APA APA Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
APA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
•
Energy
•
Oil & Gas E&P
Current Price
$25.36
Analyst Target
$26.21
+3.4% Upside
52W High
$27.72
52W Low
$13.58
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
APA Corporation exhibits mixed financial health with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and an implausibly high Altman Z-Score of 39.5 billion, suggesting potential data anomaly or extreme leverage insulation. Despite strong profitability metrics like 27.43% ROE and 16.09% profit margin, the company faces declining revenue (-16.40% YoY) and negative technical momentum (10/100 trend score). Valuation appears attractive relative to peers with a P/E of 6.07 versus sector average of 21.83, though growth expectations are muted. The stock trades below analyst target ($26.21) and near its Graham Number ($39.72), but weak cash flow data and deteriorating earnings momentum temper upside potential.
Key Strengths
Exceptionally low P/E ratio of 6.07 significantly below sector average of 21.83, indicating potential undervaluation
High return on equity (27.43%) and strong operating margins (27.28%) reflect efficient capital use and cost control
Attractive dividend yield of 3.94% with conservative payout ratio of 23.92%, supporting income investors
Significant earnings surprises in recent quarters, including +220.6% in Q3 2025, signaling possible earnings resilience
Debt/Equity of 0.67 is moderate and within acceptable range for the capital-intensive E&P sector
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly concerning for a cyclical energy firm
Revenue declined 16.40% year-over-year, reflecting operational or pricing pressures in core business lines
Current ratio of 0.78 and quick ratio of 0.58 suggest short-term liquidity risk and limited cushion against downturns
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum, with price down 5.9% over the last month
Missing key financial data (EV, cash, debt, FCF) raises transparency concerns and limits full risk assessment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$34.5
+36.0% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare APA against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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