BP
NEUTRAL
$36.53
Live
BP p.l.c. · NYSE
Target $38.73
(+6.0%)
$25.22
52W Range
$37.64
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$93.78B
P/E
57.08
ROE
3.6%
Profit margin
0.8%
Debt/Equity
0.96
Dividend yield
5.64%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
72%
BP's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($7.35) and even the growth-based intrinsic value ($18.88), currently priced at $36.53, driven by high forward earnings expectations. While profitability metrics and dividend yield are attractive, elevated valuation multiples, inconsistent earnings surprises, and a dangerously high payout ratio of 315% raise sustainability concerns. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a target of $38.73, supported by strong insider sentiment, though no insider transactions have occurred recently.
Key Strengths
Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health with balanced performance across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency
High dividend yield of 5.64% offers attractive income, above sector average
Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 500% (YoY) and 1114.3% (YoY EPS) reflects significant recent earnings recovery
Debt/Equity ratio of 0.96 is manageable for the capital-intensive energy sector
Analyst consensus is 'buy' with a target price of $38.73, implying 6% upside
Key Risks
Extremely high payout ratio of 315.01% threatens dividend sustainability despite current strength
Current P/E of 57.08 is drastically above sector average (21.43) and forward P/E of 13.25, suggesting overvaluation
Price/Book of 9.73 is exceptionally high, indicating shares trade at a steep premium to book value
Inconsistent earnings performance with 2 beats in last 4 quarters and large negative surprises (e.g., -90.8%)
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum near 52-week high
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$19.5
-46.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
58
Moderate
38
70
62
68
54
AI Verdict
Cautiously Neutral – Balanced fundamentals offset by valuation and technical concerns
Key drivers: Piotroski stability, High dividend yield, Elevated valuation multiples, Unsustainable payout ratio, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
75%
Value
38/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 13.25 suggests reasonable future valuation
- Price/Sales of 0.50 is below sector average
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 57.08 is extremely high
- Price/Book of 9.73 is well above peer average (sector avg ROE 9.13%)
- Stock trades at 4.97x Graham Number ($7.35)
Future
70/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY Earnings Growth of 500.00%
- Q/Q Earnings Growth of 463.60%
- Year-over-Year EPS Growth of +1114.3%
Watchpoints
- Most Recent Q/Q EPS Growth of -5.6% shows recent deceleration
- Forward P/E implies normalization of earnings
Past
62/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5-Year price return of +103.5% outperforms peers
- History of strong earnings beats in volatile periods (e.g., +80.6% in 2021)
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprise volatility with multiple large negative misses (e.g., -90.8%)
- Recent quarters show declining earnings momentum
Health
68/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial condition
- Current Ratio of 1.19 shows short-term liquidity adequacy
- ROE of 3.55% and ROA of 2.62% are low but positive
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score is unavailable, limiting distress risk analysis
- Quick Ratio of 0.77 indicates potential liquidity pressure if inventory cannot be liquidated
Dividend
54/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 5.64% is high and attractive in current rate environment
- Dividend rate of $2.00 is stable
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 315.01% is unsustainable long-term
- Dividend Strength score of 40/100 reflects high risk of cut
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$36.53
Analyst Target
$38.73
Upside/Downside
+6.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BP and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BP
BP p.l.c.
Primary
|
+103.5% | +21.2% | +23.0% | +16.7% | +6.5% | +3.2% |
|
EQNR
Equinor ASA
Peer
|
+175.1% | +76.9% | +75.7% | +61.2% | -6.2% | +7.0% |
|
CNQ
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
Peer
|
+279.2% | +68.2% | +54.3% | +42.8% | -10.0% | +2.9% |
|
SLB
SLB N.V.
Peer
|
+131.4% | +17.6% | +65.8% | +54.1% | +8.4% | +5.8% |
|
E
Eni S.p.A.
Peer
|
+200.8% | +113.0% | +93.3% | +48.7% | +0.5% | +3.6% |
BP
BP p.l.c.
Primary
5Y
+103.5%
3Y
+21.2%
1Y
+23.0%
6M
+16.7%
1M
+6.5%
1W
+3.2%
EQN
Equinor ASA
Peer
5Y
+175.1%
3Y
+76.9%
1Y
+75.7%
6M
+61.2%
1M
-6.2%
1W
+7.0%
CNQ
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
Peer
5Y
+279.2%
3Y
+68.2%
1Y
+54.3%
6M
+42.8%
1M
-10.0%
1W
+2.9%
SLB
SLB N.V.
Peer
5Y
+131.4%
3Y
+17.6%
1Y
+65.8%
6M
+54.1%
1M
+8.4%
1W
+5.8%
E
Eni S.p.A.
Peer
5Y
+200.8%
3Y
+113.0%
1Y
+93.3%
6M
+48.7%
1M
+0.5%
1W
+3.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
57.08
Forward P/E
13.25
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
9.73
P/S Ratio
0.5
EV/Revenue
3.37
EV/EBITDA
21.85
Market Cap
$93.78B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
0.82%
Operating Margin
9.97%
Gross Margin
26.44%
ROE
3.55%
ROA
2.62%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+2.5%
Earnings Growth
+500.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+463.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.96
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.19
Good
Quick Ratio
0.77
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.26
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-11-04
$0.85
+9.9% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.9
+36.1% surprise
2025-04-29
$0.26
-57.6% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing BP against 107 companies in the Energy sector
(9 bullish, 37 neutral, 61 bearish)
P/E Ratio
57.08
This Stock
vs
31.33
Sector Avg
+82.2%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.55%
This Stock
vs
3.08%
Sector Avg
+15.4%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
0.82%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
-84.7%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.96
This Stock
vs
1.35
Sector Avg
-28.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.5%
This Stock
vs
20.6%
Sector Avg
-87.9%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.19
This Stock
vs
2.09
Sector Avg
-42.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BP
BP p.l.c.
|
NEUTRAL | $93.78B | 57.08 | 3.6% | 0.8% | $36.53 | |
|
EQNR
Equinor ASA
|
BEARISH | $94.55B | 19.56 | 12.2% | 4.8% | $37.94 | Compare |
|
CNQ
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
|
BULLISH | $92.32B | 11.73 | 25.8% | 27.9% | $44.24 | Compare |
|
SLB
SLB N.V.
|
BEARISH | $82.17B | 23.29 | 13.9% | 9.4% | $54.74 | Compare |
|
E
Eni S.p.A.
|
NEUTRAL | $79.57B | 29.73 | 5.9% | 3.0% | $54.11 | Compare |
BP
BP p.l.c.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$93.8B
P/E
57.1
ROE
3.6%
Price
$36.53
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | Norges Bank | Stock Award | 10,037,626 | - | |
| 2025-08-06 | Hager (David) | Purchase | 7,500 | $258,750 |
Norges Bank
2026-01-02
10,037,626 shares
Hager (David)
2025-08-06
7,500 shares
·
$258,750
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
18 analysts
Piper Sandler
2026-01-08
Neutral
Neutral
Evercore ISI Group
2026-01-06
Outperform
In-Line
Piper Sandler
2025-11-10
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-11-05
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Raymond James
2025-10-17
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-10-17
Equal-Weight
Scotiabank
2025-10-09
Sector Outperform
Sector Outperform
Raymond James
2025-09-25
Outperform
Outperform
Exane BNP Paribas
2025-09-15
Neutral
Outperform
Melius Research
2025-08-20
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BP from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.