BYD
NEUTRAL
$83.88
Live
Boyd Gaming Corporation · NYSE
Target $94.73
(+12.9%)
$67.67
52W Range
$89.96
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 25, 2026
Market cap
$6.32B
P/E
3.71
ROE
87.8%
Profit margin
45.0%
Debt/Equity
1.04
Dividend yield
0.83%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
Boyd Gaming (BYD) presents a classic 'value trap' profile, characterized by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and deteriorating earnings growth. While the stock trades at a significant discount to its Graham Number ($131.85) and Intrinsic Value ($158.34), the fundamental health is concerning, evidenced by a low current ratio of 0.54 and negative Q/Q earnings growth of -17.70%. The extreme P/E of 3.71 suggests the market is pricing in a significant decline in future profitability, which is supported by the jump in Forward P/E to 10.64. Despite strong historical profitability margins, the combination of insider selling and poor liquidity offsets the valuation appeal.
Key Strengths
Extremely low P/E ratio (3.71) relative to sector average (33.34)
High profit margins (45.05%) and exceptional ROE (87.79%)
Trading significantly below Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Strong historical earnings beat track record over 25 quarters
Low dividend payout ratio (3.27%) providing massive headroom for increases
Key Risks
Weak financial health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
Poor short-term liquidity with a current ratio of 0.54
Negative earnings growth trend (YoY -6.60%, Q/Q -17.70%)
Bearish insider sentiment with $7.84M in net sales and zero buys
Significant discrepancy between trailing P/E and Forward P/E suggesting earnings contraction
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$115.5
+37.7% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
51
Moderate
92
30
70
25
40
AI Verdict
Speculative Value
Key drivers: Deep valuation discount, Deteriorating financial health (F-Score), Negative earnings momentum, Liquidity constraints
Confidence
90%
Value
92/100
Ref P/E 3.71, Graham Number $131.85
Positives
- P/E of 3.71 is exceptionally low
- Price is ~36% below Graham Number
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E suggests earnings drop
Future
30/100
Ref Earnings Growth -6.60% YoY
Positives
- Positive revenue growth (2%)
Watchpoints
- Negative earnings growth
- Declining Q/Q EPS
Past
70/100
Ref 1Y Change +28.2%
Positives
- Strong 1Y return (+28.2%)
- Consistent historical EPS beats
Watchpoints
- Recent 1W decline of -4.2%
Health
25/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 3/9, Current Ratio 0.54
Positives
- Manageable Debt/Equity (1.04)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
- Current Ratio 0.54 (Liquidity risk)
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield 0.83%, Payout 3.27%
Positives
- Very low payout ratio
Watchpoints
- Low dividend yield (0.83%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$83.88
Analyst Target
$94.73
Upside/Downside
+12.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BYD and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BYD
Boyd Gaming Corporation
Primary
|
+30.3% | +30.5% | +28.2% | +7.0% | -1.2% | -4.2% |
|
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorporated
Peer
|
-13.3% | -28.8% | -8.8% | -5.6% | +7.3% | -1.2% |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc.
Peer
|
-74.2% | -82.1% | -42.3% | -50.9% | -1.3% | +1.8% |
|
RUSHB
Rush Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
|
+167.6% | +96.2% | +29.4% | +33.4% | +23.2% | +3.3% |
|
RRR
Red Rock Resorts, Inc.
Peer
|
+112.6% | +39.9% | +47.6% | -0.6% | -2.1% | +1.3% |
BYD
Boyd Gaming Corporation
Primary
5Y
+30.3%
3Y
+30.5%
1Y
+28.2%
6M
+7.0%
1M
-1.2%
1W
-4.2%
CHD
Churchill Downs Incorporated
Peer
5Y
-13.3%
3Y
-28.8%
1Y
-8.8%
6M
-5.6%
1M
+7.3%
1W
-1.2%
MBL
Mobileye Global Inc.
Peer
5Y
-74.2%
3Y
-82.1%
1Y
-42.3%
6M
-50.9%
1M
-1.3%
1W
+1.8%
RUS
Rush Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+167.6%
3Y
+96.2%
1Y
+29.4%
6M
+33.4%
1M
+23.2%
1W
+3.3%
RRR
Red Rock Resorts, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+112.6%
3Y
+39.9%
1Y
+47.6%
6M
-0.6%
1M
-2.1%
1W
+1.3%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
3.71
Forward P/E
10.64
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.46
P/S Ratio
1.54
EV/Revenue
2.22
EV/EBITDA
7.57
Market Cap
$6.32B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
45.05%
Operating Margin
20.81%
Gross Margin
59.36%
ROE
87.79%
ROA
8.72%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+2.0%
Earnings Growth
-6.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+2.03%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-17.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.04
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.54
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.47
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.69
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-07-23
$N/A
2026-04-23
$1.6
-6.7% surprise
2026-02-05
$2.21
+14.2% surprise
2025-10-23
$1.72
+5.8% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing BYD against 330 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(20 bullish, 102 neutral, 208 bearish)
P/E Ratio
3.71
This Stock
vs
34.26
Sector Avg
-89.2%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
87.79%
This Stock
vs
-52.63%
Sector Avg
-266.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
45.05%
This Stock
vs
-6.66%
Sector Avg
-776.2%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.04
This Stock
vs
1.42
Sector Avg
-26.6%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.0%
This Stock
vs
32.35%
Sector Avg
-93.8%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.54
This Stock
vs
2.45
Sector Avg
-77.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BYD
Boyd Gaming Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $6.32B | 3.71 | 87.8% | 45.0% | $83.88 | |
|
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorporated
|
NEUTRAL | $6.33B | 17.57 | 35.7% | 13.1% | $90.84 | Compare |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc.
|
BEARISH | $6.29B | - | -3.3% | -20.7% | $7.47 | Compare |
|
RUSHB
Rush Enterprises, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.9B | 22.69 | 12.1% | 3.5% | $74.2 | Compare |
|
RRR
Red Rock Resorts, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $5.85B | 18.24 | 111.3% | 9.3% | $56.91 | Compare |
BYD
Boyd Gaming Corporation
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$6.3B
P/E
3.7
ROE
87.8%
Price
$83.88
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | THOMPSON STEPHEN S | Officer | Sale | 19,530 | $1,632,513 |
| 2026-02-26 | HIRSBERG GEORGE II | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 23,924 | $2,054,115 |
| 2026-02-26 | HIRSBERG GEORGE II | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 23,924 | $424,651 |
| 2026-02-23 | SMITH KEITH E | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 35,608 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | CLINTON URI L | General Counsel | Stock Award | 23,455 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | NELSON LORI M | Officer | Stock Award | 1,860 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | JOHNSON MARIANNE BOYD | Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner | Stock Award | 8,953 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | SMITH KEITH E | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 105,918 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | THOMPSON STEPHEN S | Officer | Stock Award | 15,798 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | HIRSBERG GEORGE II | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 32,479 | - |
| 2026-02-18 | BOYD WILLIAM R | Director | Sale | 30,000 | $2,545,200 |
| 2025-11-07 | BOYD WILLIAM R | Director | Sale | 20,000 | $1,607,200 |
THOMPSON STEPHEN S
Officer
2026-02-27
19,530 shares
·
$1,632,513
HIRSBERG GEORGE II
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-26
23,924 shares
·
$2,054,115
HIRSBERG GEORGE II
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-26
23,924 shares
·
$424,651
SMITH KEITH E
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-23
35,608 shares
CLINTON URI L
General Counsel
2026-02-20
23,455 shares
NELSON LORI M
Officer
2026-02-20
1,860 shares
JOHNSON MARIANNE BOYD
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
2026-02-20
8,953 shares
SMITH KEITH E
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-20
105,918 shares
THOMPSON STEPHEN S
Officer
2026-02-20
15,798 shares
HIRSBERG GEORGE II
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-20
32,479 shares
BOYD WILLIAM R
Director
2026-02-18
30,000 shares
·
$2,545,200
BOYD WILLIAM R
Director
2025-11-07
20,000 shares
·
$1,607,200
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
8-K
DEF 14A
8-K
10-K
BYD's 2026 10-K filing provides comprehensive financial data, although specific performance highlights are not explicitly detailed in the provided excerpts. The company identifies cybersecurity threats and the potential failure to comply with data privacy and security regulations as significant risks that could adversely affect its operations.
8-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
Macquarie
2026-04-24
Neutral
Neutral
Barclays
2026-04-24
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2026-04-24
Outperform
Outperform
JP Morgan
2026-04-24
Neutral
Neutral
Stifel
2026-04-24
Hold
Hold
Citigroup
2026-04-16
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-04-16
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-08
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Susquehanna
2026-04-07
Neutral
Neutral
Susquehanna
2026-02-11
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BYD from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.