F Ford Motor Company - Fundamental Analysis
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F Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Cyclical
Auto Manufacturers
Current Price
Live
$13.6
Analyst Target
$13.66
+0.4%
Upside
52W High
$14.5
52W Low
$8.44
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$54.19B
P/E
11.62
ROE
10.3%
Profit margin
2.5%
Debt/Equity
3.47
Dividend yield
4.34%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
Ford's deterministic health signals are mixed, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating stable but not strong financial health and no available Altman Z-Score to assess distress risk. The stock appears undervalued based on a Graham Number of $17.69 and an intrinsic value estimate of $34.52, while trading at $13.60. Strong recent earnings growth (YoY EPS +104.5%) and a high dividend yield (4.34%) are offset by weak profitability margins and a bearish technical trend. Analysts consensus is a hold with a near-current target price of $13.66, suggesting limited upside.
Key Strengths
High dividend yield of 4.34% with a sustainable 64.1% payout ratio
Significant year-over-year earnings growth of 172.7%
Valuation appears attractive with P/E of 11.62 vs sector average of 37.52
Trading below both Graham Number ($17.69) and intrinsic value ($34.52)
Recent earnings surprises have been strongly positive on average
Key Risks
Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates suboptimal financial health
Very high debt/equity ratio of 3.47, well above sector average of 1.41
Weak profitability metrics: ROA of 0.83% and profit margin of 2.48%
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggests near-term downward pressure
Missing key financial data (EV, cash, debt, ROIC) limits confidence in health assessment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$17.69
+30.1% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
66
Strong
85
70
55
40
80
AI Verdict
Neutral with value appeal but structural risks
Key drivers: Attractive valuation metrics, High dividend yield, Elevated leverage, Weak return on assets, Lack of Altman Z-Score
Confidence
70%
Value
85/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 11.62 is significantly below sector average
- Price/Sales of 0.29 indicates deep value
- Current price 23% below Graham Number
Watchpoints
- PEG unavailable limits growth-adjusted valuation
Future
70/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong YoY earnings growth of 172.7%
- Q/Q earnings growth of 174.3% indicates acceleration
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth of 9.4% is below sector average of 12.82%
- Forward P/E not indicating strong future premium
Past
55/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- History of beating earnings estimates (3 of last 4 quarters)
- Long-term price appreciation: +78.9% over 5 years
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprises are volatile, including large misses
- Recent technical performance weak (-4.2% over 1 week)
Health
40/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 1.12 indicates short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak financial health
- Debt/Equity of 3.47 is very high
- ROA of 0.83% is extremely low
- No Altman Z-Score available for distress assessment
Dividend
80/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 4.34% is attractive
- Payout ratio of 64.1% is sustainable
- Dividend strength rated 70/100
Watchpoints
- No 5-year average yield to assess consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$13.6
Analyst Target
$13.66
Upside/Downside
+0.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for F and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
F
Ford Motor Company
Primary
|
+78.9% | +36.3% | +45.9% | +24.9% | +2.2% | -4.2% |
|
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.
Peer
|
+209.3% | +58.0% | +9.7% | -3.2% | +7.1% | +5.0% |
|
RACE
Ferrari N.V.
Peer
|
+69.6% | +48.3% | -19.6% | -31.7% | -5.5% | -8.2% |
|
ROST
Ross Stores, Inc.
Peer
|
+78.5% | +66.0% | +30.5% | +48.8% | +5.3% | +0.5% |
|
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
+156.1% | +96.3% | +8.1% | +5.6% | +1.7% | -1.3% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
11.62
Forward P/E
8.92
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.14
P/S Ratio
0.29
EV/Revenue
0.98
EV/EBITDA
19.15
Market Cap
$54.19B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.48%
Operating Margin
3.15%
Gross Margin
7.56%
ROE
10.29%
ROA
0.83%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+9.4%
Earnings Growth
+172.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+174.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
3.47
High debt
Current Ratio
1.12
Good
Quick Ratio
0.94
Poor
Cash/Share
$8.2
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-10-23
$0.45
+25.4% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.37
+11.1% surprise
2025-05-05
$0.14
+557.0% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing F against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(5 bullish, 49 neutral, 40 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.62
This Stock
vs
42.97
Sector Avg
-72.9%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.29%
This Stock
vs
6.02%
Sector Avg
+70.9%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
2.48%
This Stock
vs
0.78%
Sector Avg
+218.3%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
3.47
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
+110.2%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
9.4%
This Stock
vs
7.65%
Sector Avg
+22.9%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.12
This Stock
vs
1.88
Sector Avg
-40.4%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
F
Ford Motor Company
|
NEUTRAL | $54.19B | 11.62 | 10.3% | 2.5% | $13.6 | |
|
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $61.54B | 25.77 | -% | 12.8% | $3700.0 | |
|
RACE
Ferrari N.V.
|
NEUTRAL | $61.77B | 33.0 | 45.0% | 22.6% | $345.23 | |
|
ROST
Ross Stores, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $62.56B | 30.06 | 37.4% | 9.5% | $192.36 | |
|
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $62.73B | 39.2 | -% | 34.2% | $269.67 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | CROLEY STEVEN P | General Counsel | Stock Award | 118,949 | - |
| 2026-01-13 | GALHOTRA ASHWANI KUMAR | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 50,978 | - |
| 2025-12-22 | ENGLISH ALEXANDRA FORD | Director | Gift | 5,622 | - |
| 2025-11-20 | FORD HENRY III | Director | Gift | 8,979 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | FRICK ANDREW | Officer | Stock Award | 51,067 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | WU SHENGPO | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 94,909 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | GALHOTRA ASHWANI KUMAR | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 35,665 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | LAWLER JOHN T | Officer | Stock Award | 23,777 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | FIELD JOHN DOUGLAS | Officer | Stock Award | 201,410 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | THORNTON JOHN L | Director | Purchase | 7,520 | $99,189 |
| 2025-10-30 | WEINBERG JOHN S. | Director | Stock Award | 16,861 | - |
| 2025-10-30 | VEIHMEYER JOHN B. | Director | Stock Award | 19,812 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
19 analysts
UBS
2026-01-14
Neutral
Neutral
TD Cowen
2026-01-13
Hold
Hold
HSBC
2026-01-13
Hold
Hold
Piper Sandler
2026-01-08
Neutral
Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-12-22
In-Line
In-Line
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-08
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-24
In-Line
In-Line
Citigroup
2025-10-27
Neutral
Neutral
Barclays
2025-10-27
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Piper Sandler
2025-10-24
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning F from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.