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ASC

NEUTRAL
$11.91 Live
Ardmore Shipping Corporation · NYSE
Target $15.45 (+29.7%)
$8.32 52W Range $13.56

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$484.71M
P/E
15.08
ROE
5.4%
Profit margin
11.5%
Debt/Equity
0.18
Dividend yield
3.37%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
ASC exhibits mixed financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating borderline stability, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong recent earnings surprises and a solid dividend yield, the company faces significant headwinds with sharply declining year-over-year revenue and earnings growth. Valuation appears reasonable relative to sector peers given the low P/E and price-to-book ratio, but weak growth metrics and limited cash flow transparency constrain upside. The strong analyst recommendation contrasts with deteriorating fundamentals, suggesting potential optimism priced in.

Key Strengths

Strong recent quarterly earnings performance with 3 out of last 4 beats and consistent positive surprises averaging 15.6%
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18 indicates conservative capital structure and low leverage risk
High current and quick ratios (4.46 and 3.87) reflect robust short-term liquidity position
Attractive dividend yield of 3.37% supported by a sustainable 48.1% payout ratio
Valuation appears favorable with P/E of 15.08 well below sector average of 54.44

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak financial health, particularly concerning profitability and leverage trends
Sharp YoY revenue decline of -15.5% and earnings drop of -45.7% indicate deteriorating operating performance
Missing key financial data (EV, shares outstanding, cash, debt, ROIC, free cash flow) limits confidence in financial transparency
Technical trend score of 0/100 signals strong bearish momentum despite positive analyst views
Lack of Altman Z-Score prevents proper assessment of bankruptcy risk despite low leverage
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$16.56
+39.0% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
56
Moderate
Value
75
Future
30
Past
60
Health
45
Dividend
70
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if growth stabilizes
Key drivers: Low valuation multiples, Strong dividend profile, Deteriorating growth trends, Incomplete financial data, Bearish technicals vs bullish analyst view
Confidence
70%
Value
75/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 15.08 below sector average of 54.44
  • Price/Book of 0.77 suggests asset coverage
  • Graham Number of $16.56 implies 39% upside
Watchpoints
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $5.53 suggests overvaluation
  • PEG unavailable due to negative growth
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +40.9% shows potential rebound
  • Analyst target price implies 29.7% upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue Growth (YoY): -15.50%
  • Earnings Growth (YoY): -45.70%
  • Q/Q Earnings Growth: -47.00%
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beat history (3/4 recent quarters)
  • Long-term 5Y return of +326.9% outperforms market
  • History of positive earnings surprises since 2022
Watchpoints
  • Recent growth trajectory sharply negative
  • Peak earnings in early 2023 now in decline
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.18 is very low
  • Current Ratio of 4.46 indicates strong liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Altman Z-Score not available, creating risk blind spot
  • ROE of 5.39% below sector average of 6.25%
Dividend
70/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 3.37% above market average
  • Payout ratio of 48.1% is sustainable
  • Dividend strength score of 50/100 allows room for growth
Watchpoints
  • No 5-year yield average to assess consistency
  • Dividend history not fully detailed

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$11.91
Analyst Target
$15.45
Upside/Downside
+29.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
ASC
Ardmore Shipping Corporation
Primary
5Y
+326.9%
3Y
+2.1%
1Y
+5.3%
6M
+17.2%
1M
+11.2%
1W
-0.2%
TAT
TAT Technologies Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+626.2%
3Y
+552.7%
1Y
+35.5%
6M
-8.2%
1M
-13.0%
1W
-17.7%
ESE
Euroseas Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+869.5%
3Y
+448.5%
1Y
+161.7%
6M
+26.3%
1M
+6.7%
1W
+2.8%
TIT
Titan Machinery Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.7%
3Y
-33.0%
1Y
+29.6%
6M
+32.6%
1M
+38.1%
1W
+3.8%
AIR
Air T, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+27.4%
3Y
+17.1%
1Y
+23.6%
6M
+8.2%
1M
-1.4%
1W
+0.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
15.08
Forward P/E
17.01
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.77
P/S Ratio
1.57
EV/Revenue
1.89
EV/EBITDA
7.65
Market Cap
$484.71M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 11.5%
Operating Margin 18.55%
Gross Margin 33.31%
ROE 5.39%
ROA 3.63%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -15.5%
Earnings Growth -45.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -47.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.18
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.46
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.87
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.16

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-12
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.31
+14.8% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.22
+20.0% surprise
2025-05-07
$0.14
+12.0% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing ASC against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
15.08
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-84.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.39%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-127.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.5%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+72.9% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.18
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-93.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-15.5%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-121.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.46
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
+44.5% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
2 analysts
Jefferies
2025-11-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Evercore ISI Group
2025-10-28
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Jefferies
2025-07-30
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ASC from our newsroom.

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