DOW Dow Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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DOW Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Basic Materials
Chemicals
Current Price
Live
$27.57
Analyst Target
$27.81
+0.9%
Upside
52W High
$42.17
52W Low
$20.4
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$19.6B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-5.3%
Profit margin
-2.8%
Debt/Equity
1.03
Dividend yield
5.01%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress, with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9 indicating weak financial health. Profitability metrics are deeply negative, including a -2.77% profit margin and -5.29% ROE, while earnings have collapsed year-over-year by -127.9%. Despite a high dividend yield of 5.01%, the 700% payout ratio is unsustainable, and the negative forward P/E of -98.97 suggests the market expects prolonged losses. Although recent price momentum has improved, fundamental deterioration across revenue, earnings, and cash flow paints a concerning outlook.
Key Strengths
High dividend yield of 5.01% offers income appeal in a low-growth environment
Current ratio of 1.94 indicates adequate short-term liquidity
Recent quarterly EPS surprise of +36.8% in Q4 2025 shows potential for operational improvement
Price/Sales of 0.48 is low, suggesting possible undervaluation relative to sales
Recent 1-month price appreciation of +19.5% indicates improving market sentiment
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial weakness and high risk of continued underperformance
Negative forward P/E of -98.97 implies earnings are in freefall and profitability is not expected soon
Earnings growth YoY at -127.9% reflects a dramatic collapse in profitability
Dividend payout ratio of 700% is unsustainable and poses a high risk of cut or suspension
Operating margin of 1.91% and gross margin of 7.22% are extremely thin, leaving little room for downturns
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
29
Weak
45
20
30
15
35
AI Verdict
High risk, low quality, and deteriorating fundamentals suggest significant downside risk
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, Negative earnings and forward P/E, Unsustainable dividend payout, Collapse in year-over-year earnings
Confidence
88%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Low Price/Sales ratio of 0.48 may indicate undervaluation
- Price/Book of 1.12 is below historical norms for chemicals sector
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of -98.97 invalidates traditional valuation
- No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value available due to unprofitability
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +54.8% hints at potential stabilization
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth YoY at -8.30%
- Earnings growth YoY at -127.9%
- Forward P/E deeply negative
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historically strong earnings pre-2023 (e.g., $2.75 EPS in Q3 2021)
Watchpoints
- Consistent decline in EPS since 2022
- Multiple negative quarters in 2025
- Earnings volatility and deteriorating trend
Health
15/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 1.94 supports short-term solvency
- Quick ratio of 1.01 indicates minimal liquid asset coverage
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates critical financial weakness
- ROE of -5.29% and ROA of 0.72% show poor capital efficiency
- Debt/Equity of 1.03 increases leverage risk
Dividend
35/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 5.01% is attractive on surface
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 700% is unsustainable
- Dividend Strength score of 40/100 indicates high risk
- No dividend growth history or consistency evident
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$27.57
Analyst Target
$27.81
Upside/Downside
+0.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for DOW and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DOW
Dow Inc.
Primary
|
-37.1% | -42.6% | -27.5% | +0.1% | +19.5% | +4.7% |
|
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc.
Peer
|
+472.0% | +288.1% | +116.2% | +67.8% | +7.6% | +11.6% |
|
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
Peer
|
+33.5% | +46.4% | +36.5% | +37.0% | +5.6% | -2.2% |
|
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
Peer
|
+13.7% | -25.1% | +115.4% | +128.2% | +27.6% | +16.2% |
|
AA
Alcoa Corporation
Peer
|
+236.8% | +22.0% | +68.7% | +103.0% | +16.0% | +3.6% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-98.97
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.12
P/S Ratio
0.48
EV/Revenue
0.87
EV/EBITDA
10.15
Market Cap
$19.6B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-2.77%
Operating Margin
1.91%
Gross Margin
7.22%
ROE
-5.29%
ROA
0.72%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-8.3%
Earnings Growth
-73.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-71.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.03
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.94
Good
Quick Ratio
1.01
Good
Cash/Share
$7.24
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-01-29
$N/A
2025-10-23
$-0.19
+36.8% surprise
2025-07-24
$-0.42
-156.3% surprise
2025-04-24
$0.02
+249.8% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing DOW against 41 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(1 bullish, 21 neutral, 19 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-5.29%
This Stock
vs
0.39%
Sector Avg
-1439.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-2.77%
This Stock
vs
-2.41%
Sector Avg
+14.9%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.03
This Stock
vs
0.61
Sector Avg
+70.0%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
-8.3%
This Stock
vs
15.82%
Sector Avg
-152.5%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.94
This Stock
vs
2.28
Sector Avg
-14.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DOW
Dow Inc.
|
BEARISH | $19.6B | - | -5.3% | -2.8% | $27.57 | |
|
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $18.23B | 32.89 | 14.3% | 33.5% | $43.42 | |
|
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $17.96B | 24.77 | 3.2% | -6.0% | $42.86 | |
|
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
|
BEARISH | $22.3B | - | 0.2% | -0.4% | $189.51 | |
|
AA
Alcoa Corporation
|
BULLISH | $16.11B | 13.86 | 19.2% | 8.9% | $62.21 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
16 analysts
RBC Capital
2026-01-16
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Citigroup
2026-01-15
Neutral
Neutral
Mizuho
2026-01-08
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2025-12-23
Neutral
Neutral
Citigroup
2025-11-19
Neutral
Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-29
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2025-10-24
Neutral
Neutral
RBC Capital
2025-10-24
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Mizuho
2025-10-24
Neutral
Neutral
JP Morgan
2025-10-24
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning DOW from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.