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BIPC

BEARISH
$45.55 Live
Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation · NYSE
Target $53.0 (+16.4%)
$32.08 52W Range $47.71

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$5.45B
P/E
N/A
ROE
34.8%
Profit margin
-4.3%
Debt/Equity
6.15
Dividend yield
3.81%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
68%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant financial health concerns, with a critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicating weak fundamental strength. Despite a high ROE of 34.78% and a low forward P/E of 4.25 suggesting potential value, negative profit margins, an extremely high debt/equity ratio of 6.15, and poor earnings consistency undermine stability. Dividend sustainability is questionable given erratic earnings, and technical trends are deeply bearish. While the stock appears cheap on earnings, structural risks dominate.

Key Strengths

High operating and gross margins (61.18% and 62.66%) indicate strong pricing power or cost control in core operations
Low forward P/E of 4.25 suggests the stock is trading at a significant discount to earnings expectations
High ROE of 34.78% reflects efficient use of equity capital, though potentially inflated by high leverage
Dividend yield of 3.81% is attractive relative to sector average, with a low payout ratio of 15.80%
Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +116.7% shows a sharp rebound in earnings performance

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and weak profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency
Debt/Equity ratio of 6.15 is drastically above sector average (1.79), indicating extreme financial leverage and refinancing risk
Negative profit margin (-4.27%) reflects current unprofitability despite high operating margins, likely due to one-time charges or interest burden
Price/Book of -4.52 confirms negative book value, invalidating traditional value metrics and suggesting balance sheet insolvency risk
Earnings volatility with 3 out of 4 recent misses and an average surprise of -33.06% erodes investor confidence and forecasting reliability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$38.5
-15.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
40
Moderate
Value
58
Future
42
Past
30
Health
18
Dividend
54
AI Verdict
High risk, low confidence investment with value trap characteristics
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Extreme leverage, Negative profitability, Earnings unpredictability, Attractive yield with high risk
Confidence
70%
Value
58/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 4.25 is well below sector average of 24.53
  • Price/Sales of 1.49 is reasonable for infrastructure utility
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of -4.52 invalidates book-value-based valuation
  • No Graham Number due to negative earnings or book value
Future
42/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 116.7% Q/Q EPS growth indicates strong recent improvement
  • 0.50% YoY revenue growth shows minimal top-line expansion
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth lags sector average of 6.81%
  • No earnings growth data due to negative or volatile earnings
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5Y price return of +23.0% shows long-term capital appreciation
Watchpoints
  • Only 1 out of 4 earnings beats in recent history
  • Average earnings surprise of -33.06% indicates consistent underperformance
  • 1M and 1W price declines suggest weakening momentum
Health
18/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • ROA of 5.75% is positive despite other red flags
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates critical financial weakness
  • Debt/Equity of 6.15 far exceeds sector average of 1.79
  • Current and quick ratios of 0.41 indicate near-term liquidity risk
Dividend
54/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 3.81% is above average for utilities
  • Payout ratio of 15.80% suggests dividend is currently well-covered
Watchpoints
  • Dividend strength score of 35/100 reflects uncertainty due to earnings volatility
  • Negative earnings raise concerns about long-term dividend sustainability

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$45.55
Analyst Target
$53.0
Upside/Downside
+16.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BIPC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation
Primary
5Y
+23.0%
3Y
+12.8%
1Y
+12.4%
6M
+11.4%
1M
-2.0%
1W
-0.1%
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
Peer
5Y
+43.4%
3Y
+15.9%
1Y
+30.7%
6M
+29.1%
1M
+3.2%
1W
-2.3%
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Peer
5Y
-53.0%
3Y
+1.0%
1Y
+47.5%
6M
+6.3%
1M
+2.4%
1W
-1.4%
CWE
Clearway Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+76.2%
3Y
+57.1%
1Y
+45.5%
6M
+27.2%
1M
+1.1%
1W
+1.1%
CWE
Clearway Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+93.2%
3Y
+65.2%
1Y
+56.4%
6M
+35.9%
1M
+1.2%
1W
+1.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
4.25
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-4.52
P/S Ratio
1.49
EV/Revenue
5.99
EV/EBITDA
7.5
Market Cap
$5.45B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -4.27%
Operating Margin 61.18%
Gross Margin 62.66%
ROE 34.78%
ROA 5.75%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +0.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
6.15
High debt
Current Ratio
0.41
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.41
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.68

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-01-29
$N/A
2025-11-07
$0.1
+106.3% surprise
2025-07-31
$-0.6
-131.7% surprise
2025-04-30
$0.49
-73.7% surprise

Utilities Sector Comparison

Comparing BIPC against 65 companies in the Utilities sector (3 bullish, 39 neutral, 23 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
34.78%
This Stock
vs
-0.5%
Sector Avg
-7023.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-4.27%
This Stock
vs
6.99%
Sector Avg
-161.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
6.15
This Stock
vs
1.59
Sector Avg
+286.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
0.5%
This Stock
vs
18.93%
Sector Avg
-97.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.41
This Stock
vs
1.12
Sector Avg
-63.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-02
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-26
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BIPC from our newsroom.

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