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EBAY eBay Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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EBAY Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Cyclical Internet Retail
Current Price Live
$93.03
Analyst Target
$94.73
+1.8% Upside
52W High
$101.15
52W Low
$58.71

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
75%
EBAY's Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable financial health, though the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $32.48 at $93.03, reflecting premium valuation, but remains below the growth-based intrinsic value of $68.10, suggesting overvaluation on defensive metrics but potential justification via growth expectations. Profitability is strong with high margins and ROE of 42.43%, yet Q/Q earnings contraction and negative insider activity weigh on sentiment. Analysts consensus is a hold with a target price of $94.73, close to current levels, indicating limited near-term upside.

Key Strengths

High profitability with ROE of 42.43% and operating margin of 21.42%
Consistent earnings beat history: 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeded estimates with average surprise of 3.57%
Strong revenue growth of 9.50% YoY, outpacing sector average profit margin despite lower revenue growth
Defensive valuation metrics like P/E of 20.63 are below sector average of 37.52, offering relative value
Healthy dividend policy with low payout ratio of 25.28%, supporting sustainability

Key Risks

Negative Q/Q earnings growth of -0.30% and declining EPS trend (-0.7% Q/Q) signal near-term profitability pressure
Current ratio of 0.93 and quick ratio of 0.84 indicate potential liquidity concerns
Debt/Equity of 1.51 is above sector average of 1.41, increasing financial risk
Insider selling activity: $6.95M in net sales over last 6 months, signaling lack of confidence from executives
Technical trend score of 10/100 suggests strong bearish momentum despite positive price performance
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$68.1
-26.8% below current price

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