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ASPN Aspen Aerogels, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ASPN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Building Products & Equipment
Current Price Live
$3.82
Analyst Target
$6.83
+78.9% Upside
52W High
$12.71
52W Low
$2.79

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Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The company exhibits severe financial distress with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating weak financial health. Despite a strong current ratio and low debt/equity, profitability is deeply negative, with a profit margin of -86.52% and ROE of -75.06%. Revenue has collapsed by 37.8% year-over-year, and while recent quarters show erratic earnings surprises, the long-term trend is one of deterioration. The stock trades significantly below its 52-week high with a bearish technical trend and negative insider sentiment, reinforcing fundamental weaknesses.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity position with current ratio of 3.94 and quick ratio of 3.11
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.49, suggesting conservative capital structure
Gross margin remains healthy at 32.89% despite overall losses
Recent quarterly EPS growth shows a positive Q/Q swing of +27.3%
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a target price of $6.83, implying 79% upside

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial weakness and high risk of operational deterioration
Profitability in freefall: net profit margin at -86.52% and ROE at -75.06%
Revenue down 37.8% year-over-year, far worse than sector average of +17.35%
Negative forward P/E of -11.94 suggests no near-term earnings expectations
Insiders have been selling: $0.23M in sales over last 6 months with zero buys

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