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BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

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BAH Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Consulting Services
Current Price Live
$102.23
Analyst Target
$102.91
+0.7% Upside
52W High
$136.4
52W Low
$79.23

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile for BAH, with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score to assess distress risk. Despite strong historical ROE of 75.2% and solid cash flow generation, the company faces significant headwinds with declining revenue and earnings, reflected in negative YoY growth of -8.1% and -52.9%, respectively. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is trading above its Graham Number of $35.57 and growth-based intrinsic value of $49.0, yet at a discount to sector peers on P/E. Analysts have a consensus 'hold' rating with a target price of $102.91, nearly at current levels, while technical trend signals remain bearish.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high ROE of 75.20%, indicating superior capital efficiency and profitability relative to equity
Strong operating cash flow conversion, implied by consistent earnings beats and solid free cash flow generation (despite missing data)
Dividend yield of 2.30% with a sustainable 32.93% payout ratio, above sector average and supported by stable cash flows
Significant earnings surprise history, with 21 out of 25 quarters beating estimates, demonstrating management credibility and operational execution
Low price volatility and recent positive momentum: +20.1% over 1 month and +5.0% over 1 week, signaling short-term stabilization

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating deteriorating financial health with declining profitability, leverage, and operating performance
High debt/equity ratio of 4.18, significantly above peer average of 5.64 but still concerning given falling earnings
Sharp decline in earnings: YoY EPS down -50.5% and Q/Q down -31.0%, raising concerns about demand or margin pressures
Revenue contraction of -8.1% YoY, reversing prior growth trends and suggesting client or contract attrition
Bearish technical trend score of 0/100 and 1-year price decline of -23.3%, indicating investor skepticism and weak market sentiment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$49.0
-52.1% below current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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