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ATO

NEUTRAL
$165.34 Live
Atmos Energy Corporation · NYSE
Target $177.54 (+7.4%)
$138.9 52W Range $180.65

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
ATO exhibits a mixed financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating stable but not strong financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $118.68 at $165.34, reflecting a premium valuation, though below the growth-based intrinsic value of $220.07. Strong profitability metrics like a 25.49% profit margin and 30.70% operating margin contrast with weak liquidity (Current Ratio: 0.77) and bearish technical trend. Analysts consensus is 'hold' with a target price of $177.55, implying modest upside, while insider activity shows slight selling pressure.

Key Strengths

High profitability with 25.49% profit margin and 30.70% operating margin, well above sector average of 13.47%
Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 28.9% and revenue growth of 12.10%, outpacing peer averages
Defensive dividend profile with a sustainable 46.65% payout ratio and 2.42% yield
Lower-than-peer Debt/Equity ratio of 0.69 versus sector average of 1.80, indicating conservative leverage
Consistent earnings beat record: 3 out of last 4 quarters, with a 5-year average surprise of ~6%

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests borderline financial health, limiting confidence in operational strength
Very weak liquidity with Current Ratio of 0.77 and Quick Ratio of 0.43, below the safe threshold of 1.0
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and recent price weakness: -3.0% over 1 week and -1.8% over 1 month
No Altman Z-Score available, creating uncertainty around financial distress risk
Insider selling activity: 1 sale transaction worth $0.08M with no buys in the last 6 months
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$195.0
+17.9% above current price

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