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DVN Devon Energy Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

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DVN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Energy Oil & Gas E&P
Current Price Live
$36.2
Analyst Target
$44.7
+23.5% Upside
52W High
$38.88
52W Low
$25.89

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$22.98B
P/E
8.54
ROE
18.6%
Profit margin
16.4%
Debt/Equity
0.56
Dividend yield
2.64%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
DVN's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial stability. While profitability metrics like ROE (18.59%) and gross margin (49.35%) are strong and above sector averages, weak earnings growth (YoY: -16.20%) and a bearish technical trend (10/100) offset value appeal. The stock trades below the analyst target ($44.70) and at a low P/E of 8.54 versus sector average of 19.76, suggesting undervaluation, but poor insider sentiment and declining earnings pressure the outlook. Dividend safety is solid with a low 22.17% payout ratio, though yield is modest at 2.64%.

Key Strengths

High profitability with ROE (18.59%) and gross margin (49.35%) well above sector averages
Attractive valuation: P/E of 8.54 vs sector average of 19.76
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.56, in line with sector average and supportive of financial flexibility
Dividend is well-covered with a conservative 22.17% payout ratio
Stock trades below analyst target price of $44.70, implying 23.5% upside

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals marginal financial health and potential operational inefficiencies
Earnings under pressure with YoY EPS decline of 5.5% and YoY earnings growth of -16.20%
Poor technical trend (10/100) suggests strong near-term bearish momentum
Insider selling activity over the past 6 months indicates lack of confidence from insiders
Current and quick ratios below 1.0 (0.96 and 0.76) raise short-term liquidity concerns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$44.7
+23.5% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
61
Strong
Value
82
Future
40
Past
65
Health
48
Dividend
68
AI Verdict
Neutral with value appeal offset by weak earnings momentum and technicals
Key drivers: Low P/E and undervaluation relative to peers, Strong historical profitability, Declining earnings and weak technical trend, Marginal financial health per Piotroski, Bearish insider activity
Confidence
75%
Value
82/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 8.54 well below sector average of 19.76
  • Price/Sales of 1.39 below sector median
  • Stock trading below analyst target of $44.70
Watchpoints
  • Graham Number ($48.25) not significantly above current price, limiting deep value margin
  • Intrinsic value ($29.68) below current price, suggesting overvaluation on growth basis
Future
40/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +23.8% shows potential rebound
  • Revenue growth (YoY) of 7.10% remains positive
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth (YoY) down -16.20%
  • Q/Q earnings growth of -15.40% indicates ongoing deterioration
  • PEG Ratio unavailable due to negative growth
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • History of beating earnings estimates in prior years (e.g., +40.3% in 2021)
  • Strong EPS growth from depressed 2020 levels
  • 5Y price return of +134.5% reflects strong long-term capital appreciation
Watchpoints
  • Last 4 quarters beat rate of only 1/4
  • 3Y and 1Y returns negative (-35.6%, -3.1%) indicating recent underperformance
Health
48/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.56 is moderate and in line with sector
  • ROIC not available but ROA (8.02%) and ROE (18.59%) are healthy
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Current ratio (0.96) and quick ratio (0.76) below 1.0 signal short-term liquidity risk
  • Altman Z-Score not available, limiting distress risk assessment
Dividend
68/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend payout ratio of 22.17% is very conservative
  • Yield of 2.64% is above S&P 500 average
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 35/100 indicates limited growth or consistency track record
  • No 5-year average yield data, suggesting possible instability

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$36.2
Analyst Target
$44.7
Upside/Downside
+23.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for DVN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-16
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation
Primary
+134.5% -35.6% -3.1% +11.7% -2.0% +1.2%
HAL
Halliburton Company
Peer
+73.5% -18.0% +14.6% +55.6% +17.4% -0.2%
APA
APA Corporation
Peer
+84.3% +10.9% +90.4% +54.1% +22.0% +5.5%
AR
Antero Resources Corporation
Peer
+399.9% +14.2% -15.4% +5.4% +0.3% +6.0%
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
Peer
+228.5% +103.9% +19.4% +11.2% +4.9% +2.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
8.54
Forward P/E
9.14
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.48
P/S Ratio
1.39
EV/Revenue
1.82
EV/EBITDA
3.93
Market Cap
$22.98B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 16.43%
Operating Margin 24.2%
Gross Margin 49.35%
ROE 18.59%
ROA 8.02%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.1%
Earnings Growth -16.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -15.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.56
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.96
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.76
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.96

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-17
$N/A
2025-11-05
$1.04
+10.6% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.84
-2.8% surprise
2025-05-06
$1.21
-1.5% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing DVN against 26 companies in the Energy sector (0 bullish, 20 neutral, 6 bearish)
P/E Ratio
8.54
This Stock
vs
23.13
Sector Avg
-63.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
18.59%
This Stock
vs
7.95%
Sector Avg
+133.7% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
16.43%
This Stock
vs
8.82%
Sector Avg
+86.2% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.56
This Stock
vs
0.68
Sector Avg
-16.7% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
7.1%
This Stock
vs
4.1%
Sector Avg
+73.3% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.96
This Stock
vs
1.18
Sector Avg
-19.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation
NEUTRAL $22.98B 8.54 18.6% 16.4% $36.2
HAL
Halliburton Company
NEUTRAL $27.77B 21.57 12.8% 5.9% $32.57
APA
APA Corporation
NEUTRAL $12.18B 8.64 25.3% 16.5% $34.47
AR
Antero Resources Corporation
NEUTRAL $10.58B 18.14 8.6% 11.8% $34.29
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
BEARISH $8.97B 19.13 22.5% 37.8% $18.75

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-11-21 CAMERON DENNIS CLARKE General Counsel Gift 11,411 -
2025-10-09 SMOLIK BRENT J Director Stock Award 4,495 -
2025-08-11 KINDICK KELT Director Sale 7,685 $257,140
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
30 analysts
Scotiabank
2026-01-16
down
Sector Outperform Sector Perform
Bernstein
2026-01-05
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Roth Capital
2025-12-31
reit
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-12-17
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-12-12
up
Neutral Buy
Mizuho
2025-12-12
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-11
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-12-08
up
Neutral Overweight
Piper Sandler
2025-11-18
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Susquehanna
2025-11-12
Maintains
Positive Positive

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning DVN from our newsroom.

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