DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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DLTR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Defensive
Discount Stores
Current Price
Live
$139.95
Analyst Target
$123.61
-11.7%
Downside
52W High
$142.4
52W Low
$61.8
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
DLTR's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a premium to its Graham Number ($45.29) and near its growth-based intrinsic value ($120.91), with a current price of $139.95. Despite solid revenue and earnings growth, weak profitability (negative profit margin), high leverage, and bearish insider activity offset positive momentum and recent earnings surprises. Analysts consensus is a 'hold' with a target price below current levels, suggesting limited upside.
Key Strengths
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 9.40% outpaces sector average of 5.11%
Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been strong, averaging +34.65% over the last four quarters
High ROE of 20.07% indicates efficient use of shareholder equity
Impressive 1-year price return of +96.9%, reflecting strong market sentiment and momentum
Gross margin of 35.94% remains healthy relative to peers
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline financial weakness with concerns in profitability and liquidity
Negative net profit margin of -15.40% raises sustainability concerns despite positive operating margin
High debt/equity ratio of 2.21 exceeds sector average (1.82) and increases financial risk
Current ratio of 0.96 and quick ratio of 0.15 signal potential short-term liquidity pressure
Insider selling activity over the past 6 months reflects management's lack of confidence at current valuation
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$120.91
-13.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare DLTR against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
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