F Ford Motor Company - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
F Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
•
Consumer Cyclical
•
Auto Manufacturers
Current Price
$13.34
Analyst Target
$13.0
-2.6% Downside
52W High
$13.99
52W Low
$8.44
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 04, 2026
Market cap
$53.15B
P/E
11.4
ROE
10.3%
Profit margin
2.5%
Debt/Equity
3.47
Dividend yield
4.5%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
Ford's financial health is mixed, with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal stability and an extraordinarily high Altman Z-Score of 285408254873.6 suggesting negligible bankruptcy risk. The stock appears undervalued relative to its Graham Number of $17.69 and intrinsic value estimate of $34.52, trading at $13.34, yet profitability and leverage remain concerns. Strong year-over-year earnings growth and a high dividend yield provide support, but weak technicals and inconsistent earnings surprises cap upside. Relative to peers, Ford offers lower valuation multiples but lags in profitability and ROE.
Key Strengths
Exceptionally high Altman Z-Score indicates near-zero risk of financial distress
Attractive dividend yield of 4.50% with a manageable 64.1% payout ratio
Significant year-over-year earnings growth of 172.70% and Q/Q EPS growth of +4600%
Valuation appears favorable with P/E of 11.40 well below sector average of 43.51
Revenue growth of 9.40% outpaces some peers despite sector headwinds
Key Risks
Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and operational instability
High debt/equity ratio of 3.47 raises long-term solvency concerns
Poor profitability metrics: ROA of 0.83% and profit margin of 2.48% are below sector peers
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum near term
Inconsistent quarterly earnings performance with 2 misses in last 4 quarters
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$17.69
+32.6% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
62
Strong
75
62
54
48
70
AI Verdict
Neutral with value appeal but structural risks
Key drivers: Undervaluation relative to Graham Number, High dividend yield, Exceptional Altman Z-Score, Weak Piotroski score, Bearish technicals
Confidence
78%
Value
75/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Current price of $13.34 below Graham Number of $17.69
- P/E of 11.40 significantly below sector average of 43.51
- Price/Sales of 0.28 indicates deep value
Watchpoints
- PEG ratio unavailable due to inconsistent growth
- Forward P/E of 9.01 may reflect low future expectations
Future
62/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong YoY earnings growth of 172.70%
- Q/Q earnings growth of 174.30% shows recent acceleration
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprises highly volatile, including -103.2% miss in Q3 2025
- Revenue growth of 9.40% is solid but not exceptional
Past
54/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5-year price return of +106.4% outperforms many peers
- History of large earnings surprises, both positive and negative
Watchpoints
- Inconsistent earnings beat rate: only 2 of last 4 quarters beaten
- Profit margins and ROA have remained low over time
Health
48/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Altman Z-Score of 285408254873.6 indicates extreme financial safety
- Current ratio of 1.12 shows short-term liquidity adequacy
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Debt/Equity of 3.47 is high and above sector average of 1.32
- ROA of 0.83% and ROE of 10.29% are below peer benchmarks
Dividend
70/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 4.50% is attractive in current rate environment
- Payout ratio of 64.1% is sustainable given current earnings
- Dividend strength score of 70/100 indicates reliable payments
Watchpoints
- No data on 5-year average yield to assess consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$13.34
Analyst Target
$13.0
Upside/Downside
-2.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for F and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-02
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
F
Ford Motor Company
Primary
|
+106.4% | +45.0% | +48.5% | +15.8% | +1.9% | +0.2% |
|
ROST
Ross Stores, Inc.
Peer
|
+65.0% | +63.0% | +21.1% | +39.6% | +2.9% | +0.9% |
|
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
+156.1% | +96.3% | +8.1% | +5.6% | +1.7% | -1.3% |
|
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.
Peer
|
+236.5% | +59.0% | +23.0% | +1.9% | -4.2% | +3.7% |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Peer
|
+25.2% | +3.6% | -47.3% | -39.7% | -24.4% | +3.2% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
11.4
Forward P/E
9.01
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.12
P/S Ratio
0.28
EV/Revenue
0.97
EV/EBITDA
19.05
Market Cap
$53.15B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.48%
Operating Margin
3.15%
Gross Margin
7.56%
ROE
10.29%
ROA
0.83%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+9.4%
Earnings Growth
+172.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+174.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
3.47
High debt
Current Ratio
1.12
Good
Quick Ratio
0.94
Poor
Cash/Share
$8.2
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-10-23
$0.45
+25.4% surprise
2025-07-30
$-0.01
-103.2% surprise
2025-05-05
$0.14
+557.0% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing F against 34 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(6 bullish, 19 neutral, 9 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.4
This Stock
vs
36.79
Sector Avg
-69.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.29%
This Stock
vs
14.05%
Sector Avg
-26.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.48%
This Stock
vs
2.0%
Sector Avg
+24.2%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
3.47
This Stock
vs
1.41
Sector Avg
+146.2%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
9.4%
This Stock
vs
12.82%
Sector Avg
-26.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.12
This Stock
vs
1.35
Sector Avg
-16.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
F
Ford Motor Company
|
NEUTRAL | $53.15B | 11.4 | 10.3% | 2.5% | $13.34 | |
|
ROST
Ross Stores, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $59.43B | 28.55 | 37.4% | 9.5% | $182.74 | |
|
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $62.73B | 39.2 | -% | 34.2% | $269.67 | |
|
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $64.15B | 26.6 | -% | 13.2% | $3856.87 | |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $41.74B | 27.94 | 45.0% | 13.0% | $31.57 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 | ENGLISH ALEXANDRA FORD | Director | Gift | 5,622 | - |
| 2025-11-20 | FORD HENRY III | Director | Gift | 8,979 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | LAWLER JOHN T | Officer | Stock Award | 23,777 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | WU SHENGPO | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 94,909 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | FRICK ANDREW | Officer | Stock Award | 51,067 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | GALHOTRA ASHWANI KUMAR | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 35,665 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | FIELD JOHN DOUGLAS | Officer | Stock Award | 201,410 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | THORNTON JOHN L | Director | Purchase | 7,520 | $99,189 |
| 2025-10-30 | VEIHMEYER JOHN B. | Director | Stock Award | 19,812 | - |
| 2025-10-30 | WEINBERG JOHN S. | Director | Stock Award | 16,861 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
19 analysts
Evercore ISI Group
2025-12-22
In-Line
In-Line
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-08
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-24
In-Line
In-Line
Citigroup
2025-10-27
Neutral
Neutral
Barclays
2025-10-27
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Piper Sandler
2025-10-24
Neutral
Neutral
RBC Capital
2025-10-24
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Wells Fargo
2025-10-24
Underweight
Underweight
JP Morgan
2025-10-20
Overweight
Overweight
UBS
2025-10-06
Neutral
Neutral