BHP
NEUTRAL
$67.52
Live
BHP Group Limited · NYSE
Target $57.0
(-15.6%)
$39.73
52W Range
$67.56
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$173.45B
P/E
19.07
ROE
22.0%
Profit margin
17.6%
Debt/Equity
0.49
Dividend yield
3.26%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
72%
BHP's Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades significantly above its Graham Number of $27.35 and intrinsic value of $24.78, reflecting a substantial premium. Despite strong profitability metrics like 37.7% operating margin and 21.99% ROE, earnings and revenue growth are sharply negative year-over-year. Analysts consensus is a hold with a $57.00 target, below current price, suggesting limited upside.
Key Strengths
High operating margin of 37.70% indicates strong cost control and pricing power
ROE of 21.99% exceeds sector average significantly, signaling efficient equity use
Debt/Equity of 0.49 is below sector average of 0.63, indicating conservative leverage
Dividend yield of 3.26% is attractive relative to sector peers
Current ratio of 1.46 and quick ratio of 1.06 suggest adequate short-term liquidity
Key Risks
Revenue growth down 8.20% YoY and earnings down 34.00%, indicating deteriorating fundamentals
P/E of 19.07 is high relative to earnings contraction, increasing valuation risk
Price/Book of 7.19 is extremely elevated, suggesting overvaluation relative to book value
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum near 52-week high
Only 1 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates with average surprise of -37.42%, indicating poor earnings reliability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$57.0
-15.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
55
Moderate
42
38
64
70
60
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risks due to valuation and earnings volatility
Key drivers: Stable Piotroski score, Strong profitability, Rich valuation, Negative growth trends, Bearish technicals
Confidence
75%
Value
42/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 15.45 is lower than current P/E, suggesting earnings recovery priced in
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 19.07 is high for a declining earnings environment
- Price/Book of 7.19 is excessive
- Stock trades at 2.47x Graham Number, indicating deep overvaluation
Future
38/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +229.2% shows potential rebound
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth down 8.20% YoY
- Earnings down 34.00% YoY
- PEG Ratio unavailable due to unreliable growth expectations
Past
64/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5-year price return of +47.6% outperforms sector average
- Historical ROE consistently strong
Watchpoints
- Erratic earnings surprises over last 14 quarters
- Only 1 beat in last 4 quarters
Health
70/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial condition
- Debt/Equity of 0.49 is manageable
- Current and quick ratios indicate short-term solvency
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score not available, creating blind spot for bankruptcy risk
Dividend
60/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 3.26% is attractive in current rate environment
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 69.90% is high, limiting flexibility
- Dividend strength score of 50/100 suggests moderate reliability
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$67.52
Analyst Target
$57.0
Upside/Downside
-15.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BHP and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BHP
BHP Group Limited
Primary
|
+47.6% | +10.2% | +39.2% | +27.0% | +10.9% | +4.1% |
|
NEM
Newmont Corporation
Peer
|
+97.8% | +150.7% | +107.7% | +29.2% | +14.0% | -1.1% |
|
LIN
Linde plc
Peer
|
+87.6% | +42.9% | +6.8% | +6.2% | -3.0% | -0.0% |
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited
Peer
|
+242.0% | +301.0% | +145.0% | +70.0% | +18.3% | +8.6% |
|
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
Peer
|
+95.0% | +55.5% | +63.4% | +58.2% | -10.0% | +7.7% |
BHP
BHP Group Limited
Primary
5Y
+47.6%
3Y
+10.2%
1Y
+39.2%
6M
+27.0%
1M
+10.9%
1W
+4.1%
NEM
Newmont Corporation
Peer
5Y
+97.8%
3Y
+150.7%
1Y
+107.7%
6M
+29.2%
1M
+14.0%
1W
-1.1%
LIN
Linde plc
Peer
5Y
+87.6%
3Y
+42.9%
1Y
+6.8%
6M
+6.2%
1M
-3.0%
1W
-0.0%
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited
Peer
5Y
+242.0%
3Y
+301.0%
1Y
+145.0%
6M
+70.0%
1M
+18.3%
1W
+8.6%
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
Peer
5Y
+95.0%
3Y
+55.5%
1Y
+63.4%
6M
+58.2%
1M
-10.0%
1W
+7.7%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
19.07
Forward P/E
15.45
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
7.19
P/S Ratio
3.38
EV/Revenue
7.04
EV/EBITDA
15.39
Market Cap
$173.45B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
17.59%
Operating Margin
37.7%
Gross Margin
82.21%
ROE
21.99%
ROA
11.02%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-8.2%
Earnings Growth
-34.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-34.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.49
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.46
Good
Quick Ratio
1.06
Good
Cash/Share
$2.35
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-16
$N/A
2012-02-07
$0.79
-76.1% surprise
2004-08-18
$0.24
-44.2% surprise
2004-04-22
$0.27
+8.0% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing BHP against 143 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(14 bullish, 54 neutral, 75 bearish)
P/E Ratio
19.07
This Stock
vs
38.86
Sector Avg
-50.9%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
21.99%
This Stock
vs
-6.64%
Sector Avg
-431.2%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
17.59%
This Stock
vs
-5.75%
Sector Avg
-405.8%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.49
This Stock
vs
0.89
Sector Avg
-45.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-8.2%
This Stock
vs
36.56%
Sector Avg
-122.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.46
This Stock
vs
5.16
Sector Avg
-71.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BHP
BHP Group Limited
|
NEUTRAL | $173.45B | 19.07 | 22.0% | 17.6% | $67.52 | |
|
NEM
Newmont Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $121.68B | 17.5 | 22.3% | 31.3% | $111.85 | Compare |
|
LIN
Linde plc
|
NEUTRAL | $228.1B | 33.67 | 17.8% | 20.3% | $492.25 | Compare |
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited
|
NEUTRAL | $107.71B | 31.23 | 15.7% | 32.6% | $214.54 | Compare |
|
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
|
BEARISH | $88.34B | 40.44 | 13.9% | 8.5% | $61.47 | Compare |
BHP
BHP Group Limited
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$173.4B
P/E
19.1
ROE
22.0%
Price
$67.52
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
6 analysts
Argus Research
2025-12-30
Hold
Buy
Citigroup
2025-08-20
Buy
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BHP from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.