CAVA

BEARISH

$95.68 Live

CAVA Group, Inc. · NYSE

Target $87.35 (-8.7%)

$43.41 52W Range $101.5

CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

Console Chart News

CAVA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants

Current Price Live

$95.68

Analyst Target

$87.35

-8.7% Downside

52W High

$101.5

52W Low

$43.41

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 25, 2026

Market cap

$11.14B

P/E

177.19

ROE

8.6%

Profit margin

5.4%

Debt/Equity

0.6

Dividend yield

N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

90%

CAVA exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, while its valuation is completely detached from fundamental reality. With a Graham Number of $9.03 and an Intrinsic Value of $3.78, the current price of $95.68 represents a massive premium that is not supported by the recent -94% collapse in earnings growth. Despite strong revenue growth and a healthy balance sheet, the combination of an astronomical P/E ratio (177.19), bearish insider selling, and a technical trend score of 10/100 suggests a high probability of a significant correction.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth of 20.90% YoY

Excellent liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.65

Manageable leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60

Consistent history of beating earnings estimates in previous years

Positive profit margins (5.40%) in a competitive sector

Key Risks

Extreme valuation with a P/E ratio of 177.19

Severe earnings contraction (-94% YoY growth)

Significant divergence between current price and Graham/Intrinsic values

Bearish insider sentiment with 13 sell transactions and 0 buys

Technical trend is heavily bearish (10/100)

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$15.5

-83.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Weak

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Severely Overvalued Growth Play

Key drivers: Extreme P/E ratio, Earnings collapse, Insider selling, Price-to-Intrinsic gap

Confidence

95%

Value

5/100

The stock trades at a massive premium to all traditional value metrics.

Positives

No standout positives identified.

Watchpoints

P/E of 177.19
Price/Book of 14.25
Price/Sales of 9.44
Graham Number $9.03 vs Price $95.68

Future

50/100

Top-line growth is strong, but bottom-line efficiency is cratering.

Positives

20.9% Revenue growth
Strong brand momentum

Watchpoints

-94% Earnings growth
Declining Q/Q EPS

Past

70/100

Historical performance has been stellar, but recent trends are turning negative.

Positives

Strong 3Y/5Y price appreciation
History of earnings surprises

Watchpoints

Recent earnings growth reversal

Health

60/100

Balance sheet is strong, but operational efficiency is mediocre.

Positives

Low Debt/Equity
High Current Ratio
Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)

Watchpoints

Low ROA (2.97%)

Dividend

0/100

Pure growth play with no income component.

Positives

No standout positives identified.

Watchpoints

No dividend paid
0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$95.68

Analyst Target

$87.35

Upside/Downside

-8.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CAVA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. Primary	+118.5%	+118.5%	+5.1%	+50.4%	+19.2%	+0.9%
WYNN Wynn Resorts, Limited Peer	-12.9%	-4.9%	+34.7%	-15.4%	+2.8%	-1.1%
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. Peer	-3.0%	+28.8%	+14.3%	+2.9%	-2.0%	-5.6%
CHWY Chewy, Inc. Peer	-68.5%	-16.7%	-27.8%	-25.9%	-2.1%	-5.5%
DKNG DraftKings Inc. Peer	-65.6%	+11.7%	-34.9%	-42.2%	-9.2%	-7.2%

CAV

CAVA Group, Inc.

Primary

+118.5%

+5.1%

+50.4%

+19.2%

+0.9%

WYN

Wynn Resorts, Limited

Peer

-12.9%

-4.9%

+34.7%

-15.4%

+2.8%

-1.1%

CCK

Crown Holdings, Inc.

Peer

-3.0%

+28.8%

+14.3%

+2.9%

-2.0%

-5.6%

CHW

Chewy, Inc.

Peer

-68.5%

-16.7%

-27.8%

-25.9%

-2.1%

-5.5%

DKN

DraftKings Inc.

Peer

-65.6%

+11.7%

-34.9%

-42.2%

-9.2%

-7.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

177.19

132.05

N/A

14.25

9.44

9.5

83.72

$11.14B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 5.4%

Operating Margin 1.39%

Gross Margin 37.42%

ROE 8.64%

ROA 2.97%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +20.9%

Earnings Growth -94.0%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +20.93%

Q/Q Earnings Growth -93.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

0.6

Moderate

Current Ratio

2.65

Strong

Quick Ratio

2.53

Excellent

Cash/Share

$3.38

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$0.3B

Gross Margin

21.6%

Op. Margin

3.1%

Net Margin

1.8%

Total Assets

$1.4B

Liabilities

$0.6B

Equity

$0.8B

Debt/Equity

0.74x

Operating CF

$0.0B

CapEx

$-0.0B

Free Cash Flow

$0.0B

FCF Yield

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-14

$N/A

2026-02-24

$0.04

+51.0% surprise

2025-11-04

$0.12

-7.3% surprise

2025-08-12

$0.16

+15.6% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing CAVA against 330 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (20 bullish, 102 neutral, 208 bearish)

P/E Ratio

177.19

This Stock

34.26

Sector Avg

+417.2% (Expensive)

Return on Equity (ROE)

8.64%

This Stock

-52.63%

Sector Avg

-116.4% (Below Avg)

Profit Margin

5.4%

This Stock

-6.66%

Sector Avg

-181.1% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

0.6

This Stock

1.42

Sector Avg

-57.8% (Less Debt)

Revenue Growth

20.9%

This Stock

32.35%

Sector Avg

-35.4% (Slower)

Current Ratio

2.65

This Stock

2.45

Sector Avg

+8.2% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
CAVA CAVA Group, Inc.	BEARISH	$11.14B	177.19	8.6%	5.4%	$95.68
WYNN Wynn Resorts, Limited	BEARISH	$11.01B	33.63	-%	4.6%	$105.61	Compare
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$11.35B	15.85	26.3%	6.0%	$101.13	Compare
CHWY Chewy, Inc.	BEARISH	$10.84B	50.04	58.7%	1.8%	$26.02	Compare
DKNG DraftKings Inc.	NEUTRAL	$10.72B	-	0.5%	0.1%	$21.62	Compare

CAVA CAVA Group, Inc.

BEARISH

Mkt Cap

$11.1B

P/E

177.2

ROE

8.6%

Price

$95.68

WYNN Wynn Resorts, Limited

Compare with CAVA

CCK Crown Holdings, Inc.

Compare with CAVA

Compare with CAVA

Compare with CAVA

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-03-05	BERTRAM KENNETH ROBERT	Officer	Sale	15,000	$1,204,950
2026-02-26	XENOHRISTOS THEODOROS	Officer and Director	Stock Award	4,721	-
2026-02-26	SCHULMAN BRETT M	Chief Executive Officer	Stock Award	29,060	-
2026-02-26	COSTANZA KELLY	Officer	Stock Award	4,721	-
2026-02-26	COSTANZA KELLY	Officer	Sale	31,803	$2,685,763
2026-02-26	COSTANZA KELLY	Officer	Option Exercise	31,803	$214,670
2026-02-26	TOLIVAR PATRICIA K	Chief Financial Officer	Stock Award	7,966	-
2026-02-26	BERTRAM KENNETH ROBERT	Officer	Stock Award	3,836	-
2026-02-26	PHILLIPS ADAM DAVID	Officer	Stock Award	1,070	-
2026-02-26	PHILLIPS ADAM DAVID	Officer	Sale	2,000	$171,080
2026-01-27	XENOHRISTOS THEODOROS	Officer and Director	Sale	1,039	$64,566
2026-01-27	SCHULMAN BRETT M	Chief Executive Officer	Sale	4,542	$282,252
2026-01-27	COSTANZA KELLY	Officer	Sale	1,707	$106,077
2026-01-27	TOLIVAR PATRICIA K	Chief Financial Officer	Sale	2,404	$149,391
2026-01-27	BERTRAM KENNETH ROBERT	Officer	Sale	994	$61,770

BERTRAM KENNETH ROBERT

Officer

Sell

2026-03-05

15,000 shares · $1,204,950

XENOHRISTOS THEODOROS

Officer and Director

Stock Award

2026-02-26

4,721 shares

SCHULMAN BRETT M

Chief Executive Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-26

29,060 shares

COSTANZA KELLY

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-26

4,721 shares

COSTANZA KELLY

Officer

Sell

2026-02-26

31,803 shares · $2,685,763

COSTANZA KELLY

Officer

Option Exercise

2026-02-26

31,803 shares · $214,670

TOLIVAR PATRICIA K

Chief Financial Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-26

7,966 shares

BERTRAM KENNETH ROBERT

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-26

3,836 shares

PHILLIPS ADAM DAVID

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-26

1,070 shares

PHILLIPS ADAM DAVID

Officer

Sell

2026-02-26

2,000 shares · $171,080

XENOHRISTOS THEODOROS

Officer and Director

Sell

2026-01-27

1,039 shares · $64,566

SCHULMAN BRETT M

Chief Executive Officer

Sell

2026-01-27

4,542 shares · $282,252

COSTANZA KELLY

Officer

Sell

2026-01-27

1,707 shares · $106,077

TOLIVAR PATRICIA K

Chief Financial Officer

Sell

2026-01-27

2,404 shares · $149,391

BERTRAM KENNETH ROBERT

Officer

Sell

2026-01-27

994 shares · $61,770

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A

2026-04-24

CAVA filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on April 24, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

8-K

2026-04-21

CAVA likely reported its first-quarter financial results for 2026.

8-K

2026-03-25

CAVA Group, Inc. filed a Form 8-K on March 25, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results or a material corporate development.

10-K

2026-02-25

CAVA filed its annual 10-K on February 25, 2026, providing comprehensive disclosures on its business operations, risk factors, and financial condition. While specific financial metrics were not included in the provided excerpts, the filing contains detailed management analysis and a dedicated section outlining the company's primary risk factors.

8-K

2026-02-24

CAVA Group, Inc. filed an 8-K to report its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K

2026-01-12

10-Q

2025-11-05

CAVA filed its 10-Q on November 5, 2025, though the provided excerpt contains no specific financial highlights. The company directs investors to its Annual Report on Form 10-K for a comprehensive discussion of risk factors. Caution is advised regarding forward-looking statements, as actual results may differ materially from projections.

8-K

2025-11-04

CAVA Group, Inc. filed an 8-K likely to announce its third-quarter financial results for 2025.

8-K

2025-09-26

10-Q

2025-08-13

CAVA filed its quarterly 10-Q report on August 13, 2025. The company cautions investors that actual results may differ materially from forward-looking statements and refers to its 2024 Annual Report for a comprehensive discussion of risk factors.

8-K

2025-08-12

8-K

2025-06-25

10-Q

2025-05-16

8-K

2025-05-15

DEF 14A

2025-04-25

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

BUY

26 analysts

JP Morgan

2026-04-24

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Morgan Stanley

2026-04-21

Maintains

Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Benchmark

2026-04-20

Maintains

Buy Buy

Keybanc

2026-04-20

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Goldman Sachs

2026-04-13

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

TD Cowen

2026-04-02

Maintains

Buy Buy

Mizuho

2026-04-02

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Guggenheim

2026-03-26

init

Buy

Wolfe Research

2026-03-09

init

Outperform

DA Davidson

2026-03-06

init

Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CAVA from our newsroom.

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CAVA

CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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