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BX Blackstone Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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BX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Financial Services Asset Management
Current Price Live
$163.5
Analyst Target
$178.59
+9.2% Upside
52W High
$190.09
52W Low
$115.66

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile: the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a definitive distress risk assessment. Despite robust profitability metrics like a 44.63% operating margin and 26.46% ROE, the company faces headwinds with negative revenue and earnings growth, a high P/E of 47.12, and a concerning 122.41% payout ratio. Insider selling worth $50.70M over the past six months adds caution, though recent earnings surprises have been strong and analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $178.59 target price. The stock trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($28.93) and intrinsic value estimate ($24.29), justified only by exceptional future growth expectations not yet reflected in trailing fundamentals.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with 44.63% operating margin and 26.46% ROE, outperforming sector averages
Strong recent earnings performance: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates with an average surprise of 12.57%
High analyst confidence: 17 analysts recommend 'buy' with a target price of $178.59, implying 9.2% upside
Impressive year-over-year EPS growth of +50.5%, signaling strong earnings momentum despite revenue decline
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.66, below sector average of 1.03, indicating conservative capital structure

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests only stable financial health, with no margin for error in deteriorating conditions
Revenue and earnings declining YoY by -19.60% and -21.40% respectively, raising sustainability concerns
Extremely high valuation: P/E of 47.12 vs sector average of 24.39, creating vulnerability to multiple contraction
Dividend payout ratio of 122.41% exceeds earnings, indicating potential unsustainability and risk of cut
Bearish insider activity: $50.70M in net selling by insiders over last 6 months, signaling lack of confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.93
-82.3% below current price

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