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ATR

NEUTRAL
$126.0 Live
AptarGroup, Inc. · NYSE
Target $159.14 (+26.3%)
$103.23 52W Range $164.28

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
AptarGroup exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating robust fundamentals and consistent profitability. The company trades below its growth-based intrinsic value of $186.14 but at a premium to its Graham defensive value of $77.42, reflecting reasonable valuation given its earnings momentum. Despite solid ROE of 15.62% and low debt/equity of 0.46, insider selling and weak technical trend signal caution. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a target price of $159.14, implying 26% upside, though recent price performance remains negative over the past year.

Key Strengths

Piotroski F-Score of 8 indicates exceptional financial strength and high-quality earnings
Strong profitability metrics: ROE of 15.62%, operating margin of 15.15%, and gross margin of 38.11%
Low leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46, well below sector average of 2.33
Earnings growth of 29.7% YoY and consistent EPS beats over the last 4 quarters (3 out of 4)
Dividend payout ratio of 28.89% is sustainable with room for future increases

Key Risks

Insider selling activity: $2.32M in sales over last 6 months with no buys, signaling bearish sentiment
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish momentum in price action
Current ratio of 1.19 and quick ratio of 0.72 suggest potential near-term liquidity pressure
Price down 20.1% over the past year despite strong earnings, indicating possible market skepticism
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents full assessment of bankruptcy risk; absence is a data red flag
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$165.0
+31.0% above current price

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