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BAK Braskem S.A. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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BAK Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Basic Materials Chemicals
Current Price Live
$3.63
Analyst Target
$3.67
+1.2% Upside
52W High
$5.1
52W Low
$2.32

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
The deterministic health scores paint a deeply concerning picture: BAK has a Piotroski F-Score of just 1/9, indicating severe financial weakness. Despite a recent short-term price rebound, the company is unprofitable, deeply leveraged, and experiencing sharp revenue and earnings declines. Negative margins, deteriorating cash flows, and inconsistent earnings surprises further undermine any valuation appeal. While the insider sentiment is neutral and analysts recommend a hold, the fundamental trajectory remains negative with no clear path to recovery.

Key Strengths

Recent short-term price momentum: +17.9% over 1 month and +10.3% over 6 months suggest possible speculative or cyclical rebound.
Low Price/Sales ratio of 0.02 indicates the market prices BAK extremely cheaply relative to sales, potentially pricing in worst-case scenarios.
Current Ratio of 1.18 shows minimal short-term liquidity coverage, avoiding immediate technical insolvency.
Analyst target price of $3.67 is marginally above current price ($3.63), implying limited near-term downside according to consensus.
Some recent earnings surprises were positive (e.g., +130.9% in Q3 2023), suggesting potential for volatility-driven rallies.

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals extreme financial distress—among the weakest possible fundamental health profiles.
Negative Profit Margin (-7.11%) and Operating Margin (-9.65%) reflect ongoing unprofitability and poor cost control.
Price/Book of -4.33 indicates negative book value, a red flag for solvency and asset-backed value.
Revenue Growth YoY of -18.60% shows steep top-line contraction, worsening an already fragile position.
Quick Ratio of 0.56 suggests inadequate liquid assets to cover short-term liabilities, raising liquidity concerns.

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