BH-A Biglari Holdings Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

BH-A Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants

Current Price Live

$2434.13

52W High

$2513.0

52W Low

$999.01

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AI Analysis

Confidence Score

78%

Analysis Accuracy

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a missing Altman Z-Score prevents a full solvency assessment. Despite strong revenue growth (10.3%) and solid balance sheet metrics (Current Ratio: 2.83, Debt/Equity: 0.60), the company's profitability is alarmingly thin (0.54% net margin, 0.35% ROE) and the P/E ratio of 227.28 is drastically elevated compared to sector averages. The stock trades at a massive premium to its Graham Number of $474.68, with a current price of $2,434.13, suggesting severe overvaluation. While insider sentiment is neutral and recent price momentum is strong, the lack of earnings growth visibility, inconsistent earnings surprises, and deteriorating ROE raise serious concerns about sustainability.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth (10.3% YoY) outpaces sector average (7.57%)

Healthy liquidity position with Current Ratio of 2.83 and Quick Ratio of 2.73

Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60, below sector average of 1.69, indicating conservative leverage

Significant positive earnings surprise in recent quarters (avg +35.45%)

Exceptional short- and medium-term price performance (1Y: +131.1%, 6M: +55.9%)

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and poor earnings quality

Extremely high P/E ratio of 227.28 vs sector avg of 52.17 suggests severe overvaluation

Negligible profitability: ROE of 0.35% and net margin of 0.54% are well below peers

Missing Altman Z-Score raises uncertainty around bankruptcy risk

Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of -8034.8% indicates catastrophic earnings deterioration

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$474.68

-80.5% below current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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