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BKKT

BEARISH
$8.93 Live
Bakkt, Inc. · NYSE
Target $22.0 (+146.4%)
$6.81 52W Range $49.79

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 19, 2026
Market cap
$272.92M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-111.2%
Profit margin
-4.6%
Debt/Equity
0.03
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
BKKT exhibits severe financial distress with a Piotroski F-Score of 0/9, indicating extreme operational and financial weakness. The company reports negative profitability across all key margins, a negative ROE of -111.21%, and a staggering 83.4% year-over-year revenue decline, signaling deteriorating business fundamentals. Despite a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio and healthy current ratios, the absence of positive cash flow, lack of earnings sustainability, and massive insider selling undermine financial health. The stock trades at a steep discount to its 52-week high but remains overvalued relative to its current earnings and growth trajectory, with no intrinsic value or Graham Number available. Analysts have only one coverage, with a target price of $22.00, suggesting limited conviction.

Key Strengths

Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.03) indicates minimal leverage risk
Healthy current ratio (2.19) and quick ratio (1.19) suggest short-term liquidity
Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been highly positive (e.g., +593.7%, +584.5%)
Insider selling, while bearish, has been limited in volume and may reflect personal liquidity needs
Trading at a significant discount to 52-week high ($8.93 vs $49.79), offering potential recovery play

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 signals extreme financial distress and operational failure
Negative ROE (-111.21%) and ROA (-33.22%) indicate severe capital destruction
83.4% YoY revenue decline reflects a collapsing business model or market exit
No free cash flow or operating cash flow data available, raising liquidity concerns
Insider selling of $0.23M in last 6 months, with 4 sales from officers and general counsel, signals lack of confidence

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
15
Weak
Value
30
Future
15
Past
20
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 0/9, Negative profitability and revenue collapse, No sustainable cash flow, High insider selling, Lack of analyst coverage and consensus
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Sales of 0.12 is extremely low, suggesting deep undervaluation on revenue basis
  • Trading at 18% of 52-week high, offering potential recovery upside
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available due to negative earnings and no growth stability
  • Forward P/E of 9.30 is meaningless given negative earnings history and negative ROE
  • Price/Book of 2.02 is elevated relative to negative equity and losses
Future
15/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been exceptionally positive (e.g., +584.5%)
  • Q/Q EPS growth of +181.5% suggests possible turnaround momentum
Watchpoints
  • 83.4% YoY revenue decline indicates fundamental business deterioration
  • No forward earnings guidance or growth sustainability
  • Negative ROIC and lack of cash flow data prevent confidence in future returns
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical earnings surprises have been highly volatile but occasionally massive (e.g., +593.7%, +584.5%)
  • Some quarters show strong earnings recovery from deep losses
Watchpoints
  • 2022-11-10 earnings surprise of -5023.7% reflects extreme volatility and potential data issues
  • Negative earnings in 11 of 13 quarters, including multiple losses exceeding $100M
  • Consistent negative margins and declining revenue trend
Health
10/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.03 is very low, indicating minimal financial leverage
  • Current ratio of 2.19 and quick ratio of 1.19 suggest short-term solvency
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 is the lowest possible, indicating complete failure on financial health criteria
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but negative ROE and ROA suggest distress risk
  • Negative ROE and ROA indicate capital destruction and poor asset utilization
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield, rate, or payout ratio available
  • Dividend Strength of 0/100 confirms no dividend policy
  • Negative earnings and ROE make dividend payment impossible

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$8.93
Analyst Target
$22.0
Upside/Downside
+146.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BKKT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-18
BKK
Bakkt, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-97.4%
3Y
-73.7%
1Y
-4.3%
6M
-7.7%
1M
-13.0%
1W
-3.9%
CUR
CURRENC Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.4%
3Y
-18.4%
1Y
+135.1%
6M
+107.6%
1M
+56.4%
1W
+23.7%
AVN
Aviat Networks, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+10.8%
3Y
-30.8%
1Y
+8.6%
6M
-8.8%
1M
-1.1%
1W
-5.5%
MRA
Everspin Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+122.2%
3Y
+79.6%
1Y
+135.8%
6M
+6.3%
1M
+28.0%
1W
+24.6%
SVC
Silvaco Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-56.9%
3Y
-56.9%
1Y
+93.9%
6M
+53.1%
1M
+40.8%
1W
+17.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
9.3
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.02
P/S Ratio
0.12
EV/Revenue
0.09
EV/EBITDA
-1.78
Market Cap
$272.92M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -4.59%
Operating Margin -21.34%
Gross Margin -4.35%
ROE -111.21%
ROA -33.22%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -83.4%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.03
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.19
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.19
Good
Cash/Share
$1.07

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025

Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
1.3%
Op. Margin
-4.9%
Net Margin
-3.7%
Total Assets
$0.3B
Liabilities
$0.1B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
1.13x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
107%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-11
$N/A
2025-11-10
$2.47
+593.7% surprise
2024-11-14
$-3.03
-89.7% surprise
2024-08-14
$0.37
+121.2% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing BKKT against 565 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-111.21%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
+232.2% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-4.59%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
-60.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.03
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
-96.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-83.4%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-101.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.19
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
-39.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

D'ANNUNZIO MARC
General Counsel
Sell
2026-02-24
785 shares · $7,924
HENDERSON JOSEPH SEAN-WALSH
Officer
Sell
2025-12-19
2,461 shares · $24,635
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Stock Award
2025-12-03
465,890 shares
ALFRED MICHAEL
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-19
9,000 shares
NAHETA AKSHAY SUDHIR
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-14
803,861 shares
D'ANNUNZIO MARC
General Counsel
Option Exercise
2025-11-12
1,677 shares · $16,770
ALEXANDER KAREN
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2025-11-12
335 shares · $3,350
BAES NICHOLAS
Chief Operating Officer
Option Exercise
2025-11-12
671 shares · $6,710
NAHETA AKSHAY SUDHIR
Chief Executive Officer
Option Exercise
2025-11-12
33,557 shares · $335,570
HENDERSON JOSEPH SEAN-WALSH
Officer
Sell
2025-11-12
264 shares · $5,415
NAHETA AKSHAY SUDHIR
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-03
69,733 shares · $1,874,423
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Stock Award
2025-11-03
6,803,178 shares
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Stock Award
2025-11-03
6,803,178 shares
D'ANNUNZIO MARC
General Counsel
Stock Award
2025-11-03
48,188 shares
ALFRED MICHAEL
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-30
139 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
Benchmark
2026-03-18
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BKKT from our newsroom.

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