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CSX CSX Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
CSX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Railroads
Current Price
$36.27
Analyst Target
$39.58
+9.1% Upside
52W High
$37.54
52W Low
$26.22

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
CSX exhibits mixed financial health with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal stability, while the extraordinarily high Altman Z-Score of 116839194368.0 suggests negligible bankruptcy risk. Profitability metrics are strong, including a 35.07% operating margin and 22.59% ROE, but growth is negative with YoY revenue and earnings declining by 0.90% and 19.60%, respectively. The stock trades at a premium to both the Graham Number ($15.41) and intrinsic value ($10.78), supported by a P/E of 23.55, though below sector average. Bearish insider activity and weakening earnings momentum temper bullish sentiment despite solid cash flow generation and sector-relative valuation stability.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high Altman Z-Score indicates near-zero risk of financial distress
Strong profitability with 35.07% operating margin and 22.59% ROE
Low P/E ratio relative to sector average (23.55 vs 32.77)
Sustainable dividend with 33.12% payout ratio and 1.43% yield
Historically consistent earnings beats over long-term track record

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals deteriorating financial health
Negative year-over-year revenue and earnings growth trends
Bearish insider sentiment with $2.01M in officer sell transactions and no buys
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong short-term bearish momentum
High Price/Book (5.30) and Price/Sales (4.79) multiples relative to fundamentals
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$25.5
-29.7% below current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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