BBAI
BEARISH
$5.82
Live
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Target $6.67
(+14.5%)
$2.36
52W Range
$10.36
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.66B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-120.3%
Profit margin
-295.6%
Debt/Equity
0.19
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score and negative profitability metrics raise concerns. Despite strong liquidity (Current Ratio: 3.13), the company is deeply unprofitable with a -295.61% profit margin and -120.34% ROE, while revenue is declining YoY by -20.10%. Valuation multiples are extremely stretched with a Price/Sales of 18.48 and a negative Forward P/E of -29.10, suggesting speculative pricing unsupported by fundamentals. Insider selling and weak earnings surprise history further undermine confidence.
Key Strengths
Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates moderate financial stability
Strong liquidity position with Current Ratio of 3.13 and Quick Ratio of 3.11
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19, indicating minimal leverage risk
Recent EPS growth shows improvement: YoY +120.0%, Q/Q +101.4%
Gross Margin of 27.28% suggests some operational efficiency at the top line
Key Risks
Severe and persistent unprofitability: -295.61% profit margin and -53.35% operating margin
Revenue declining YoY by -20.10%, indicating shrinking business fundamentals
Negative Forward P/E of -29.10 and lack of meaningful valuation metrics signal speculative trading
Absence of Altman Z-Score prevents distress risk assessment, but negative ROE and earnings imply high bankruptcy risk
Insiders have been net sellers: $0.41M in sales over last 6 months with no buys
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
32
Weak
25
42
35
58
0
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative position with deteriorating fundamentals and unattractive valuation
Key drivers: Negative earnings and margins, Declining revenue, Stretched valuation multiples, Insider selling, Lack of Altman Z-Score
Confidence
88%
Value
25/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Price/Sales of 18.48 is extremely high for a shrinking, unprofitable company
- Forward P/E of -29.10 indicates negative earnings
- No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value available due to unprofitability
Future
42/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Recent YoY and Q/Q EPS growth show dramatic improvement from prior losses
Watchpoints
- Revenue Growth (YoY) is -20.10%, indicating contraction
- No analyst target high/low range, suggesting low conviction
Past
35/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6 reflects some historical stability
Watchpoints
- History of massive earnings misses: average surprise of -416.21% over last 4 quarters
- Long track record of negative earnings across 17 quarters
Health
58/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6 suggests stable financial condition
- Strong liquidity with Current and Quick Ratios above 3.0
- Low Debt/Equity of 0.19 reduces solvency risk
Watchpoints
- No Altman Z-Score reported, limiting distress risk analysis
- ROE of -120.34% and ROA of -5.87% indicate severe capital inefficiency
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid: Dividend Yield and Rate are N/A
- Dividend Strength score is 0/100
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$5.82
Analyst Target
$6.67
Upside/Downside
+14.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BBAI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BBAI
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
Primary
|
-40.8% | +183.9% | +37.9% | -21.2% | -3.5% | -4.9% |
|
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc.
Peer
|
-13.4% | -13.4% | -13.4% | +1.2% | +17.2% | +8.8% |
|
ASAN
Asana, Inc.
Peer
|
-71.0% | -20.2% | -45.3% | -25.2% | -18.8% | +1.9% |
|
PLAB
Photronics, Inc.
Peer
|
+272.7% | +197.5% | +157.8% | +96.0% | +32.2% | +3.1% |
|
TSAT
Telesat Corporation
Peer
|
+41.5% | +495.7% | +242.4% | +56.7% | +43.2% | +18.1% |
BBA
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-40.8%
3Y
+183.9%
1Y
+37.9%
6M
-21.2%
1M
-3.5%
1W
-4.9%
PTR
Pattern Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-13.4%
3Y
-13.4%
1Y
-13.4%
6M
+1.2%
1M
+17.2%
1W
+8.8%
ASA
Asana, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-71.0%
3Y
-20.2%
1Y
-45.3%
6M
-25.2%
1M
-18.8%
1W
+1.9%
PLA
Photronics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+272.7%
3Y
+197.5%
1Y
+157.8%
6M
+96.0%
1M
+32.2%
1W
+3.1%
TSA
Telesat Corporation
Peer
5Y
+41.5%
3Y
+495.7%
1Y
+242.4%
6M
+56.7%
1M
+43.2%
1W
+18.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-29.1
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.16
P/S Ratio
18.48
EV/Revenue
14.33
EV/EBITDA
-43.61
Market Cap
$2.66B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-295.61%
Operating Margin
-53.35%
Gross Margin
27.28%
ROE
-120.34%
ROA
-5.87%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-20.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.19
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.13
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.11
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.34
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-05
$N/A
2025-11-10
$0.01
+113.6% surprise
2025-08-11
$-0.71
-1021.1% surprise
2025-05-01
$-0.25
-341.1% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing BBAI against 565 companies in the Technology sector
(45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-120.34%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
+259.5%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
-295.61%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
+2416.1%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.19
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
-75.1%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-20.1%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-100.5%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.13
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
-12.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BBAI
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.66B | - | -120.3% | -295.6% | $5.82 | |
|
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.69B | - | 3.4% | 0.6% | $13.53 | Compare |
|
ASAN
Asana, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.64B | - | -102.5% | -28.3% | $11.14 | Compare |
|
PLAB
Photronics, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.7B | 19.59 | 12.2% | 15.8% | $45.84 | Compare |
|
TSAT
Telesat Corporation
|
BEARISH | $2.71B | - | -24.9% | -37.2% | $53.08 | Compare |
BBAI
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$2.7B
P/E
-
ROE
-120.3%
Price
$5.82
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | FULCHINO PAUL E | Director | Stock Award | 18,650 | - |
| 2025-12-04 | RICKER SEAN RAYMOND | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 5,000 | $35,296 |
| 2025-11-18 | HAYES DOROTHY D. | Director | Sale | 22,000 | $133,870 |
| 2025-10-14 | RICKER SEAN RAYMOND | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 200,000 | - |
| 2025-08-27 | RICKER SEAN RAYMOND | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 11,980 | $64,093 |
| 2025-08-14 | HAYES DOROTHY D. | Director | Sale | 30,000 | $174,900 |
| 2025-08-12 | EVANGELISTA ANTHONY | Director | Stock Award | 15,092 | - |
FULCHINO PAUL E
Director
2025-12-19
18,650 shares
RICKER SEAN RAYMOND
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-04
5,000 shares
·
$35,296
HAYES DOROTHY D.
Director
2025-11-18
22,000 shares
·
$133,870
RICKER SEAN RAYMOND
Chief Financial Officer
2025-10-14
200,000 shares
RICKER SEAN RAYMOND
Chief Financial Officer
2025-08-27
11,980 shares
·
$64,093
HAYES DOROTHY D.
Director
2025-08-14
30,000 shares
·
$174,900
EVANGELISTA ANTHONY
Director
2025-08-12
15,092 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-01-07
Overweight
Neutral
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-11-11
Buy
Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-08-12
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BBAI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.