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CSX

BEARISH
$43.37 Live
CSX Corporation · NYSE
Target $42.1 (-2.9%)
$27.18 52W Range $43.8
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 22, 2026
Market cap
$80.67B
P/E
28.35
ROE
22.5%
Profit margin
20.5%
Debt/Equity
1.48
Dividend yield
1.29%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
CSX presents a significant valuation disconnect, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable health and a current price of $43.37 that vastly exceeds both the Graham Number ($15.61) and Intrinsic Value ($10.71). While the company maintains strong operating margins (32.72%) and ROE (22.51%), growth has stalled with negative YoY revenue and earnings growth. The stock has experienced a massive 1-year price surge of 60.3%, yet the technical trend has shifted to heavily bearish (10/100), suggesting a potential peak. Overall, the high PEG ratio of 3.74 indicates the market is paying a steep premium for a company with stagnant growth.

Key Strengths

Strong operating margins at 32.72%
Robust Return on Equity (ROE) of 22.51%
Conservative dividend payout ratio of 33.77%
Consistent historical earnings track record over 25 quarters
Dominant market position in the North American rail industry

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value baselines
Negative YoY revenue growth (-0.90%) and earnings growth (-0.40%)
Liquidity risk indicated by a current ratio of 0.81
High PEG ratio (3.74) suggesting price is decoupled from growth
Heavy regulatory oversight from STB, FRA, and EPA
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.16
-58.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
48
Moderate
Value
20
Future
30
Past
80
Health
50
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Overvalued Stable-Growth
Key drivers: Valuation Gap, Stagnant Growth, Strong Profitability
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E 28.35, PEG 3.74, Graham Number $15.61

Positives
  • Forward P/E is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price is ~177% above Graham Number
  • Price is ~300% above Intrinsic Value
  • PEG ratio of 3.74 is excessively high
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates: Rev -0.90%, Earnings -0.40%

Positives
  • Analyst target price remains near current levels
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY Revenue Growth
  • Negative Q/Q Earnings Growth
  • Stagnant earnings progression in recent quarters
Past
80/100

Ref Historical trends and 1Y/3Y/5Y change

Positives
  • Strong 1Y return of +60.3%
  • Consistent earnings beats over long-term horizon
  • Steady 5Y growth trend
Watchpoints
  • Recent quarterly surprises have turned negative
Health
50/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Current Ratio 0.81

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is stable
  • Manageable Debt/Equity of 1.48
Watchpoints
  • Current ratio (0.81) and Quick ratio (0.63) are below 1.0
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield 1.29%, Payout 33.77%

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (33.77%) ensures sustainability
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (1.29%) compared to typical utility/industrial plays

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$43.37
Analyst Target
$42.1
Upside/Downside
-2.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CSX and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-21
CSX
CSX Corporation
Primary
5Y
+36.7%
3Y
+42.3%
1Y
+60.3%
6M
+22.2%
1M
+11.4%
1W
+2.0%
MMM
3M Company
Peer
5Y
+8.0%
3Y
+92.1%
1Y
+22.3%
6M
-1.3%
1M
+7.2%
1W
-0.9%
JCI
Johnson Controls International plc
Peer
5Y
+189.6%
3Y
+89.8%
1Y
+41.2%
6M
+21.7%
1M
+7.1%
1W
-2.9%
CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
Peer
5Y
+21.7%
3Y
+11.9%
1Y
+19.7%
6M
+15.3%
1M
+8.8%
1W
+6.6%
WM
Waste Management, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+85.7%
3Y
+39.5%
1Y
-4.3%
6M
-8.3%
1M
-2.1%
1W
+3.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
28.35
Forward P/E
20.72
PEG Ratio
3.74
P/B Ratio
6.13
P/S Ratio
5.72
EV/Revenue
7.06
EV/EBITDA
15.49
Market Cap
$80.67B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 20.5%
Operating Margin 32.73%
Gross Margin 45.59%
ROE 22.51%
ROA 6.86%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -0.9%
Earnings Growth -0.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -0.88%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -1.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.48
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.81
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.63
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.36

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$3.5B
Gross Margin
31.6%
Op. Margin
32.6%
Net Margin
20.5%
Total Assets
$43.7B
Liabilities
$30.5B
Equity
$13.2B
Debt/Equity
2.32x
Operating CF
$1.4B
CapEx
$-0.7B
Free Cash Flow
$0.7B
FCF Yield
51%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-22
$N/A
2026-01-22
$0.39
-5.3% surprise
2025-10-16
$0.44
+3.8% surprise
2025-07-23
$0.44
+5.7% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing CSX against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.35
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-71.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
22.51%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-216.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
20.5%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+208.1% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.48
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-43.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-0.9%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-101.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.81
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-73.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

CSX CSX Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$80.7B
P/E
28.3
ROE
22.5%
Price
$43.37
MMM 3M Company
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$79.7B
P/E
25.2
ROE
75.5%
Price
$151.4
 Compare with CSX
JCI Johnson...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$78.7B
P/E
45.0
ROE
11.4%
Price
$118.72
 Compare with CSX
CP Canadian...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$78.0B
P/E
26.3
ROE
8.6%
Price
$86.89
 Compare with CSX
WM Waste Management, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$84.3B
P/E
32.9
ROE
29.3%
Price
$209.17
 Compare with CSX

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WHISLER J STEVEN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-13
954 shares · $37,492
ANGEL STEPHEN F
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2026-03-06
25,000 shares · $1,006,750
ZILLMER JOHN J
Director
Gift
2026-03-02
5,850 shares
BOSTICK THOMAS P PH.D.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-26
4,455 shares
WILLIAMS ANGELA C
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
1,876 shares
BOONE KEVIN S
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
15,241 shares
FORTUNE STEPHEN
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
10,903 shares
CORY MICHAEL A
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
15,241 shares
BURNS MICHAEL S.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
8,207 shares
BEGEMAN ANN
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-26
4,455 shares
KENNEY MARYCLARE T
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
9,379 shares
HALVERSON STEVEN T
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-26
4,455 shares
HILAL PAUL C. J.D.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-26
4,455 shares
VAUTRINOT SUZANNE M.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-26
4,455 shares
CHOW ANNE H
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-26
4,455 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-30

CSX Corporation filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 30, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for its annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-12

CSX is a leading North American transportation company providing rail-based freight, intermodal, and bulk commodity services. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpts, the company faces significant operational risks due to extensive regulatory oversight from agencies including the Surface Transportation Board, the Federal Railroad Administration, and the Canadian Transportation Agency.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-22

CSX Corporation filed an 8-K on January 22, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-29

CSX Corporation announced its third-quarter financial results for 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-23

CSX Corporation filed an 8-K on October 23, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-22

CSX Corporation filed an 8-K to report its third-quarter financial results for 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-16
8-K
8-K
2025-10-16
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-29
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-23
8-K
8-K
2025-07-23
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-12
10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-16
8-K
8-K
2025-04-16
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-03-25
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
24 analysts
Benchmark
2026-04-17
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-04-07
down
Buy Neutral
Bernstein
2026-03-31
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-19
down
Outperform In-Line
B of A Securities
2026-03-12
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-01-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Bernstein
2026-01-23
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Evercore ISI Group
2026-01-23
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
JP Morgan
2026-01-12
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-08
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CSX from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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