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BH-A

BEARISH
$2434.13 Live
Biglari Holdings Inc. · NYSE
$999.01 52W Range $2513.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$1.51B
P/E
227.28
ROE
0.4%
Profit margin
0.5%
Debt/Equity
0.6
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a missing Altman Z-Score prevents a full solvency assessment. Despite strong revenue growth (10.3%) and solid balance sheet metrics (Current Ratio: 2.83, Debt/Equity: 0.60), the company's profitability is alarmingly thin (0.54% net margin, 0.35% ROE) and the P/E ratio of 227.28 is drastically elevated compared to sector averages. The stock trades at a massive premium to its Graham Number of $474.68, with a current price of $2,434.13, suggesting severe overvaluation. While insider sentiment is neutral and recent price momentum is strong, the lack of earnings growth visibility, inconsistent earnings surprises, and deteriorating ROE raise serious concerns about sustainability.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth (10.3% YoY) outpaces sector average (7.57%)
Healthy liquidity position with Current Ratio of 2.83 and Quick Ratio of 2.73
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60, below sector average of 1.69, indicating conservative leverage
Significant positive earnings surprise in recent quarters (avg +35.45%)
Exceptional short- and medium-term price performance (1Y: +131.1%, 6M: +55.9%)

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and poor earnings quality
Extremely high P/E ratio of 227.28 vs sector avg of 52.17 suggests severe overvaluation
Negligible profitability: ROE of 0.35% and net margin of 0.54% are well below peers
Missing Altman Z-Score raises uncertainty around bankruptcy risk
Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of -8034.8% indicates catastrophic earnings deterioration
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$474.68
-80.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
33
Weak
Value
18
Future
45
Past
68
Health
34
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued with weak fundamentals and high risk
Key drivers: High P/E ratio, Low Piotroski F-Score, Poor profitability metrics, Extreme deviation from Graham Number, Negative earnings growth trend
Confidence
80%
Value
18/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Sales of 3.91 in line with high-growth consumer cyclical peers
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 227.28 is extremely high
  • No PEG ratio due to unreliable earnings growth
  • Current price is 412% above Graham Number of $474.68
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 10.3% above sector average
  • Historical earnings surprises have been positive on average
Watchpoints
  • No forward P/E or earnings growth data available
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of -8034.8% indicates collapse in profitability
  • No analyst coverage to validate growth expectations
Past
68/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5Y price return of +361.4% significantly outperforms sector
  • Consistent revenue growth trend
  • Positive average earnings surprise of 35.45%
Watchpoints
  • Earnings have swung from negative to deeply negative
  • Profitability metrics have declined over time
Health
34/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Strong liquidity (Current Ratio: 2.83)
  • Low leverage (Debt/Equity: 0.60)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Altman Z-Score not available, creating risk blind spot
  • ROE of 0.35% and ROA of 1.54% reflect poor capital efficiency
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength: 0/100
  • No dividend yield or payout history
  • No indication of capital return to shareholders

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$2434.13

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BH-A and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BH-
Biglari Holdings Inc.
Primary
5Y
+361.4%
3Y
+231.2%
1Y
+131.1%
6M
+55.9%
1M
+29.8%
1W
+2.3%
BOB
Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-30.7%
3Y
-30.7%
1Y
-30.7%
6M
-30.7%
1M
+2.8%
1W
-9.4%
ACV
ACV Auctions Inc.
Peer
5Y
-72.8%
3Y
-8.0%
1Y
-61.5%
6M
-41.7%
1M
+2.9%
1W
-2.8%
BH
Biglari Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+310.2%
3Y
+205.9%
1Y
+110.4%
6M
+46.2%
1M
+29.3%
1W
+1.5%
TRS
TriMas Corporation
Peer
5Y
+27.2%
3Y
+44.6%
1Y
+90.0%
6M
+1.4%
1M
+12.4%
1W
-1.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
227.28
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.6
P/S Ratio
3.91
EV/Revenue
3.85
EV/EBITDA
23.23
Market Cap
$1.51B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.54%
Operating Margin 9.12%
Gross Margin 38.28%
ROE 0.35%
ROA 1.54%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +10.3%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.6
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.83
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.73
Excellent
Cash/Share
$594.87

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2019-02-25
$-18.71
-25.5% surprise
2018-08-03
$-0.23
+96.4% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing BH-A against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
227.28
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
+568.8% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
0.35%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-100.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.54%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-110.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.6
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-60.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
10.3%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-63.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.83
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
+15.1% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BIGLARI SARDAR
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2025-12-17
368 shares · $601,135
BIGLARI SARDAR
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2025-12-16
216 shares · $347,702
BIGLARI SARDAR
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2025-11-24
213 shares · $299,536
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BH-A from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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