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BGS B&G Foods, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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BGS Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Defensive Packaged Foods
Current Price Live
$4.41
Analyst Target
$4.2
-4.8% Downside
52W High
$8.06
52W Low
$3.67

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
BGS has a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite deeply depressed valuation multiples—Price/Book of 0.75 and Price/Sales of 0.19—the company is unprofitable on a net basis with a -13.61% profit margin and an alarming -40.86% ROE. The dividend yield of 17.76% is unsustainable given a 333.33% payout ratio, and insider selling, weak earnings surprises, and negative revenue growth further undermine confidence. While recent EPS growth appears strong, it stems from a low base after prior losses, and the stock trades below analyst target prices, signaling limited upside.

Key Strengths

Low valuation multiples suggest potential undervaluation (P/S: 0.19, P/B: 0.75)
Current ratio of 3.21 indicates strong short-term liquidity
Operating margin of 11.71% remains positive despite net losses
Recent quarterly EPS growth of +225% QoQ shows improvement from prior losses
Gross margin of 21.78% is stable relative to sector

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 5 indicates borderline financial health with key weaknesses in profitability and leverage
Extremely high debt/equity ratio of 4.40 raises solvency concerns
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 333.33% threatens future distributions
Profit margin of -13.61% and ROE of -40.86% reflect severe profitability issues
Insider selling and bearish technical trend signal lack of confidence

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