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GEV GE Vernova Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
GEV Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Specialty Industrial Machinery
Current Price
$578.31
Analyst Target
$679.3
+17.5% Upside
52W High
$677.29
52W Low
$252.25

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Nov 16, 2025
Market cap
$156.91B
P/E
94.34
ROE
16.7%
Profit margin
4.5%
Debt/Equity
0.11
Dividend yield
0.17%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) trades at a significant premium to both the industrials sector and its closest peers, with a P/E of 94.34 versus a sector average of 27.54, raising valuation concerns despite strong 5-year price appreciation of +341.7%. The company exhibits solid revenue growth at 11.8% YoY and improving profitability trends, including a ROE of 16.72% and low leverage (Debt/Equity: 0.11), but erratic earnings performance and negative Q/Q EPS growth (-23.7%) undermine confidence in sustained momentum. Analysts are bullish with a $679.30 target price implying ~17% upside, yet insider selling—particularly a $2.05M CFO sale—contradicts this optimism. While financial health is stable and growth fundamentals show promise, stretched valuations and inconsistent earnings delivery create a conflicted outlook, warranting caution despite favorable sector positioning.

Key Strengths

Revenue growth of 11.8% YoY outpaces the industrials sector average of 7.13% and exceeds key peers like UNP (2.5%) and DE (-8.6%)
Strong ROE of 16.72% indicates effective equity utilization, supported by improving operating leverage and margin expansion
Exceptionally low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 suggests conservative capital structure and minimal refinancing risk relative to sector average of 1.80
Analyst target price of $679.30 implies 17.5% upside, backed by 27 analysts maintaining a 'buy' consensus
Impressive 5-year total return of +341.7%, outperforming most peers including ETN, UNP, and DE over the same horizon

Key Risks

Valuation multiples are extremely elevated: P/E of 94.34 vs sector avg 27.54 and closest peer ETN at 35.34, increasing downside risk in a rising rate environment
Highly volatile earnings performance with 4 out of last 8 quarters missing estimates, including two massive negative surprises (-232.7%, -254.7%)
Most recent Q/Q EPS decline of -23.7% signals near-term earnings deterioration despite strong YoY comp (+505.7%)
Insider activity is bearish: CFO sold $2.05M in shares with no offsetting insider buys in the past six months
Liquidity metrics are weak: Quick ratio of 0.65 and current ratio of 1.03 indicate potential working capital pressure, below sector resilience norms
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$575.0
-0.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
57
Moderate
Value
38
Future
68
Past
60
Health
72
Dividend
45
AI Verdict
GEV presents a mixed profile: robust long-term price performance and solid revenue growth support bullish sentiment, but extreme valuation multiples, inconsistent earnings delivery, and bearish insider activity constrain upside potential relative to peers like ETN and UNP trading at more reasonable multiples.
Key drivers: Elevated valuation relative to sector and peers, Erratic quarterly earnings performance despite strong revenue growth, Bullish analyst outlook offset by bearish insider selling
Confidence
65%
Value
38/100

GEV trades at a massive valuation premium versus industrials peers—BA, ETN, UNP, and DE—all of which have meaningfully lower P/E ratios despite mixed growth profiles, making GEV appear significantly overpriced on earnings and book value bases.

Positives
  • Price/Sales of 4.17 is defensible given growth trajectory, slightly above sector median
  • Low leverage enhances equity value durability over time
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 94.34 is nearly 3.4x the sector average of 27.54, indicating severe overvaluation
  • Price/Book of 18.15 is exceptionally high for an industrial machinery firm, suggesting asset overvaluation or speculative premium
Future
68/100

While revenue momentum and analyst sentiment suggest continued growth ahead, the recent deceleration in earnings growth and high expectations baked into price create vulnerability to downward revisions, especially if macro conditions weaken.

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 11.8% YoY positions GEV above sector average and peer median, indicating strong market demand
  • Analyst target of $679.30 reflects confidence in continued outperformance and execution on energy transition themes
Watchpoints
  • Q/Q EPS contraction of -23.7% raises concerns about near-term profit sustainability
  • Forward P/E of 83.81 remains extremely high, requiring flawless execution to justify
Past
60/100

Historical performance shows strong share price gains and margin improvement, but erratic quarterly earnings beats and misses, along with declining Q/Q EPS, reflect execution volatility that undermines confidence in sustained outperformance.

Positives
  • 5-year stock return of +341.7% demonstrates exceptional capital appreciation and investor confidence
  • Profit margins have stabilized with operating margin at 5.74% and ROE improving to 16.72%, showing operational progress
Watchpoints
  • Earnings surprise history is highly inconsistent: only 2 of last 4 quarters beat estimates, with prior misses as large as -254.7%
  • Negative operating cash flow and lack of reported free cash flow raise questions about earnings quality
Health
72/100

GEV’s financial health is underpinned by minimal leverage and solid returns on capital, but tight liquidity metrics suggest potential strain in near-term obligations compared to healthier industrial peers with stronger current ratios.

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.11 is exceptionally low, providing significant balance sheet flexibility and resilience
  • Profitability metrics (ROE 16.72%, ROA 2.43%) show capital efficiency despite sector headwinds
Watchpoints
  • Quick ratio of 0.65 indicates limited liquid assets to cover short-term liabilities, below the safe threshold of 1.0
  • Current ratio of 1.03 leaves minimal buffer for working capital shocks, weaker than peers like ETN and UNP
Dividend
45/100

The dividend program appears secondary to capital allocation, with a minimal yield and no track record of growth, making it uncompetitive versus income-oriented peers like ETN and UNP.

Positives
  • Payout ratio of 12.21% is very low, indicating high dividend sustainability and room for future increases
  • Dividend yield of 0.17% may appeal to growth-focused investors prioritizing capital appreciation
Watchpoints
  • Yield is negligible at 0.17%, offering little income appeal relative to sector average dividend yield of ~2-3%
  • No 5-year yield history or growth trend available, suggesting immaturity or inconsistency in policy

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$578.31
Analyst Target
$679.3
Upside/Downside
+17.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GEV and closest competitors.

Updated 2025-11-14
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
Primary
+341.7% +341.7% +77.8% +35.2% -6.1% +0.6%
BA
The Boeing Company
Peer
-3.9% +10.9% +40.8% -5.5% -9.1% -0.1%
ETN
Eaton Corporation plc
Peer
+225.4% +125.9% -1.6% +7.4% -7.7% -5.7%
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
Peer
+20.5% +13.6% -3.1% -2.4% -1.2% +0.7%
DE
Deere & Company
Peer
+96.1% +21.9% +22.4% -9.8% +6.2% +1.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
94.34
Forward P/E
83.81
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
18.15
P/S Ratio
4.17
EV/Revenue
4.02
EV/EBITDA
51.63
Market Cap
$156.91B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.52%
Operating Margin 5.74%
Gross Margin 19.69%
ROE 16.72%
ROA 2.43%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.8%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.11
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.03
Good
Quick Ratio
0.65
Poor
Cash/Share
$27.81

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-01-21
$N/A
2025-10-22
$1.42
-18.6% surprise
2025-07-23
$1.86
+14.3% surprise
2025-04-23
$0.85
+130.2% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing GEV against 28 companies in the Industrials sector (6 bullish, 21 neutral, 1 bearish)
P/E Ratio
94.34
This Stock
vs
32.92
Sector Avg
+186.5% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
16.72%
This Stock
vs
31.08%
Sector Avg
-46.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.52%
This Stock
vs
13.32%
Sector Avg
-66.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.11
This Stock
vs
1.21
Sector Avg
-90.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
11.8%
This Stock
vs
6.01%
Sector Avg
+96.2% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.03
This Stock
vs
1.82
Sector Avg
-43.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
NEUTRAL $156.91B 94.34 16.7% 4.5% $578.31
BA
The Boeing Company
NEUTRAL $147.9B - -% -12.2% $194.52
ETN
Eaton Corporation plc
BULLISH $137.52B 35.34 20.7% 14.7% $352.39
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
BULLISH $132.29B 18.93 41.6% 28.7% $223.02
DE
Deere & Company
NEUTRAL $128.74B 24.88 21.4% 11.8% $476.23

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-08-26 PARKS KENNETH SCOTT Chief Financial Officer Sale 3,300 $2,046,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
27 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2025-10-30
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-10-24
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Mizuho
2025-10-24
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
JP Morgan
2025-10-23
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
TD Cowen
2025-10-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Susquehanna
2025-10-23
Maintains
Positive Positive
RBC Capital
2025-10-23
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
BMO Capital
2025-10-23
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2025-10-23
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2025-10-23
Maintains
Neutral Neutral