BBDC
BEARISH
$9.15
Live
Barings BDC, Inc. · NYSE
Target $9.7
(+6.0%)
$7.66
52W Range
$10.85
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant concerns, with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9 indicating weak financial health. Despite a high dividend yield of 11.27%, the unsustainable 108.33% payout ratio and bearish insider activity raise red flags. While profitability metrics like operating margin and ROE are strong relative to peers, elevated debt (D/E of 1.39) and deteriorating earnings momentum in recent quarters undermine confidence. The stock trades below intrinsic value estimates ($17.34) and slightly above the Graham Number ($15.40), but structural risks outweigh valuation appeal.
Key Strengths
High operating margin (77.98%) suggests strong cost control and pricing power
Attractive dividend yield of 11.27% offers income appeal in a low-growth environment
Price/Book of 0.82 indicates the stock trades below book value, signaling potential undervaluation
ROE of 8.60% exceeds sector average of -11.99%, reflecting better capital efficiency than peers
P/E ratio of 9.63 is significantly below sector average of 21.15, suggesting relative value
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and poor fundamental health
Dividend payout ratio of 108.33% is unsustainable and likely to lead to a cut or suspension
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.39 is high, increasing vulnerability to rising interest rates or credit tightening
Insider selling activity over the past 6 months reflects lack of confidence from management
Earnings surprise trend has weakened, with 3 of the last 4 quarters missing or barely meeting estimates
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$14.5
+58.5% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare BBDC against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
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