and poor earnings quality
Extremely high debt-to-equity ratio of 420.97 indicates unsustainable leverage and high bankruptcy risk
Negative return on equity (-160.65%) and negative profit margin (-4.34%) reflect deep unprofitability
Consistently negative earnings surprises, including multiple quarters with >500% downside misses
Payout ratio of 126.67% implies dividend is not sustainable and is being funded by debt or asset sales

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
23
Weak
Value
20
Future
35
Past
22
Health
10
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative position with deteriorating fundamentals and unsustainable capital structure
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, Debt/Equity ratio of 420.97, Negative ROE and profit margin, Unsustainable dividend payout ratio, Consistent earnings misses
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low Price/Sales ratio of 0.11 may suggest undervaluation on revenue basis
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book ratio of 71.44 is extremely high, indicating massive overvaluation relative to equity
  • P/E is N/A due to negative earnings
  • No Graham Number available, implying no defensive value support
Future
35/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 17.07 suggests earnings recovery is priced in
  • Analyst target implies strong future upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth YoY is -5.80%
  • Earnings growth data is N/A, but recent EPS trends show sharp declines
  • No evidence of improving fundamentals to justify forward multiples
Past
22/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Some past quarters showed strong earnings beats (e.g., +1300% in 2022-08)
Watchpoints
  • Frequent and severe earnings misses, including -700% and -1029% surprises
  • 5Y price return of -32.2%, 3Y of -58.5% indicate prolonged underperformance
  • History of negative or near-zero profitability
Health
10/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.42 provides minimal short-term liquidity buffer
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates critical financial weakness
  • Altman Z-Score is unavailable, but extreme leverage and negative earnings imply high distress risk
  • Quick ratio of 0.42 indicates inability to meet short-term obligations without inventory liquidation
  • ROE of -160.65% and negative operating leverage
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 3.58% is above market average
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 126.67% is unsustainable
  • Dividend strength score is only 20/100
  • No visibility on dividend coverage through earnings or free cash flow

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$6.43
Analyst Target
$9.95
Upside/Downside
+54.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALTG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
ALT
Alta Equipment Group Inc.
Primary
5Y
-32.2%
3Y
-58.5%
1Y
-10.7%
6M
-23.1%
1M
+36.8%
1W
-0.6%
ESP
Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.
Peer
5Y
+394.5%
3Y
+246.7%
1Y
+129.4%
6M
+77.8%
1M
+20.4%
1W
+0.1%
GEN
Gencor Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+20.5%
3Y
+16.6%
1Y
+29.3%
6M
+1.3%
1M
-1.2%
1W
-2.0%
PAM
PAMT CORP
Peer
5Y
-37.4%
3Y
-64.0%
1Y
-31.7%
6M
-17.0%
1M
+16.5%
1W
-3.2%
XRX
Xerox Holdings Corporation
Peer
5Y
-90.7%
3Y
-85.0%
1Y
-57.9%
6M
-50.6%
1M
+26.2%
1W
+3.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
17.07
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
71.44
P/S Ratio
0.11
EV/Revenue
0.78
EV/EBITDA
28.34
Market Cap
$207.27M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -4.34%
Operating Margin 1.14%
Gross Margin 25.84%
ROE -160.65%
ROA 0.86%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -5.8%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
420.97
High debt
Current Ratio
1.42
Good
Quick Ratio
0.42
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.44

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-04
$N/A
2025-11-06
$-1.1
-547.6% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.21
+17.6% surprise
2025-05-07
$-0.5
-2.9% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing ALTG against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-160.65%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
+728.8% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-4.34%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-165.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
420.97
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
+15888.3% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-5.8%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-108.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.42
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-54.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

SHRIBMAN DANIEL
Director
Buy
2025-12-08
40,000 shares · $202,940
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
5 analysts
DA Davidson
2025-11-12
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
DA Davidson
2025-08-18
down
Buy Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALTG from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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