AU AngloGold Ashanti plc - Fundamental Analysis
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AU Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Basic Materials
Gold
Current Price
Live
$106.26
Analyst Target
$101.29
-4.7%
Downside
52W High
$107.6
52W Low
$27.48
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$53.65B
P/E
22.56
ROE
38.7%
Profit margin
26.3%
Debt/Equity
0.24
Dividend yield
2.45%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite robust profitability metrics—ROE of 38.71%, operating margin of 42.49%, and strong YoY earnings growth of 147.2%—the stock trades at a premium valuation with a P/E of 22.56 and Price/Book of 6.98, above sector averages. Persistent earnings misses over the last four quarters and a weak technical trend score of 10/100 suggest caution, even as analyst consensus remains at 'buy'. The current price of $106.26 sits above the Graham Number of $40.18, reflecting high growth expectations rather than defensive value.
Key Strengths
Exceptional profitability with ROE of 38.71% and operating margin of 42.49%, significantly outperforming sector average ROE of -3.16%
Strong year-over-year revenue and earnings growth: 62.10% and 147.20% respectively, well above peer average revenue growth of 16.00%
Low leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.24, below sector average of 0.63, indicating conservative capital structure
Healthy liquidity position with Current Ratio of 2.58 and Quick Ratio of 1.69, suggesting strong short-term financial resilience
Sustainable dividend policy with a 2.45% yield and a reasonable 35.42% payout ratio, supporting income investors
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable financial health, not strong, warranting caution on balance sheet momentum
Absence of Altman Z-Score limits ability to assess bankruptcy risk; missing data on working capital or retained earnings may signal reporting gaps
Consistent earnings misses over the last four quarters with average surprise of -4.70%, including a -30.9% miss in Q4 2024, raising execution concerns
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum despite strong long-term price performance, indicating potential near-term reversal risk
Valuation premium: P/E of 22.56 and Price/Book of 6.98 exceed sector averages (Avg P/E: 34.40, but Avg Profit Margin: -6.16%), suggesting vulnerability to multiple contraction if growth slows
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$105.0
-1.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
65
Strong
52
78
64
60
70
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with notable valuation and execution risks
Key drivers: High profitability and growth, Low debt and strong liquidity, Persistent earnings misses, Rich valuation multiples, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
75%
Value
52/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 12.49 suggests lower expected valuation vs current P/E of 22.56
- Dividend yield of 2.45% provides income floor
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 22.56 is high for a commodity stock
- Price/Book of 6.98 significantly above sector average
- Stock trades at 2.6x Graham Number ($40.18), indicating speculative premium
Future
78/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY Earnings Growth of 147.20% and Revenue Growth of 62.10% are exceptional
- Q/Q Earnings Growth of 200.00% indicates accelerating profitability
- Forward P/E of 12.49 implies earnings expansion is priced in
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprises have been negative for 4 consecutive quarters
- Lack of PEG ratio limits growth-adjusted valuation insight
Past
64/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5-year price return of +407.8% reflects strong investor returns
- Historical ROE and margin strength demonstrate operational excellence
Watchpoints
- Erratic earnings surprises over the past 10 years, including large negative beats
- Missing Q/Q growth data limits short-term trend analysis
Health
60/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial condition
- Debt/Equity of 0.24 and Current Ratio of 2.58 reflect solid capital structure
Watchpoints
- Piotroski score below 7 signals lack of financial strength momentum
- No Altman Z-Score available, creating blind spot in distress risk modeling
Dividend
70/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend Strength score of 50/100 supports moderate reliability
- 2.45% yield is attractive in current rate environment
- 35.42% payout ratio is sustainable given earnings growth
Watchpoints
- 5-Year Avg Yield not available, limiting trend analysis
- No ex-dividend date provided, reducing transparency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$106.26
Analyst Target
$101.29
Upside/Downside
-4.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AU and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AU
AngloGold Ashanti plc
Primary
|
+407.8% | +425.9% | +298.8% | +117.2% | +18.2% | +7.3% |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.
Peer
|
+6.0% | -9.9% | -17.2% | -11.4% | +7.1% | -2.3% |
|
CTVA
Corteva, Inc.
Peer
|
+85.9% | +2.0% | +16.1% | -3.3% | +6.6% | +2.9% |
|
AMRZ
Amrize Ltd
Peer
|
+4.3% | +4.3% | +4.3% | +5.7% | -2.9% | -0.5% |
|
ECL
Ecolab Inc.
Peer
|
+35.5% | +86.8% | +17.1% | +3.6% | +5.8% | +2.0% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
22.56
Forward P/E
12.49
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
6.98
P/S Ratio
6.26
EV/Revenue
6.45
EV/EBITDA
12.34
Market Cap
$53.65B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
26.25%
Operating Margin
42.49%
Gross Margin
45.92%
ROE
38.71%
ROA
18.15%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+62.1%
Earnings Growth
+147.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+200.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.24
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.58
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.69
Excellent
Cash/Share
$5.04
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-20
$N/A
2025-11-11
$1.32
-3.3% surprise
2025-08-01
$1.25
-3.1% surprise
2025-05-09
$0.88
-7.7% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing AU against 41 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(1 bullish, 21 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.56
This Stock
vs
30.38
Sector Avg
-25.7%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
38.71%
This Stock
vs
0.39%
Sector Avg
+9710.0%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
26.25%
This Stock
vs
-2.52%
Sector Avg
-1140.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.24
This Stock
vs
0.61
Sector Avg
-60.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
62.1%
This Stock
vs
14.81%
Sector Avg
+319.4%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
2.58
This Stock
vs
2.28
Sector Avg
+13.3%
(Better)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AU
AngloGold Ashanti plc
|
NEUTRAL | $53.65B | 22.56 | 38.7% | 26.3% | $106.26 | |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $58.17B | - | -1.9% | -3.3% | $261.35 | |
|
CTVA
Corteva, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $44.73B | 26.72 | 6.7% | 9.2% | $66.0 | |
|
AMRZ
Amrize Ltd
|
NEUTRAL | $30.0B | 22.98 | 10.3% | 10.0% | $54.24 | |
|
ECL
Ecolab Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $78.58B | 39.92 | 21.9% | 12.5% | $277.07 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Citigroup
2026-01-20
Buy
Buy
Roth Capital
2025-12-15
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2025-12-10
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-12-03
Overweight
Overweight
Scotiabank
2025-11-12
Sector Outperform
Sector Outperform
Citigroup
2025-10-27
Buy
Scotiabank
2025-10-23
Sector Perform
Sector Outperform
JP Morgan
2025-08-06
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AU from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.