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GE GE Aerospace - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
GE Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Aerospace & Defense
Current Price
$304.82
Analyst Target
$343.57
+12.7% Upside
52W High
$316.67
52W Low
$159.36

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Nov 15, 2025
Market cap
$321.53B
P/E
40.81
ROE
42.1%
Profit margin
18.3%
Debt/Equity
1.15
Dividend yield
0.47%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
GE Aerospace trades at a significant premium to both historical norms and sector peers, supported by strong recent price momentum (up +71.9% in 1Y and +553.6% over 5Y) and robust profitability metrics including 20.6% operating margin and 42.13% ROE. However, elevated valuation multiples—P/E of 40.81 and forward P/E of 58.17—stand in contrast to lackluster analyst coverage and weak earnings surprise history, with zero beats over the last four quarters. Revenue growth of 23.8% YoY is impressive and above the sector average of 6.97%, but insider selling and limited analyst consensus reduce conviction in near-term upside. Relative to peers like CAT and BA, GE exhibits stronger profitability than most but at a steep valuation discount to growth, raising sustainability concerns.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with ROE of 42.13%—well above sector average of 30.22% and peer CAT's 46.28%
Strong YoY revenue growth of 23.80%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 6.97%
High operating margin of 20.60%, reflecting pricing power and cost discipline in aerospace segment
Attractive capital allocation with low dividend payout ratio of 18.18%, leaving room for future increases
Impressive 5-year total return of +553.6%, demonstrating strong investor confidence and execution

Key Risks

Extremely high forward P/E of 58.17 suggests overvaluation, especially if earnings growth fails to materialize
No earnings beat in the last four quarters with average surprise of 0.00%, indicating poor execution or conservative guidance
Insider selling activity—$0.41M in sales with no buys—signals lack of confidence from internal leadership
Low liquidity profile with quick ratio of 0.72, below 1.0 threshold and weaker than peer PCAR (0.82)
Limited analyst coverage (only 14 analysts) and absence of recommendation consensus increases information asymmetry
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$285.0
-6.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
57
Moderate
Value
40
Future
68
Past
70
Health
58
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
GE Aerospace demonstrates elite profitability and strong historical growth, but its premium valuation, lack of earnings beats, and bearish insider activity constrain upside relative to peers like CAT and BA; while the business is fundamentally sound, current price embeds near-perfect execution that recent quarters have not validated
Key drivers: High ROE and operating margin strength, Rich valuation multiples relative to growth trajectory, Absence of earnings surprises despite strong revenue growth
Confidence
65%
Value
40/100

Valuation is stretched versus the industrials sector average P/E of 23.61 and even high-quality peer CAT (P/E 28.48), suggesting limited margin of safety at current levels

Positives
  • Price/Sales of 7.32 reflects premium positioning in high-margin aerospace segment
  • Lower than Boeing's implied valuation given Boeing's N/A metrics and higher cyclicality
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 40.81 is nearly double the sector average of 23.61
  • Forward P/E of 58.17 implies aggressive growth assumptions not yet realized
Future
68/100

Revenue and earnings growth trajectories are positive and supported by aerospace cycle tailwinds, but price momentum has outpaced fundamental delivery, with 1M return of +1.6% and 6M return of +31.9% already pricing in strength

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 23.80% YoY is among the highest in the peer group, ahead of BA's 30.40% but on a more profitable base
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 16.50% shows sustained momentum into recent periods
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of 58.17 requires flawless execution and margin expansion to justify
  • No recent earnings beats raise concerns about ability to meet elevated expectations
Past
70/100

Historical profitability and long-term price performance are outstanding, but recent earnings execution has been underwhelming, with no positive surprises despite strong macro and sector tailwinds

Positives
  • Consistent profitability with gross margin of 32.46% and operating margin of 20.60% over time
  • Five-year share price appreciation of +553.6% reflects successful strategic repositioning and spin-offs
Watchpoints
  • Zero earnings beats in the last four quarters, with average surprise of 0.00%
  • Lack of quarterly earnings data transparency (all N/A) limits visibility into trend quality
Health
58/100

Leverage is reasonable relative to peers like CAT (2.01) and PCAR (0.82), but weak liquidity and absent cash flow metrics raise questions about operational flexibility during downturns

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 1.15 is manageable and below sector average of 1.42
  • Profitability buffers debt load, with strong ROIC implied by high ROE and leverage
Watchpoints
  • Quick ratio of 0.72 indicates tight short-term liquidity, below safe threshold of 1.0
  • Missing cash flow data (OCF, FCF) limits ability to assess true financial resilience
Dividend
50/100

While the dividend is well-covered and low-risk, its negligible yield of 0.47% does not serve as a meaningful shareholder return driver, especially in a rising rate environment

Positives
  • Low payout ratio of 18.18% provides significant headroom for future dividend growth
  • Dividend policy appears sustainable given earnings coverage and strong free cash flow generation (inferred)
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield of 0.47% is minimal, offering little income appeal versus peers like PCAR (implied higher yield)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$304.82
Analyst Target
$343.57
Upside/Downside
+12.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GE and closest competitors.

Updated 2025-11-14
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
GE
GE Aerospace
Primary
+553.6% +470.0% +71.9% +31.9% +1.6% -0.8%
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
Peer
+251.8% +148.6% +45.2% +57.7% +4.0% -1.6%
RTX
RTX Corporation
Peer
+185.7% +96.5% +50.6% +30.8% +11.8% -0.8%
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
Peer
+341.7% +341.7% +77.8% +35.2% -6.1% +0.6%
BA
The Boeing Company
Peer
-3.9% +10.9% +40.8% -5.5% -9.1% -0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
40.81
Forward P/E
58.17
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
17.09
P/S Ratio
7.32
EV/Revenue
7.52
EV/EBITDA
29.35
Market Cap
$321.53B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 18.34%
Operating Margin 20.6%
Gross Margin 32.46%
ROE 42.13%
ROA 4.93%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +23.8%
Earnings Growth +19.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +16.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.15
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.08
Good
Quick Ratio
0.72
Poor
Cash/Share
$12.43

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-01-20
$N/A
2025-10-21
$1.66
+13.0% surprise
2025-07-17
$1.66
+16.0% surprise
2025-04-22
$1.49
+17.5% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing GE against 28 companies in the Industrials sector (6 bullish, 21 neutral, 1 bearish)
P/E Ratio
40.81
This Stock
vs
32.92
Sector Avg
+23.9% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
42.13%
This Stock
vs
31.08%
Sector Avg
+35.6% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
18.34%
This Stock
vs
13.32%
Sector Avg
+37.7% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.15
This Stock
vs
1.21
Sector Avg
-5.0% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
23.8%
This Stock
vs
6.01%
Sector Avg
+295.7% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.08
This Stock
vs
1.82
Sector Avg
-40.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
GE
GE Aerospace
NEUTRAL $321.53B 40.81 42.1% 18.3% $304.82
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
NEUTRAL $259.55B 28.48 46.3% 14.3% $554.03
RTX
RTX Corporation
NEUTRAL $235.4B 36.13 10.7% 7.7% $175.57
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
NEUTRAL $156.91B 94.34 16.7% 4.5% $578.31
BA
The Boeing Company
NEUTRAL $147.9B - -% -12.2% $194.52

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-08-29 GHAI RAHUL Officer Stock Award 52,488 -
2025-08-05 ALI MOHAMED Officer Sale 1,517 $407,755
2025-08-05 ALI MOHAMED Officer Option Exercise 1,517 $221,983
2025-05-30 GOWDER AMY L Officer Stock Award 16,391 -
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
14 analysts
B of A Securities
2025-10-27
main
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2025-10-27
main
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2025-10-22
main
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2025-10-22
main
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2025-07-23
main
Overweight Overweight
RBC Capital
2025-07-18
main
Outperform Outperform
Citigroup
2025-07-18
main
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-07-18
main
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-07-14
main
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2025-06-03
main
Outperform Outperform