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ATI ATI Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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ATI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Metal Fabrication
Current Price Live
$123.55
Analyst Target
$133.0
+7.6% Upside
52W High
$127.11
52W Low
$39.23

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
ATI has a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score to confirm solvency. Despite strong recent earnings growth (YoY EPS +41.7%) and solid ROE of 24.62%, the stock trades at a steep valuation (P/E 39.85, Price/Book 9.83) well above the Graham Number of $29.6, suggesting significant growth expectations are already priced in. Insider selling activity worth $20.38M over the past six months signals caution, while analysts maintain a strong_buy consensus with a $133.00 target. The combination of rich multiples, weak financial health signals, and negative insider sentiment offsets strong profitability and growth metrics, resulting in a neutral outlook.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year earnings growth (EPS +41.7%) and consistent earnings beat history (3 of last 4 quarters)
High return on equity (ROE) of 24.62%, significantly above sector average of 5.57%
Solid operating margin of 15.11% and improving profitability trend over recent quarters
Current ratio of 2.50 indicates adequate short-term liquidity
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with a target price 7.6% above current levels

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and below-average stability
Extremely high valuation metrics: P/E of 39.85 vs sector average of 53.38, but with much lower growth than peers like AVAV
Insiders have been aggressively selling ($20.38M in sales, 0 buys) over the last 6 months
Lack of Altman Z-Score prevents definitive solvency assessment; Debt/Equity of 1.04 is moderate but concerning given low F-Score
Stock trades far above Graham Number ($29.6) and even intrinsic value estimate ($91.45), leaving little margin of safety
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$91.45
-26.0% below current price

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