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ALTG Alta Equipment Group Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ALTG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Rental & Leasing Services
Current Price Live
$6.43
Analyst Target
$9.95
+54.7% Upside
52W High
$8.99
52W Low
$3.54

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a critically weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating severe operational and profitability deterioration. Despite a bullish analyst recommendation and a high dividend yield, the company is deeply unprofitable (ROE: -160.65%, Profit Margin: -4.34%), leveraged excessively (Debt/Equity: 420.97), and has consistently missed earnings estimates by wide margins. Revenue is declining, cash flow metrics are unavailable, and the Price/Book ratio of 71.44 suggests extreme overvaluation relative to book value. While the stock has rallied 36.8% in the last month, long-term performance remains deeply negative with a 5Y change of -32.2%, raising concerns of speculative momentum rather than fundamental recovery.

Key Strengths

High dividend yield of 3.58% may attract income-seeking investors
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a target price of $9.95, implying 54.9% upside
Gross margin remains relatively healthy at 25.84%, suggesting some pricing power or cost control in core operations
Current ratio of 1.42 indicates short-term liquidity is technically sufficient
Recent 1-month price performance of +36.8% suggests potential short-term momentum or speculative interest

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and poor earnings quality
Extremely high debt-to-equity ratio of 420.97 indicates unsustainable leverage and high bankruptcy risk
Negative return on equity (-160.65%) and negative profit margin (-4.34%) reflect deep unprofitability
Consistently negative earnings surprises, including multiple quarters with >500% downside misses
Payout ratio of 126.67% implies dividend is not sustainable and is being funded by debt or asset sales

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