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ALV Autoliv, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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ALV Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Cyclical Auto Parts
Current Price Live
$126.94
Analyst Target
$138.72
+9.3% Upside
52W High
$130.14
52W Low
$75.49

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$9.75B
P/E
13.03
ROE
31.0%
Profit margin
7.1%
Debt/Equity
0.86
Dividend yield
2.48%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Autoliv (ALV) shows mixed financial health with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and no available Altman Z-Score to assess distress risk. The stock appears reasonably valued with a P/E of 13.03 below sector average, strong ROE of 31.01%, and solid earnings growth of 31% YoY, but faces concerns around liquidity (Current Ratio: 0.95) and technical weakness (Technical Trend: 10/100). Dividend strength is moderate at 50/100 with a sustainable 2.48% yield, while analyst consensus leans positive with a $138.72 target price. However, insider sentiment is lukewarm and recent price performance shows decelerating momentum despite solid long-term returns.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 31.00% with consistent positive surprises in recent quarters
High return on equity (ROE) of 31.01%, significantly above sector average of 5.29%
Attractive valuation relative to sector, with P/E of 13.03 vs. sector average of 55.14
Sustainable dividend policy with a 30.57% payout ratio and 2.48% yield
Revenue growth of 5.90% YoY in a competitive auto parts environment

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health and limited operational strength
Poor liquidity position with Current Ratio of 0.95 and Quick Ratio of 0.62, below safe thresholds
Technical Trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum near term
No Altman Z-Score available, creating uncertainty around bankruptcy risk assessment
High Price/Book ratio of 3.78 may indicate overvaluation relative to book value
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$138.72
+9.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
64
Strong
Value
78
Future
70
Past
60
Health
45
Dividend
68
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with notable financial risks
Key drivers: Strong ROE and earnings growth, Low P/E relative to sector, Weak liquidity and technical indicators, Lack of Altman Z-Score, Positive analyst target
Confidence
75%
Value
78/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 13.03 well below sector average of 55.14
  • Forward P/E of 11.53 suggests improving earnings outlook
  • Price/Sales of 0.92 indicates revenue-based undervaluation
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of 3.78 is high, potentially signaling overvaluation
  • Graham Number ($85.75) significantly below current price ($126.94)
Future
70/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 31.00% YoY earnings growth
  • 26.80% Q/Q earnings growth
  • Analyst target price implies 9.3% upside
Watchpoints
  • No PEG ratio to assess growth-adjusted valuation
  • Revenue growth (5.90%) slightly below sector average (6.54%)
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-Year price return of +62.6% outperforms many peers
  • History of beating earnings estimates in 3 of last 4 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Earnings surprises have been volatile, including misses of -15.6% and -57.2%
  • Recent technical trend weakening with score of 10/100
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.86 is manageable and below sector average of 1.56
  • ROA of 8.27% is healthy
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Current Ratio of 0.95 and Quick Ratio of 0.62 signal liquidity risk
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress assessment
Dividend
68/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 2.48% is above market average
  • Payout ratio of 30.57% is sustainable
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 50/100 suggests only moderate reliability
  • No 5-year average yield data to assess consistency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$126.94
Analyst Target
$138.72
Upside/Downside
+9.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALV and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
Primary
+62.6% +63.5% +28.6% +8.9% +5.9% +0.4%
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc.
Peer
+66.2% +78.1% +0.1% +2.5% -4.9% -1.9%
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
Peer
+34.0% +26.8% +50.3% +33.5% +5.0% +1.1%
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Peer
+163.1% +161.4% -7.9% +23.3% +8.7% -0.6%
AN
AutoNation, Inc.
Peer
+183.9% +87.3% +15.7% +5.4% +0.9% -0.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
13.03
Forward P/E
11.53
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.78
P/S Ratio
0.92
EV/Revenue
1.09
EV/EBITDA
7.71
Market Cap
$9.75B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 7.08%
Operating Margin 9.94%
Gross Margin 19.34%
ROE 31.01%
ROA 8.27%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.9%
Earnings Growth +31.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +26.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.86
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.95
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.62
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.96

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-01-30
$N/A
2025-10-17
$2.32
+11.1% surprise
2025-07-18
$2.21
+5.7% surprise
2025-04-16
$2.15
+28.5% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing ALV against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (5 bullish, 49 neutral, 40 bearish)
P/E Ratio
13.03
This Stock
vs
42.97
Sector Avg
-69.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
31.01%
This Stock
vs
6.02%
Sector Avg
+414.9% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
7.08%
This Stock
vs
0.78%
Sector Avg
+808.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.86
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
-48.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.9%
This Stock
vs
7.65%
Sector Avg
-22.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.95
This Stock
vs
1.88
Sector Avg
-49.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
NEUTRAL $9.75B 13.03 31.0% 7.1% $126.94
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc.
NEUTRAL $10.04B 124.43 11.7% 4.0% $60.97
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
BEARISH $10.32B 67.2 3.0% 0.9% $47.71
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL $9.16B 13.63 40.4% 22.8% $109.57
AN
AutoNation, Inc.
NEUTRAL $7.81B 12.9 27.2% 2.4% $214.26

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-11-06 ALBUSCHUS PETRA Officer Stock Award 328 -
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
16 analysts
Wells Fargo
2025-12-09
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2025-11-26
up
Neutral Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-24
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Baird
2025-10-20
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-10-20
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Deutsche Bank
2025-10-10
down
Buy Hold
Barclays
2025-10-10
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2025-10-07
down
Buy Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-09-25
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2025-09-23
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALV from our newsroom.

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