GEF

NEUTRAL

$66.5 Live

Greif, Inc. · NYSE

Target $78.2 (+17.6%)

$51.4 52W Range $77.14

GEF Greif, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

Console Chart News

GEF Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Packaging & Containers

Current Price Live

$66.5

Analyst Target

$78.2

+17.6% Upside

52W High

$77.14

52W Low

$51.4

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 27, 2026

Market cap

$3.79B

P/E

27.48

ROE

N/A

Profit margin

25.0%

Debt/Equity

0.38

Dividend yield

3.34%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

GEF presents a conflicting profile characterized by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating deteriorating fundamental health, despite trading below its intrinsic value of $71.39. While the PEG ratio (0.77) and Forward P/E (14.24) suggest potential value, the company has missed earnings estimates in four consecutive quarters with a significant average surprise of -47.31%. The high dividend payout ratio of 89.26% combined with bearish insider activity and negative revenue growth creates a precarious environment for investors. Overall, the stock is a value trap candidate unless operational efficiency improves.

Key Strengths

Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.38) indicating a conservative leverage profile

Attractive PEG ratio (0.77) suggesting undervaluation relative to growth

Strong Profit Margin of 25.04%

Price/Sales ratio (0.89) is low, indicating efficient revenue valuation

Positive long-term price performance (5Y Change: +29.9%)

Key Risks

Weak fundamental health as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9

Consistent earnings misses (0/4 beats in the last 4 quarters)

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 89.26%

Negative revenue growth trends (-2.20% YoY and -29.80% Q/Q)

Strong bearish insider sentiment with 10 sell transactions and 0 buys

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$62.4

-6.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Moderate

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Underperforming Fundamentals

Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Earnings Surprise Trend, Revenue Contraction, Dividend Payout Ratio

Confidence

90%

Value

65/100

Graham Number $53.39 vs Current Price $66.50; Intrinsic Value $71.39

Positives

P/S < 1.0
PEG < 1.0
Trading below Intrinsic Value

Watchpoints

Current P/E (27.48) is high relative to historical norms

Future

35/100

Revenue Growth (YoY): -2.20%

Positives

Significant Forward P/E compression

Watchpoints

Negative Q/Q revenue growth (-29.8%)
Consistent failure to meet analyst estimates

Past

50/100

1Y Change: +27.9%

Positives

Steady 5-year price appreciation

Watchpoints

Recent sharp decline in earnings surprise accuracy

Health

30/100

Piotroski F-Score is the primary driver for the low health score

Positives

Low Debt/Equity (0.38)

Watchpoints

Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
Quick Ratio (0.72) suggests tight liquidity

Dividend

40/100

Dividend Strength Score: 35/100

Positives

Yield of 3.34% is respectable

Watchpoints

Payout ratio of 89.26% leaves little room for error or growth

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$66.5

Analyst Target

$78.2

Upside/Downside

+17.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GEF and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
GEF Greif, Inc. Primary	+29.9%	+17.7%	+27.9%	+12.9%	-0.4%	-4.8%
GTX Garrett Motion Inc. Peer	+295.7%	+142.5%	+128.5%	+52.2%	+7.6%	+5.8%
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. Peer	+107.0%	+65.0%	+0.5%	-6.9%	-11.0%	-3.2%
ALH Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. Peer	-21.4%	-21.4%	-21.4%	-21.4%	-13.1%	-1.6%
HSAI Hesai Group Peer	+7.7%	+87.1%	+80.0%	+2.8%	-11.7%	+9.8%

GEF

Greif, Inc.

Primary

+29.9%

+17.7%

+27.9%

+12.9%

-0.4%

-4.8%

GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

Peer

+295.7%

+142.5%

+128.5%

+52.2%

+7.6%

+5.8%

CVC

Cavco Industries, Inc.

Peer

+107.0%

+65.0%

+0.5%

-6.9%

-11.0%

-3.2%

ALH

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.

Peer

-21.4%

-13.1%

-1.6%

HSA

Hesai Group

Peer

+7.7%

+87.1%

+80.0%

+2.8%

-11.7%

+9.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

27.48

14.24

0.77

1.27

0.89

1.13

8.35

$3.79B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 25.04%

Operating Margin 5.68%

Gross Margin 22.35%

ROE N/A

ROA N/A

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -2.2%

Earnings Growth +691.7%

Q/Q Revenue Growth -29.8%

Q/Q Earnings Growth +693.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

0.38

Low debt

Current Ratio

1.23

Good

Quick Ratio

0.72

Poor

Cash/Share

$4.27

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$1.0B

Gross Margin

20.4%

Op. Margin

5.7%

Net Margin

17.6%

Total Assets

$5.5B

Liabilities

$2.4B

Equity

$2.9B

Debt/Equity

0.83x

Operating CF

$-0.0B

CapEx

$-0.0B

Free Cash Flow

$-0.1B

FCF Yield

235%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-28

$N/A

2026-01-27

$0.48

-29.1% surprise

2025-11-05

$0.01

-98.3% surprise

2025-08-27

$1.03

-14.5% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing GEF against 364 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 117 neutral, 224 bearish)

P/E Ratio

27.48

This Stock

33.86

Sector Avg

-18.8% (Discount)

Profit Margin

25.04%

This Stock

-6.04%

Sector Avg

-514.8% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

0.38

This Stock

1.53

Sector Avg

-75.5% (Less Debt)

Revenue Growth

-2.2%

This Stock

30.1%

Sector Avg

-107.3% (Slower)

Current Ratio

1.23

This Stock

2.4

Sector Avg

-48.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
GEF Greif, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$3.79B	27.48	-%	25.0%	$66.5
GTX Garrett Motion Inc.	NEUTRAL	$3.79B	12.82	-%	8.6%	$19.48	Compare
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$3.66B	20.37	17.2%	8.4%	$468.67	Compare
ALH Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.	BEARISH	$3.96B	34.82	177.3%	6.0%	$19.5	Compare
HSAI Hesai Group	NEUTRAL	$3.56B	51.5	6.8%	14.4%	$22.66	Compare

GEF Greif, Inc.

NEUTRAL

Mkt Cap

$3.8B

P/E

27.5

ROE

Price

$66.5

GTX Garrett Motion Inc.

Compare with GEF

CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc.

Compare with GEF

Compare with GEF

Compare with GEF

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-04-10	BERGWALL TIMOTHY	Officer	Sale	2,000	$140,834
2026-03-10	BERGWALL TIMOTHY	Officer	Sale	2,000	$134,977
2026-03-02	SATHYANARAYANAN BALA	Officer	Sale	11,607	$838,168
2026-02-23	ROSE B. ANDREW	Director	Stock Award	2,143	-
2026-02-23	MCNAMARA JOHN W	Director	Stock Award	2,143	-
2026-02-23	EVANKO JILLIAN C	Director	Stock Award	2,143	-
2026-02-23	SCOTT KIMBERLY THOMPSON	Director	Stock Award	2,143	-
2026-02-23	MORRISON KAREN	Director	Stock Award	2,143	-
2026-02-23	MILLER FRANK CALHOUN V	Director	Stock Award	2,143	-
2026-02-23	EMKES MARK A	Director	Stock Award	2,143	-
2026-02-23	EDWARDS BRUCE A	Director	Stock Award	2,143	-
2026-02-23	PATTERSON ROBERT M	Director	Stock Award	2,143	-
2026-02-13	SATHYANARAYANAN BALA	Officer	Sale	2,731	$209,386
2026-02-10	BERGWALL TIMOTHY	Officer	Sale	2,000	$148,218
2026-02-05	SATHYANARAYANAN BALA	Officer	Sale	13,337	$992,419

BERGWALL TIMOTHY

Officer

Sell

2026-04-10

2,000 shares · $140,834

BERGWALL TIMOTHY

Officer

Sell

2026-03-10

2,000 shares · $134,977

SATHYANARAYANAN BALA

Officer

Sell

2026-03-02

11,607 shares · $838,168

ROSE B. ANDREW

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-23

2,143 shares

MCNAMARA JOHN W

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-23

2,143 shares

EVANKO JILLIAN C

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-23

2,143 shares

SCOTT KIMBERLY THOMPSON

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-23

2,143 shares

MORRISON KAREN

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-23

2,143 shares

MILLER FRANK CALHOUN V

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-23

2,143 shares

EMKES MARK A

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-23

2,143 shares

EDWARDS BRUCE A

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-23

2,143 shares

PATTERSON ROBERT M

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-23

2,143 shares

SATHYANARAYANAN BALA

Officer

Sell

2026-02-13

2,731 shares · $209,386

BERGWALL TIMOTHY

Officer

Sell

2026-02-10

2,000 shares · $148,218

SATHYANARAYANAN BALA

Officer

Sell

2026-02-05

13,337 shares · $992,419

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K

2026-03-05

GEF filed a current report on March 5, 2026, likely announcing its annual financial results or another material corporate event.

8-K

2026-02-25

GEF filed an 8-K on February 25, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

8-K

2026-02-25

GEF filed an 8-K on February 25, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

8-K

2026-02-02

GEF filed an 8-K on February 2, 2026, likely to report its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-Q

2026-01-30

GEF utilizes Adjusted EBITDA as a primary non-GAAP metric to evaluate consolidated and segment-level operational performance. The company cautions that actual results may differ materially based on the estimates and assumptions used, with further risk factors detailed in its 2025 Form 10-KT.

DEF 14A

2026-01-09

GEF filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on January 9, 2026, providing shareholders with information required to vote on matters at an upcoming meeting.

8-K

2025-11-10

GEF filed an 8-K on November 10, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K

2025-09-02

8-K

2025-08-29

10-Q

2025-08-28

GEF utilizes Adjusted EBITDA as a primary non-GAAP financial measure to evaluate its consolidated and segment results of operations. The company cautions that actual results may differ materially from estimates and refers investors to its 2024 Form 10-K for a comprehensive discussion of risk factors.

8-K

2025-08-07

8-K

2025-07-03

8-K

2025-07-01

8-K

2025-06-09

10-Q

2025-06-05

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

HOLD

5 analysts

Wells Fargo

2026-03-20

Maintains

Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Wells Fargo

2026-02-19

Maintains

Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Wells Fargo

2026-01-29

Maintains

Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Truist Securities

2026-01-06

Maintains

Hold Hold

Wells Fargo

2026-01-06

down

Overweight Equal-Weight

Wells Fargo

2025-11-07

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GEF from our newsroom.

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GEF

GEF Greif, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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