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C Citigroup Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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C Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Financial Services Banks - Diversified
Current Price Live
$118.04
Analyst Target
$132.54
+12.3% Upside
52W High
$124.17
52W Low
$55.51

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$211.2B
P/E
16.89
ROE
6.8%
Profit margin
18.9%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
2.04%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Citigroup's financial health is weak, as indicated by a low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, signaling significant operational and profitability concerns. While the stock appears undervalued based on a forward P/E of 9.79 and a Graham Number of $131.54—above the current price of $118.04—this is offset by declining earnings growth (YoY: -10.80%) and poor technical momentum (10/100). The company maintains a solid dividend yield of 2.04% with a sustainable payout ratio, but insider sentiment is neutral and recent earnings surprises have been volatile. Relative to peers, Citigroup trades at a valuation discount despite weaker growth and return metrics, suggesting limited investor confidence in near-term turnaround.

Key Strengths

Attractive valuation with forward P/E of 9.79, below sector average of 24.45
Current price ($118.04) below Graham Number ($131.54), indicating potential undervaluation
Dividend yield of 2.04% supported by a healthy 33.19% payout ratio
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a target price of $132.55, implying 12.3% upside
Strong historical price performance: +161.7% over 3 years and +54.5% over 1 year

Key Risks

Very weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating deteriorating financial health
Earnings under pressure with YoY EPS decline of 8.1% and Q/Q EPS drop of 45.1%
Low return metrics: ROE of 6.83% and ROA of 0.58%, well below sector averages of 23.50% and N/A
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum in the short term
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents distress risk assessment, but low profitability and capital efficiency are concerning
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$125.0
+5.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
57
Moderate
Value
82
Future
40
Past
65
Health
30
Dividend
70
AI Verdict
Neutral with value appeal but structural weaknesses
Key drivers: Low Piotroski score dragging down health, Attractive forward valuation supporting value score, Declining earnings pressure future outlook, Solid dividend and analyst target provide floor, Poor technical trend indicates near-term weakness
Confidence
75%
Value
82/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 9.79 is significantly below sector average
  • Price below Graham Number by ~10%
  • Price/Book of 1.07 suggests near-book valuation
Watchpoints
  • Intrinsic value (Growth-based) of $48.93 is far below current price, questioning growth assumptions
Future
40/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target implies double-digit upside
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth YoY: -10.80%
  • Q/Q EPS growth: -45.1%
  • PEG Ratio not available due to negative growth
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 3Y and 1Y price returns: +161.7% and +54.5%
  • History of beating earnings estimates in 18 of last 25 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings misses: 2 of last 4 quarters missed estimates
  • Sharp deceleration in earnings progression since 2022
Health
30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Profit margin of 18.89% is respectable for a bank
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
  • ROE (6.83%) and ROA (0.58%) are well below peer averages
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress assessment
Dividend
70/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 2.04% is above market average
  • Payout ratio of 33.19% is sustainable
  • Dividend strength score of 50/100 indicates moderate reliability
Watchpoints
  • No 5-year average yield data to assess consistency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$118.04
Analyst Target
$132.54
Upside/Downside
+12.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for C and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-16
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
C
Citigroup Inc.
Primary
+121.6% +161.7% +54.5% +27.9% +5.9% -2.7%
BX
Blackstone Inc.
Peer
+201.7% +108.5% -4.6% -1.6% +6.7% +3.7%
SCHW
The Charles Schwab Corporation
Peer
+87.1% +29.9% +39.2% +9.0% +7.5% +3.6%
BLK
BlackRock, Inc.
Peer
+76.2% +61.5% +13.3% +1.6% +3.8% -2.9%
AXP
American Express Company
Peer
+217.2% +141.4% +12.2% +16.6% -5.4% -0.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
16.89
Forward P/E
9.79
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.07
P/S Ratio
2.79
EV/Revenue
-3.95
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$211.2B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 18.89%
Operating Margin 21.56%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 6.83%
ROA 0.58%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +3.7%
Earnings Growth -10.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -13.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$711.25

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-14
$N/A
2026-01-14
$1.24
-23.4% surprise
2025-10-14
$2.26
+17.4% surprise
2025-07-15
$2.04
+28.3% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing C against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (5 bullish, 111 neutral, 92 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.89
This Stock
vs
30.37
Sector Avg
-44.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.83%
This Stock
vs
-7.62%
Sector Avg
-189.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
18.89%
This Stock
vs
82.75%
Sector Avg
-77.2% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
3.7%
This Stock
vs
28.35%
Sector Avg
-86.9% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
C
Citigroup Inc.
NEUTRAL $211.2B 16.89 6.8% 18.9% $118.04
BX
Blackstone Inc.
NEUTRAL $200.62B 47.12 26.5% 21.2% $163.5
SCHW
The Charles Schwab Corporation
NEUTRAL $188.46B 24.31 17.0% 35.9% $103.82
BLK
BlackRock, Inc.
NEUTRAL $175.31B 32.26 10.7% 22.9% $1129.91
AXP
American Express Company
NEUTRAL $251.69B 24.69 33.9% 16.1% $361.69

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-01-02 DAILEY GRACE E. Director Stock Award 1,273 $1,297
2026-01-02 DUGAN JOHN CUNNINGHAM Director Stock Award 1,788 $62,500
2026-01-02 COSTELLO, ELLEN MARIE Director Stock Award 1,262 -
2026-01-02 COLE TITILOPE Director Stock Award 1,272 $1,157
2026-01-02 VON KOSKULL CASPER WILHELM Director Stock Award 1,289 $3,148
2026-01-02 MOULDS JONATHAN PAUL Director Stock Award 1,499 $28,170
2026-01-02 HENNES DUNCAN P Director Stock Award 1,458 $23,325
2026-01-02 REINER GARY M Director Stock Award 1,640 $44,907
2026-01-02 HENRY PETER B Director Stock Award 1,262 -
2026-01-02 TAYLOR DIANA L Director Stock Award 1,563 $35,767
2026-01-02 JAMES RENEE JO Director Stock Award 1,418 $18,557
2026-01-02 TURLEY JAMES S Director Stock Award 1,458 $23,325
2025-10-22 FRASER JANE NIND Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 259,605 -
2025-10-01 DAILEY GRACE E. Director Stock Award 12 $1,289
2025-10-01 DUGAN JOHN CUNNINGHAM Director Stock Award 610 $62,500
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
22 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-15
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Oppenheimer
2026-01-15
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2026-01-15
reit
Outperform Outperform
Goldman Sachs
2026-01-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Truist Securities
2026-01-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-01-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Barclays
2026-01-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2025-12-30
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Truist Securities
2025-12-18
Maintains
Buy Buy
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-12-17
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning C from our newsroom.

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