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AMH American Homes 4 Rent - Fundamental Analysis

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AMH Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Real Estate REIT - Residential
Current Price Live
$31.99
Analyst Target
$36.83
+15.1% Upside
52W High
$39.49
52W Low
$28.85

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Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
AMH exhibits a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial health, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, limiting distress risk assessment. Despite strong recent earnings surprises and solid revenue growth, elevated valuation metrics (P/E of 26.66, Forward P/E of 39.94) and a concerning 98.31% dividend payout ratio raise sustainability concerns. Insider selling and a bearish technical trend counterbalance positive analyst sentiment, while the stock trades above the Graham Number of $22.83 but near the intrinsic value of $35.40. The company's profitability is solid, but ROE and ROIC are constrained by sector dynamics and leverage.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings beat streak with an average surprise of 69.48% over the last four quarters
Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 33.80% and revenue growth of 7.50%
Profit margins are healthy: gross margin at 56.01%, operating margin at 23.54%, and net margin at 24.70%
Debt/Equity of 0.62 is below sector average of 3.68, indicating conservative leverage
Dividend yield of 3.81% is attractive relative to sector and market

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak to stable financial health, limiting confidence in operational strength
Extremely high dividend payout ratio of 98.31% threatens dividend sustainability
Forward P/E of 39.94 is significantly above historical and sector averages, implying overvaluation risk
Insider selling activity: $0.80M in sales with no buys in the last 6 months
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates a strong bearish momentum in price action
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$34.0
+6.3% above current price

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