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ATHM

BEARISH
$23.14 Live
Autohome Inc. · NYSE
Target $27.71 (+19.8%)
$21.78 52W Range $32.7

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.75B
P/E
13.07
ROE
5.8%
Profit margin
24.2%
Debt/Equity
0.0
Dividend yield
7.78%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
The deterministic scorecard reveals a mixed financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicating stable but not strong fundamentals, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite attractive valuation metrics such as a low P/E of 13.07 and a Price/Book of 0.79, the company faces significant headwinds including negative earnings momentum, declining revenue growth, and a dangerously high payout ratio exceeding 100%. The stock trades below analyst target of $27.71 yet remains in a prolonged downtrend with a 5Y return of -75.8%, signaling deep market skepticism. Strong gross margins and zero debt are offset by deteriorating profitability trends and weak technical posture.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally strong gross margin of 73.31% indicates pricing power and efficient cost control
Zero debt with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 provides balance sheet resilience
High current and quick ratios (8.01 and 7.88) reflect substantial liquidity cushion
Attractive dividend yield of 7.78% offers income appeal despite sustainability concerns
Valuation appears cheap relative to sector with P/E of 13.07 vs sector average of 24.96

Key Risks

Payout ratio of 102.36% exceeds earnings, threatening dividend sustainability
Earnings have declined YoY by 15.8% and QoQ by 14.3%, indicating deteriorating profitability
Revenue growth is nearly flat at 0.20% YoY, well below sector average of 29.57%
Technical trend score of 0/100 signals strong bearish momentum and weak price action
Absence of Altman Z-Score and key financial data (EV, cash, debt) limits risk transparency
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$25.5
+10.2% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
55
Moderate
Value
78
Future
34
Past
56
Health
65
Dividend
42
AI Verdict
Neutral with bearish bias due to declining fundamentals despite value appeal
Key drivers: Low valuation multiples support floor, Deteriorating earnings and revenue growth, High dividend yield with unsustainable payout, Strong liquidity but weak profitability trends, Bearish technical trend and poor long-term price performance
Confidence
80%
Value
78/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 13.07 below sector average of 24.96
  • Price/Book of 0.79 suggests asset coverage
  • Price/Sales of 0.41 indicates deep discount to revenue
Watchpoints
  • Graham Number of $34.25 implies overvaluation at current price of $23.14 is not justified by defensive criteria
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $18.50 is below current price, questioning growth assumptions
Future
34/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 11.92 suggests earnings recovery expectations
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth of 0.20% YoY is stagnant
  • Earnings growth of 2.30% is minimal and reversing downward
  • Q/Q earnings growth of -0.40% confirms deceleration
Past
56/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beat streak: 3 of last 4 quarters exceeded estimates
  • Historical earnings surprises averaged +4.67% over last 4 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Severe earnings miss in 2021 (actual $0.10 vs est $1.50) and repeated misses in 2020
  • Long-term price performance is deeply negative: -75.8% over 5 years
Health
65/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial condition
  • Zero leverage with no debt on balance sheet
  • Exceptional liquidity with current ratio of 8.01
Watchpoints
  • ROE of 5.76% is weak, especially for a tech-adjacent firm
  • ROA of 1.94% indicates inefficient asset utilization
  • Altman Z-Score missing, creating uncertainty in bankruptcy risk assessment
Dividend
42/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High dividend yield of 7.78% is attractive in absolute terms
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 102.36% is unsustainable long-term
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 reflects risk of cut
  • No 5-year average yield to confirm consistency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$23.14
Analyst Target
$27.71
Upside/Downside
+19.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ATHM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
ATH
Autohome Inc.
Primary
5Y
-75.8%
3Y
-28.3%
1Y
-14.4%
6M
-17.6%
1M
-1.6%
1W
+0.2%
BAT
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+62.0%
3Y
+20.9%
1Y
+3.6%
6M
-13.4%
1M
+0.1%
1W
-1.3%
KYI
Kyivstar Group Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+15.8%
3Y
+15.8%
1Y
+4.4%
6M
-3.8%
1M
-1.3%
1W
+13.2%
DJT
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
Peer
5Y
-7.5%
3Y
-30.2%
1Y
-46.9%
6M
-46.0%
1M
-10.4%
1W
-0.9%
BAT
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+53.5%
3Y
+13.8%
1Y
+3.9%
6M
-13.1%
1M
+0.5%
1W
-1.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
13.07
Forward P/E
11.92
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.79
P/S Ratio
0.41
EV/Revenue
-1.44
EV/EBITDA
-9.1
Market Cap
$2.75B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 24.21%
Operating Margin 8.27%
Gross Margin 73.31%
ROE 5.76%
ROA 1.94%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +0.2%
Earnings Growth +2.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -0.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.0
Low debt
Current Ratio
8.01
Strong
Quick Ratio
7.88
Excellent
Cash/Share
$46.71

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-19
$N/A
2025-11-06
$0.48
+2.8% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.56
+4.1% surprise
2025-05-08
$0.49
+7.1% surprise

Communication Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ATHM against 190 companies in the Communication Services sector (13 bullish, 54 neutral, 123 bearish)
P/E Ratio
13.07
This Stock
vs
58.14
Sector Avg
-77.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.76%
This Stock
vs
-47.35%
Sector Avg
-112.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
24.21%
This Stock
vs
-7.97%
Sector Avg
-404.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.0
This Stock
vs
1.45
Sector Avg
-99.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
0.2%
This Stock
vs
547.84%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
8.01
This Stock
vs
2.17
Sector Avg
+268.4% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
13 analysts
JP Morgan
2025-10-29
down
Overweight Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ATHM from our newsroom.

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