ASPN
BEARISH
$3.82
Live
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. · NYSE
Target $6.83
(+78.9%)
$2.79
52W Range
$12.71
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$315.71M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-75.1%
Profit margin
-86.5%
Debt/Equity
0.49
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
The company exhibits severe financial distress with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating weak financial health. Despite a strong current ratio and low debt/equity, profitability is deeply negative, with a profit margin of -86.52% and ROE of -75.06%. Revenue has collapsed by 37.8% year-over-year, and while recent quarters show erratic earnings surprises, the long-term trend is one of deterioration. The stock trades significantly below its 52-week high with a bearish technical trend and negative insider sentiment, reinforcing fundamental weaknesses.
Key Strengths
Strong liquidity position with current ratio of 3.94 and quick ratio of 3.11
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.49, suggesting conservative capital structure
Gross margin remains healthy at 32.89% despite overall losses
Recent quarterly EPS growth shows a positive Q/Q swing of +27.3%
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a target price of $6.83, implying 79% upside
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial weakness and high risk of operational deterioration
Profitability in freefall: net profit margin at -86.52% and ROE at -75.06%
Revenue down 37.8% year-over-year, far worse than sector average of +17.35%
Negative forward P/E of -11.94 suggests no near-term earnings expectations
Insiders have been selling: $0.23M in sales over last 6 months with zero buys
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
22
Weak
35
30
25
20
0
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative position with deteriorating fundamentals
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Negative profitability metrics, Collapsing revenue growth, Bearish insider activity, Extreme valuation disconnect despite analyst optimism
Confidence
80%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/book of 1.03 suggests near-book valuation
- Price/sales of 0.89 below some peers
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E negative at -11.94
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
- No earnings to support valuation
Future
30/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +27.3%
- Analyst target implies significant upside
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth YoY at -37.80%
- No earnings growth visibility
- Negative forward P/E
Past
25/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Some recent quarters beat estimates (2 of last 4)
Watchpoints
- Long-term price performance terrible: -79% over 5Y
- History of large earnings misses (avg surprise -83.98% over last 4)
- Persistent losses over multiple years
Health
20/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 3.94 indicates strong short-term liquidity
- Debt/equity of 0.49 is low
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of only 2/9
- Altman Z-Score unavailable, raising red flag
- ROE of -75.06% and profit margin of -86.52%
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield
- Dividend strength score of 0/100
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$3.82
Analyst Target
$6.83
Upside/Downside
+78.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASPN and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASPN
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
Primary
|
-79.0% | -64.0% | -67.2% | -50.8% | +28.6% | +10.1% |
|
SHIP
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp
Peer
|
+125.3% | +231.8% | +180.5% | +88.5% | +16.3% | +2.4% |
|
BBCP
Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+19.2% | -12.1% | -22.0% | -12.4% | -13.2% | -2.9% |
|
ROMA
Roma Green Finance Limited
Peer
|
+85.0% | +85.0% | +415.9% | +88.2% | +1.6% | +14.6% |
|
FSTR
L.B. Foster Company
Peer
|
+68.8% | +151.6% | +49.6% | +13.8% | +5.2% | +7.1% |
ASP
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-79.0%
3Y
-64.0%
1Y
-67.2%
6M
-50.8%
1M
+28.6%
1W
+10.1%
SHI
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp
Peer
5Y
+125.3%
3Y
+231.8%
1Y
+180.5%
6M
+88.5%
1M
+16.3%
1W
+2.4%
BBC
Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+19.2%
3Y
-12.1%
1Y
-22.0%
6M
-12.4%
1M
-13.2%
1W
-2.9%
ROM
Roma Green Finance Limited
Peer
5Y
+85.0%
3Y
+85.0%
1Y
+415.9%
6M
+88.2%
1M
+1.6%
1W
+14.6%
FST
L.B. Foster Company
Peer
5Y
+68.8%
3Y
+151.6%
1Y
+49.6%
6M
+13.8%
1M
+5.2%
1W
+7.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-11.95
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.03
P/S Ratio
0.89
EV/Revenue
0.89
EV/EBITDA
9.28
Market Cap
$315.71M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-86.52%
Operating Margin
-2.44%
Gross Margin
32.89%
ROE
-75.06%
ROA
1.13%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-37.8%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.49
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.94
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.11
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.82
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-11
$N/A
2025-11-06
$-0.08
-269.2% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.11
+2.9% surprise
2025-05-08
$-0.06
+14.3% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing ASPN against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-75.06%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
+287.3%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
-86.52%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-1400.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.49
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-81.3%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-37.8%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-153.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.94
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
+27.6%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASPN
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $315.71M | - | -75.1% | -86.5% | $3.82 | |
|
SHIP
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp
|
BULLISH | $318.31M | 14.54 | 7.8% | 13.4% | $14.69 | Compare |
|
BBCP
Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $311.94M | 67.33 | 2.0% | 1.6% | $6.06 | Compare |
|
ROMA
Roma Green Finance Limited
|
BEARISH | $319.56M | - | -38.9% | -219.2% | $5.37 | Compare |
|
FSTR
L.B. Foster Company
|
NEUTRAL | $311.48M | 43.43 | 4.2% | 1.4% | $29.97 | Compare |
ASPN
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$316M
P/E
-
ROE
-75.1%
Price
$3.82
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | YOUNG DONALD R | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 56,845 | $183,609 |
| 2025-10-01 | THOELE GRANT DOUGLAS | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 10,273 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | DEEGAN GLENN E | General Counsel | Stock Award | 11,673 | - |
| 2025-08-13 | DANIEL SANTHOSH P | Officer | Sale | 6,410 | $47,317 |
YOUNG DONALD R
Chief Executive Officer
2025-11-13
56,845 shares
·
$183,609
THOELE GRANT DOUGLAS
Chief Financial Officer
2025-10-01
10,273 shares
DEEGAN GLENN E
General Counsel
2025-09-30
11,673 shares
DANIEL SANTHOSH P
Officer
2025-08-13
6,410 shares
·
$47,317
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
6 analysts
Canaccord Genuity
2025-11-07
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2025-11-07
Underweight
Underweight
Barclays
2025-08-11
Equal-Weight
Underweight
Canaccord Genuity
2025-08-08
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ASPN from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.