EXC Exelon Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

EXC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Utilities • Utilities - Regulated Electric

Current Price

$43.92

Analyst Target

$49.25

+12.1% Upside

52W High

$48.51

52W Low

$37.13

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At a glance

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AI Analysis

Confidence Score

78%

Analysis Accuracy

Exelon Corporation exhibits stable financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and an exceptionally high Altman Z-Score of 104049667430.4, indicating negligible distress risk. The stock appears fairly valued near its Graham Number of $41.8, trading at $43.92, while forward growth metrics and strong earnings momentum support the current valuation. Profitability is solid with double-digit margins and ROE above sector average, though leverage is elevated with a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.78. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $49.25 target, implying upside, but weak technicals and lackluster insider activity temper near-term optimism.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high Altman Z-Score indicates near-zero bankruptcy risk and robust balance sheet resilience

Strong earnings growth momentum: 22.9% YoY and 23.8% Q/Q EPS growth with consistent estimate beats (3 of last 4 quarters)

Attractive dividend yield of 3.64% with sustainable 56.6% payout ratio, above sector average

Profitability metrics are healthy: 22.18% operating margin and 10.31% ROE exceed sector averages

Valuation is reasonable relative to peers: P/E of 15.74 vs sector average of 21.93

Key Risks

Elevated leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 1.78, above sector average of 1.55, increasing interest rate sensitivity

Weak liquidity profile: Current ratio of 0.94 and Quick ratio of 0.61 suggest potential short-term cash flow pressure

Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates bearish price momentum, with recent 1-month decline of 1.4%

Insider sentiment is neutral with zero buy/sell transactions in last 6 months, signaling lack of conviction

Missing key financial data (EV, shares outstanding, cash/debt, FCF) limits full transparency and raises due diligence concerns

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$45.5

+3.6% above current price

Performance Snowflake

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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