FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
FANG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
•
Energy
•
Oil & Gas E&P
Current Price
$152.34
Analyst Target
$179.73
+18.0% Upside
52W High
$180.91
52W Low
$114.0
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 04, 2026
Market cap
$44.1B
P/E
10.7
ROE
10.9%
Profit margin
28.7%
Debt/Equity
0.36
Dividend yield
2.63%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline financial health, while the Altman Z-Score is astronomically high at 102519774310.4, suggesting no distress risk. The stock trades below the analyst target price of $179.73 and significantly below the intrinsic value of $313.28, but above the conservative Graham Number of $208.94. Strong profitability metrics like a 28.69% profit margin and 36.63% operating margin contrast with weak liquidity (Current Ratio: 0.62) and negative insider sentiment. Despite solid sector-relative valuation and growth, bearish insider activity and declining YoY EPS temper optimism.
Key Strengths
Exceptionally high Altman Z-Score indicating virtually no bankruptcy risk
Strong profitability with 28.69% net margin and 36.63% operating margin
Revenue growth of 42.00% YoY outpaces sector average by a wide margin
Attractive valuation relative to peers with P/E of 10.70 vs sector average of 21.83
Healthy dividend yield of 2.63% with low payout ratio of 27.39%
Key Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests deteriorating financial health trends
Poor liquidity with Current Ratio (0.62) and Quick Ratio (0.43) below 1.0
Bearish insider sentiment with $363.15M in net insider selling over last 6 months
Year-over-year EPS decline of 8.9% despite strong revenue growth
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish momentum near-term
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$220.0
+44.4% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
63
Strong
78
60
58
52
66
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if liquidity improves and growth sustains
Key drivers: Low P/E relative to sector, High insider selling, Declining YoY EPS, Exceptional Altman Z-Score, Strong revenue growth
Confidence
75%
Value
78/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 10.70 well below sector average of 21.83
- Trading below both intrinsic value ($313.28) and analyst target ($179.73)
Watchpoints
- Current price ($152.34) above Graham Number ($208.94) — correction risk if growth slows
Future
60/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 42.00% YoY revenue growth is exceptional
- Q/Q earnings growth of 54.50% shows recent acceleration
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 13.29 implies slowing growth expectations
- Year-over-year EPS down 8.9% despite revenue surge
Past
58/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- History of beating earnings estimates in volatile fashion (e.g., +72.2% surprise in Nov 2020)
- Long-term 5Y return of +284.5% shows strong capital appreciation
Watchpoints
- Recent quarters show declining EPS trend YoY
- Only 2 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates
Health
52/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Altman Z-Score of 102519774310.4 indicates extreme financial stability
- Debt/Equity of 0.36 is conservative
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health trajectory
- Current and Quick Ratios below 1.0 signal short-term liquidity pressure
Dividend
66/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 2.63% is attractive in current rate environment
- Payout ratio of 27.39% is sustainable
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength score of 35/100 suggests limited growth or consistency
- No 5-year average yield data available — potential instability
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$152.34
Analyst Target
$179.73
Upside/Downside
+18.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FANG and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-02
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Primary
|
+284.5% | +31.5% | -6.1% | +9.7% | -3.8% | +4.1% |
|
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Peer
|
+157.7% | -27.0% | -13.0% | -2.2% | +0.4% | +6.3% |
|
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
Peer
|
+154.8% | +76.0% | +15.8% | +20.1% | -6.6% | +4.2% |
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Peer
|
+361.9% | +58.9% | +19.3% | -5.2% | -12.8% | +0.9% |
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Peer
|
+255.9% | +51.0% | +38.5% | +16.0% | -6.6% | +0.8% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
10.7
Forward P/E
13.29
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.12
P/S Ratio
3.02
EV/Revenue
4.53
EV/EBITDA
6.26
Market Cap
$44.1B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
28.69%
Operating Margin
36.63%
Gross Margin
74.94%
ROE
10.9%
ROA
5.1%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+42.0%
Earnings Growth
+10.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+54.5%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.36
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.62
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.43
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.56
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-23
$N/A
2025-11-03
$3.08
+4.6% surprise
2025-08-04
$2.67
-2.0% surprise
2025-05-05
$4.54
+8.1% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing FANG against 15 companies in the Energy sector
(0 bullish, 15 neutral, 0 bearish)
P/E Ratio
10.7
This Stock
vs
18.8
Sector Avg
-43.1%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.9%
This Stock
vs
13.27%
Sector Avg
-17.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
28.69%
This Stock
vs
11.47%
Sector Avg
+150.1%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.36
This Stock
vs
0.56
Sector Avg
-36.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
42.0%
This Stock
vs
2.17%
Sector Avg
+1832.5%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.62
This Stock
vs
1.2
Sector Avg
-48.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $44.1B | 10.7 | 10.9% | 28.7% | $152.34 | |
|
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $41.75B | 31.16 | 6.0% | 8.2% | $42.38 | |
|
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
|
NEUTRAL | $46.52B | 16.26 | 16.9% | 10.4% | $47.14 | |
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $50.21B | 17.57 | 18.9% | 2.2% | $165.14 | |
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $51.35B | 34.37 | 5.2% | 1.3% | $165.31 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | MELOY CHARLES ALVIN | Director | Sale | 53 | $8,487 |
| 2025-12-04 | MELOY CHARLES ALVIN | Director | Sale | 377,911 | $52,382,244 |
| 2025-12-04 | MELOY CHARLES ALVIN | Director | Gift | 124,835 | - |
| 2025-11-28 | SGF FANG HOLDINGS,LP | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 2,000,000 | $305,180,000 |
| 2025-11-26 | WESSON DANIEL N. | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 4,000 | $596,948 |
| 2025-11-18 | VANT HOF MATTHEW KAES | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 1,011 | - |
| 2025-11-14 | ZMIGROSKY MATTHEW PAUL | Officer | Sale | 3,500 | $518,630 |
| 2025-11-14 | STICE TRAVIS D | Officer and Director | Gift | 50,000 | - |
| 2025-11-12 | MELOY CHARLES ALVIN | Director | Gift | 34,000 | - |
| 2025-11-11 | THOMPSON JERE W III | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 1,000 | $147,730 |
| 2025-11-06 | VANT HOF MATTHEW KAES | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 10,000 | $1,406,140 |
| 2025-08-07 | STICE TRAVIS D | Officer and Director | Sale | 20,400 | $2,913,020 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects