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BKV BKV Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

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BKV Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Energy Oil & Gas E&P
Current Price Live
$28.17
Analyst Target
$31.0
+10.0% Upside
52W High
$29.65
52W Low
$15.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.73B
P/E
58.69
ROE
2.7%
Profit margin
5.5%
Debt/Equity
0.28
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The company exhibits a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong recent earnings and revenue growth, elevated valuation metrics, declining insider sentiment, and weak technicals suggest caution. The stock trades significantly above both the Graham Number ($14.69) and intrinsic value ($14.16), implying a premium priced on future growth. While analyst consensus is strong_buy, insider selling and deteriorating short-term EPS momentum present countervailing risks.

Key Strengths

Exceptional year-over-year revenue growth of 49.20% outpaces sector average of 2.20%
Outstanding operating margin of 41.31% and gross margin of 54.27% reflect strong pricing power and cost control
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.28 indicates conservative capital structure relative to sector average of 0.65
Analyst target price of $31.00 implies 10% upside, supported by 9 analysts with strong_buy consensus
Impressive earnings surprise history, averaging +236.14% over the last four quarters

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak financial health, particularly concerning for a capital-intensive energy firm
Current ratio of 0.85 and quick ratio of 0.77 indicate potential near-term liquidity pressure
Stock trades at a steep premium: current price $28.17 vs Graham Number $14.69 and intrinsic value $14.16
Insider activity is strongly bearish with $9.87M in net sales over the past 6 months, including significant CEO selling
Most recent Q/Q EPS growth declined by 26.8%, signaling potential earnings momentum reversal despite strong YoY growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.5
-34.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
35
Future
75
Past
50
Health
42
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if growth sustains
Key drivers: High growth metrics, Strong margins, Elevated valuation, Weak Piotroski score, Bearish insider activity
Confidence
70%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low P/E forward at 13.47
  • Price/Book of 1.41 below sector volatility norms
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 58.69 is extremely high
  • Stock trades at nearly double the Graham Number
  • PEG unavailable due to inconsistent earnings
Future
75/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 49.20% YoY revenue growth
  • 400.00% YoY earnings growth
  • 497.20% Q/Q earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS down 26.8%
  • Forward P/E not fully reflective of deceleration
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 56.5% 5-year price appreciation
  • History of large earnings surprises
Watchpoints
  • Only 3 of last 4 quarters beat estimates
  • Two large negative surprises in prior year
  • Weak 1Y price return of +6.5%
Health
42/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.28 is low
  • ROA and ROE positive despite low levels
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Current and quick ratios below 1.0 signal liquidity risk
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress modeling
Dividend
10/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength 0/100
  • No dividend yield or payout history
  • Payout ratio 0.00% indicates no return to shareholders

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$28.17
Analyst Target
$31.0
Upside/Downside
+10.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BKV and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
BKV
BKV Corporation
Primary
+56.5% +56.5% +6.5% +43.1% +2.9% +7.3%
BTE
Baytex Energy Corp.
Peer
+412.1% -21.2% +31.8% +60.4% +5.1% +0.6%
BORR
Borr Drilling Limited
Peer
+165.0% -14.8% +34.9% +102.3% +12.9% +4.9%
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp.
Peer
-64.9% -60.3% -11.8% +69.3% +14.0% +17.6%
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
Peer
+1129.6% +41.6% +99.3% +128.8% +23.3% +4.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
58.69
Forward P/E
13.47
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.41
P/S Ratio
3.32
EV/Revenue
3.6
EV/EBITDA
13.11
Market Cap
$2.73B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 5.51%
Operating Margin 41.31%
Gross Margin 54.27%
ROE 2.72%
ROA 1.47%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +49.2%
Earnings Growth +400.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +497.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.28
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.85
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.77
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.93

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-25
$N/A
2025-11-10
$0.9
+159.0% surprise
2025-08-12
$1.23
+463.0% surprise
2025-05-09
$0.41
+86.4% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing BKV against 26 companies in the Energy sector (0 bullish, 20 neutral, 6 bearish)
P/E Ratio
58.69
This Stock
vs
23.13
Sector Avg
+153.8% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.72%
This Stock
vs
7.95%
Sector Avg
-65.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.51%
This Stock
vs
8.82%
Sector Avg
-37.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.28
This Stock
vs
0.68
Sector Avg
-58.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
49.2%
This Stock
vs
4.1%
Sector Avg
+1101.1% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.85
This Stock
vs
1.18
Sector Avg
-27.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
BKV
BKV Corporation
NEUTRAL $2.73B 58.69 2.7% 5.5% $28.17
BTE
Baytex Energy Corp.
BEARISH $2.55B 16.6 5.3% 7.0% $3.32
BORR
Borr Drilling Limited
NEUTRAL $1.37B 15.96 6.8% 7.1% $4.47
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp.
BEARISH $1.15B - -35.2% -19.0% $6.35
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
BEARISH $4.62B - -0.4% -0.8% $37.96

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-01-02 TURCOTTE BARRY S. Officer Stock Award 762 $20,909
2026-01-02 KALNIN CHRISTOPHER P Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 1,125 $30,870
2026-01-02 READ LAUREN Officer Stock Award 171 $4,692
2026-01-02 NGO ETHAN Officer Stock Award 97 $2,662
2025-11-17 KALNIN CHRISTOPHER P Chief Executive Officer Sale 78,281 $2,194,757
2025-11-14 KALNIN CHRISTOPHER P Chief Executive Officer Sale 21,719 $608,202
2025-11-11 KALNIN CHRISTOPHER P Chief Executive Officer Sale 200,000 $5,329,000
2025-11-06 LARRICK LINDSAY B Officer Sale 29,187 $729,689
2025-11-03 LARRICK LINDSAY B Officer Sale 10,000 $233,700
2025-10-01 LARRICK LINDSAY B Officer Sale 15,000 $347,936
2025-09-02 LARRICK LINDSAY B Officer Sale 9,187 $212,984
2025-08-15 READ LAUREN Officer Stock Award 7,469 -
2025-08-12 LARRICK LINDSAY B Officer Sale 10,000 $216,200
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
9 analysts
Roth Capital
2026-01-07
init
Buy
Mizuho
2025-12-12
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Keybanc
2025-11-11
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Susquehanna
2025-11-11
Maintains
Positive Positive
Mizuho
2025-10-30
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Mizuho
2025-09-15
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BKV from our newsroom.

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