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BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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BBAI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Technology Information Technology Services
Current Price Live
$5.82
Analyst Target
$6.67
+14.5% Upside
52W High
$10.36
52W Low
$2.36

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score and negative profitability metrics raise concerns. Despite strong liquidity (Current Ratio: 3.13), the company is deeply unprofitable with a -295.61% profit margin and -120.34% ROE, while revenue is declining YoY by -20.10%. Valuation multiples are extremely stretched with a Price/Sales of 18.48 and a negative Forward P/E of -29.10, suggesting speculative pricing unsupported by fundamentals. Insider selling and weak earnings surprise history further undermine confidence.

Key Strengths

Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates moderate financial stability
Strong liquidity position with Current Ratio of 3.13 and Quick Ratio of 3.11
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19, indicating minimal leverage risk
Recent EPS growth shows improvement: YoY +120.0%, Q/Q +101.4%
Gross Margin of 27.28% suggests some operational efficiency at the top line

Key Risks

Severe and persistent unprofitability: -295.61% profit margin and -53.35% operating margin
Revenue declining YoY by -20.10%, indicating shrinking business fundamentals
Negative Forward P/E of -29.10 and lack of meaningful valuation metrics signal speculative trading
Absence of Altman Z-Score prevents distress risk assessment, but negative ROE and earnings imply high bankruptcy risk
Insiders have been net sellers: $0.41M in sales over last 6 months with no buys

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