FDX FedEx Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
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FDX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Industrials
Integrated Freight & Logistics
Current Price
Live
$308.18
Analyst Target
$306.54
-0.5%
Downside
52W High
$318.83
52W Low
$194.3
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$72.72B
P/E
17.05
ROE
15.9%
Profit margin
4.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
1.85%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
FedEx's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $220.65 at a current price of $308.18, suggesting a premium valuation, though forward P/E of 14.52 is below sector average. Revenue growth is robust at 13.90% YoY, but earnings are declining (-13.30% YoY), creating a divergence. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a target price near current levels, while insider activity is bearish, and technical trends are weak.
Key Strengths
Strong YoY revenue growth of 13.90%, outpacing sector average of 6.02%
Solid return on equity (ROE) of 15.89%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital
Healthy dividend payout ratio of 31.32% supports sustainable yield of 1.85%
Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been positive, with 3 out of last 4 beats
Forward P/E of 14.52 is below sector average P/E of 32.12, suggesting relative value
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates marginal financial health with potential instability
Earnings declining YoY (-13.30%) despite revenue growth, raising margin pressure concerns
Missing key financial data (Debt/Equity, ROIC, Cash/Debt) limits full health assessment
Insider selling observed: $0.84M in sales with no buys in last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum near term
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$220.65
-28.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
59
Moderate
68
52
60
50
66
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if earnings stabilize
Key drivers: Revenue growth and valuation relative to peers, Declining earnings and weak technicals as headwinds, Stable dividend and insider skepticism as offsetting factors
Confidence
75%
Value
68/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 14.52 below sector average of 32.12
- Price/Sales of 0.81 indicates revenue-based undervaluation
Watchpoints
- Current price 39.7% above Graham Number ($220.65)
- Lack of PEG and EV/EBITDA limits growth-adjusted valuation
Future
52/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth of 13.90% YoY is strong
- Q/Q EPS growth recently turned positive at +25.8%
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth YoY is -13.30%, signaling profitability challenges
- No PEG ratio available to assess growth sustainability
Past
60/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- History of earnings beats: 3 out of last 4 quarters
- Long-term 5Y return of +36.0% outperforms broader market
Watchpoints
- Earnings volatility evident, including -33.1% surprise in Sep 2022
- 1W price change of -1.3% amid weak technical trend
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio (1.27) and quick ratio (1.17) indicate short-term liquidity
- ROE of 15.89% supports capital efficiency
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests borderline financial stability
- Missing Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity, and cash/debt figures limits risk assessment
Dividend
66/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 1.85% above sector average implied rate
- Payout ratio of 31.32% indicates room for future increases
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 40/100 suggests moderate reliability
- No 5-year yield average to assess consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$308.18
Analyst Target
$306.54
Upside/Downside
-0.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FDX and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FDX
FedEx Corporation
Primary
|
+36.0% | +74.7% | +13.7% | +37.6% | +9.2% | -1.3% |
|
EMR
Emerson Electric Co.
Peer
|
+81.5% | +40.8% | +1.0% | +6.7% | -1.6% | -1.1% |
|
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Peer
|
+29.2% | +14.8% | -7.4% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -0.6% |
|
CTAS
Cintas Corporation
Peer
|
+112.1% | +72.4% | -13.1% | -15.1% | -0.1% | +1.1% |
|
CSX
CSX Corporation
Peer
|
+25.5% | +16.2% | +11.7% | +6.2% | -0.7% | +3.0% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
17.05
Forward P/E
14.52
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.57
P/S Ratio
0.81
EV/Revenue
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$72.72B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
4.81%
Operating Margin
7.64%
Gross Margin
27.62%
ROE
15.89%
ROA
5.07%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+13.9%
Earnings Growth
-13.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-10.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
1.27
Good
Quick Ratio
1.17
Good
Cash/Share
$N/A
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-19
$N/A
2025-12-18
$4.82
+17.2% surprise
2025-09-18
$3.83
+6.0% surprise
2025-06-24
$6.88
+19.6% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing FDX against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(6 bullish, 59 neutral, 57 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.05
This Stock
vs
73.49
Sector Avg
-76.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
15.89%
This Stock
vs
7.83%
Sector Avg
+102.8%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
4.81%
This Stock
vs
57.85%
Sector Avg
-91.7%
(Weaker)
Revenue Growth
13.9%
This Stock
vs
22.8%
Sector Avg
-39.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.27
This Stock
vs
2.64
Sector Avg
-51.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FDX
FedEx Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $72.72B | 17.05 | 15.9% | 4.8% | $308.18 | |
|
EMR
Emerson Electric Co.
|
NEUTRAL | $72.17B | 31.66 | 9.4% | 12.7% | $127.58 | |
|
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $71.16B | 23.64 | 91.7% | 19.1% | $243.97 | |
|
CTAS
Cintas Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $75.51B | 41.49 | 42.2% | 17.5% | $186.72 | |
|
CSX
CSX Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $67.58B | 23.54 | 22.6% | 20.5% | $36.25 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | NORTON NANCY A | Director | Stock Award | 823 | - |
| 2025-09-29 | DAVILA SILVIA | Director | Stock Award | 1,118 | $69,881 |
| 2025-09-29 | PERPALL FREDERICK | Director | Stock Award | 823 | - |
| 2025-09-29 | ELLISON MARVIN R | Director | Stock Award | 1,118 | $69,881 |
| 2025-09-29 | RAMO JOSHUA COOPER | Director | Stock Award | 1,414 | $139,999 |
| 2025-09-29 | SCHWAB SUSAN C | Director | Stock Award | 1,118 | $69,881 |
| 2025-09-29 | GRIFFITH SUSAN PATRICIA | Director | Stock Award | 1,414 | $139,999 |
| 2025-09-29 | MARTIN ROBERT BRAD | Officer and Director | Stock Award | 6,401 | - |
| 2025-09-29 | GORMAN STEPHEN E | Director | Stock Award | 823 | - |
| 2025-09-29 | WALSH PAUL S | Director | Stock Award | 823 | - |
| 2025-09-29 | LANE AMY BETH | Director | Stock Award | 823 | - |
| 2025-09-22 | TALWAR VISHAL | Officer | Stock Award | 9,302 | - |
| 2025-07-23 | RAMO JOSHUA COOPER | Director | Option Exercise | 3,610 | $513,017 |
| 2025-07-23 | RAMO JOSHUA COOPER | Director | Sale | 3,610 | $838,361 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
28 analysts
Bernstein
2026-01-09
Market Perform
Market Perform
Citigroup
2025-12-19
Buy
Buy
Truist Securities
2025-12-19
Buy
Buy
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-19
Underweight
Underweight
BMO Capital
2025-12-19
Market Perform
Market Perform
JP Morgan
2025-12-19
Neutral
Neutral
Jefferies
2025-12-19
Buy
Buy
Stifel
2025-12-19
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2025-12-19
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Stephens & Co.
2025-12-19
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning FDX from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.