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DIS The Walt Disney Company - Fundamental Analysis

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DIS Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Communication Services Entertainment
Current Price Live
$111.2
Analyst Target
$132.47
+19.1% Upside
52W High
$124.69
52W Low
$80.1

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The Walt Disney Company exhibits a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score to confirm safety from distress. While profitability metrics like ROE (12.20%) and operating margins (11.87%) are decent, the company faces near-term revenue stagnation with YoY revenue growth at -0.50% and concerning liquidity ratios (Current Ratio: 0.71, Quick Ratio: 0.55). Valuation appears mixed—trading below the intrinsic value estimate of $202.07 but above the conservative Graham Number of $97.24, while analyst target of $132.47 suggests moderate upside. However, weak insider sentiment, bearish technical trend, and declining short-term EPS growth temper optimism despite strong recent earnings surprises.

Key Strengths

Solid return on equity (12.20%) above sector average of 19.88% when adjusted for leverage profile
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.40, significantly below sector average of 1.22, indicating conservative capital structure
Strong earnings surprise streak in recent quarters, beating estimates in 3 of last 4 periods with double-digit margins
Low payout ratio of 14.60% provides dividend sustainability and reinvestment flexibility
Forward P/E of 15.13 is below sector average P/E of 21.96, suggesting relative value

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly concerning asset efficiency and leverage trends
Current and quick ratios below 1.0 (0.71 and 0.55 respectively) signal potential near-term liquidity pressure
Revenue growth is negative YoY (-0.50%), lagging far behind sector average of 12.67%
Insider activity shows net selling over the past 6 months, with no buys and $0.28M in sales, signaling lack of confidence
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish momentum in price action
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$115.0
+3.4% above current price

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