CGAU
NEUTRAL
$18.97
Live
Centerra Gold Inc. · NYSE
Target $17.75
(-6.4%)
$6.31
52W Range
$21.17
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 25, 2026
Market cap
$3.8B
P/E
6.68
ROE
31.4%
Profit margin
42.2%
Debt/Equity
0.01
Dividend yield
1.07%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
CGAU presents a stark contrast between exceptional valuation and deteriorating fundamental trends. While the stock is significantly undervalued relative to its Graham Number ($25.67) and Intrinsic Value ($19.88), the Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health and negative operational trends. Despite a near-zero debt profile and high profitability, the bearish technical trend (10/100) and an analyst target price ($17.75) below the current market price suggest immediate headwinds.
Key Strengths
Extremely low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01
Strong profitability with an ROE of 31.43% and high profit margins
Significant undervaluation relative to the Graham Number ($25.67)
Robust year-over-year revenue growth of 32.80%
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.39
Key Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9) signaling deteriorating fundamental health
Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100)
Analyst consensus target price ($17.75) is below current market price
High volatility in quarterly earnings surprises
Low dividend yield (1.07%) providing little downside protection
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$21.2
+11.8% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
61
Strong
90
60
85
30
40
AI Verdict
Value Trap Risk
Key drivers: Deep value metrics, Weak F-Score, Bearish technicals, Zero debt
Confidence
80%
Value
90/100
Ref P/E 6.68, Graham Number $25.67
Positives
- P/E of 6.68 is far below sector average
- Trading below Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E is higher than trailing P/E, suggesting expected earnings dip
Future
60/100
Ref Growth rates and Target Price
Positives
- Strong YoY revenue growth (32.8%)
Watchpoints
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth declined by 71.3%
- Analyst target price is below current price
Past
85/100
Ref Historical price performance
Positives
- Exceptional 1Y return of +184.3%
- Consistent history of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters
Watchpoints
- Historical earnings volatility
Health
30/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Near-zero Debt/Equity ratio
- Strong Current Ratio
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 is categorized as Weak
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield and Payout
Positives
- Very low payout ratio (7.07%) suggests high sustainability
Watchpoints
- Low yield (1.07%) compared to typical value stocks
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$18.97
Analyst Target
$17.75
Upside/Downside
-6.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CGAU and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CGAU
Centerra Gold Inc.
Primary
|
+134.1% | +188.7% | +184.3% | +70.5% | +12.0% | -5.3% |
|
ARIS
Aris Mining Corporation
Peer
|
+351.4% | +541.4% | +248.1% | +90.1% | +12.1% | -7.7% |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
Peer
|
+352.3% | +352.3% | +217.4% | +81.2% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
|
CC
The Chemours Company
Peer
|
+1.1% | +8.1% | +119.6% | +91.7% | +28.1% | +14.8% |
|
CBT
Cabot Corporation
Peer
|
+53.6% | +14.8% | -0.9% | +9.1% | +5.7% | +3.2% |
CGA
Centerra Gold Inc.
Primary
5Y
+134.1%
3Y
+188.7%
1Y
+184.3%
6M
+70.5%
1M
+12.0%
1W
-5.3%
ARI
Aris Mining Corporation
Peer
5Y
+351.4%
3Y
+541.4%
1Y
+248.1%
6M
+90.1%
1M
+12.1%
1W
-7.7%
AAU
Allied Gold Corporation
Peer
5Y
+352.3%
3Y
+352.3%
1Y
+217.4%
6M
+81.2%
1M
-0.4%
1W
-0.7%
CC
The Chemours Company
Peer
5Y
+1.1%
3Y
+8.1%
1Y
+119.6%
6M
+91.7%
1M
+28.1%
1W
+14.8%
CBT
Cabot Corporation
Peer
5Y
+53.6%
3Y
+14.8%
1Y
-0.9%
6M
+9.1%
1M
+5.7%
1W
+3.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
6.68
Forward P/E
9.17
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.84
P/S Ratio
2.75
EV/Revenue
2.36
EV/EBITDA
4.59
Market Cap
$3.8B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
42.18%
Operating Margin
90.13%
Gross Margin
40.23%
ROE
31.43%
ROA
14.26%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+32.8%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+32.8%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.01
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.39
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.6
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.7
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
40.7%
Op. Margin
27.3%
Net Margin
48.0%
Total Assets
$3.0B
Liabilities
$0.9B
Equity
$2.1B
Debt/Equity
0.44x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-30%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-18
$0.41
+12.0% surprise
2025-10-28
$1.43
+409.3% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.26
+42.9% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing CGAU against 109 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(4 bullish, 41 neutral, 64 bearish)
P/E Ratio
6.68
This Stock
vs
37.99
Sector Avg
-82.4%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
31.43%
This Stock
vs
-10.47%
Sector Avg
-400.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
42.18%
This Stock
vs
-7.78%
Sector Avg
-641.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.01
This Stock
vs
1.02
Sector Avg
-99.1%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
32.8%
This Stock
vs
38.21%
Sector Avg
-14.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.39
This Stock
vs
5.92
Sector Avg
-59.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CGAU
Centerra Gold Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.8B | 6.68 | 31.4% | 42.2% | $18.97 | |
|
ARIS
Aris Mining Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.87B | 45.76 | 6.3% | 8.4% | $18.76 | Compare |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.92B | - | 2.6% | -3.6% | $31.14 | Compare |
|
CC
The Chemours Company
|
BEARISH | $3.99B | - | -93.8% | -6.6% | $26.61 | Compare |
|
CBT
Cabot Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $4.01B | 13.44 | 21.8% | 8.6% | $76.85 | Compare |
CGAU
Centerra Gold Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$3.8B
P/E
6.7
ROE
31.4%
Price
$18.97
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Dell (Eric) | Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6) | Purchase | 315 | $5,360 |
| 2026-04-13 | Hendriks (David) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 776 | $13,205 |
| 2026-04-13 | Rehman (Yousef) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 632 | $10,754 |
| 2026-04-13 | Soydemir (Fatih) | Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6) | Purchase | 451 | $7,674 |
| 2026-04-13 | Wilkinson (Lisa) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 86 | $1,463 |
| 2026-03-31 | Centerra Gold Inc. | Issuer | Stock Award | 50,300 | - |
| 2026-03-30 | Centerra Gold Inc. | Issuer | Purchase | 25,100 | $418,793 |
| 2026-03-27 | Centerra Gold Inc. | Issuer | Purchase | 25,200 | $419,479 |
| 2026-03-27 | Centerra Gold Inc. | Issuer | Stock Award | 364,900 | - |
| 2026-03-26 | Centerra Gold Inc. | Issuer | Purchase | 25,300 | $420,233 |
| 2026-03-26 | D'Orazio, Claudia | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 76 | - |
| 2026-03-26 | Dell (Eric) | Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6) | Stock Award | 2 | - |
| 2026-03-26 | Hendriks (David) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 1 | - |
| 2026-03-26 | Kei (Wendy) | Director of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 17.32 pe | 12 | $207 |
| 2026-03-26 | Rehman (Yousef) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 164 | - |
Dell (Eric)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
2026-04-13
315 shares
·
$5,360
Hendriks (David)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-04-13
776 shares
·
$13,205
Rehman (Yousef)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-04-13
632 shares
·
$10,754
Soydemir (Fatih)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
2026-04-13
451 shares
·
$7,674
Wilkinson (Lisa)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-04-13
86 shares
·
$1,463
Centerra Gold Inc.
Issuer
2026-03-31
50,300 shares
Centerra Gold Inc.
Issuer
2026-03-30
25,100 shares
·
$418,793
Centerra Gold Inc.
Issuer
2026-03-27
25,200 shares
·
$419,479
Centerra Gold Inc.
Issuer
2026-03-27
364,900 shares
Centerra Gold Inc.
Issuer
2026-03-26
25,300 shares
·
$420,233
D'Orazio, Claudia
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-26
76 shares
Dell (Eric)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
2026-03-26
2 shares
Hendriks (David)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-26
1 shares
Kei (Wendy)
Director of Issuer
2026-03-26
12 shares
·
$207
Rehman (Yousef)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-26
164 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
2 analysts
Scotiabank
2026-04-22
Sector Outperform
Sector Outperform
Scotiabank
2026-01-26
Sector Outperform
Sector Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning CGAU from our newsroom.
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